EastonSN+

Just looking at those pics it looks like non stop blocked (neg NAO) vs. Central ridge. Pattern stuck.

If the NAO is as strong as predicted, it would favor southern areas. The boxing day blizzard also hit NC hard.

Its all cyclical. You will get another snowfall bonanza across multiple seasons again. My largest snowfall drought lasted 30 years before 2000 so I am not too hopefull for anytime soon IMBY lol.

As usual great work and thanks again. Central park and LGA amounts stick out like a sore thumb lol.

NOT hinting that this will happen, however, the setup COULD yield a storm like this. The storm tries to cut through New England however the blocking forces the storm just south.

Definitely good trends overnight with a stronger NAO block. The operational models also hint at a coastal, albeit for areas south of us right now.

Thanks, do we have statistics on how much the frequency has increased since 2007? Was there another "spike" in the past (if it was even tracked)?

Thanks so this shows a positive PNA/east based EPO with an east based NAO which historically would have always worked and not linked up with a ridge. Goes to show the importance of the PNA region which is flipped now. I bet think "linking" always occured.

Thanks Don. I feel that the urban heat island affect has gotten out of hand and unfortunately, central park's temperatures are no longer relevant as a representation of the northeast tri state corridor. Seeing 37 while all other areas were 34 is insane. Would white plains or newark be a better benchmark moving forward? I mean, literally one mile away from central park was far colder and received more snow. North south east and west. If we keep using Central Park it will just keep getting worse and will misrepresent the entire area moving forward. Perhaps we can still use Central Park, but adjust the temperature down. However, this may be a worse idea

So if anyone knows, what exactly is the below? I do not see a true -NAO but rather a large east coast ridge facilitated by a deep RNA. To me this is NOT a scary "SE ridge linking up to a negative NAO". I am sure this has happened MANY times in the past. Not sure how the rest of the winter shaped up in the past. A good deteriming factor of whether or not it is a true neg nao would be if it retrogrades to a neg AO or not.

This is a disappointing front load if that's the case.

I should have said IMBY which is SW CT. Central park also, which only received 1.4 inches of snow before turning to rain (this year they had a grossly undermeasured 2.9 inches AND a runaway HEI (they were 37 at the onset while the central Jersey coast had 34 lol)). To me it was the most disappointing BECAUSE it was historically cold and ended up with a rain storm in the middle of single digit temps before and after storm lol.

Up here we ended up with above average snowfall and some snow from the "bust" so actually a decent year IMBY.

IF IF it happened that way, at least this December was better snowfall wise than 1989 lol. That year had a heartbreaking snow to rain storm in the middle of one of the coldest Decembers in history. 1989/1990 was probably the most disappointing in my lifetime.

Especially if the RNA is closer to the west coast and -2 or less. Would not happen in a +PNA.

Such a small dataset. 1961/1962 was the only dud. All three years embedded in the 2 epic snowfall periods (1955 to 1969 and 2000 to 2018).

3 good and 3 bad winters snowfall wise. Nice even split.

It holds no meaning at this point lol.

Exactly its now a useless measurement site.

100% I am not longer considering the 4 inch record as relevant.

Not even worth tracking theor measurements anymore.

Just hit 4.0 inches at Easton CT.

Just hit 4.0 inches at Easton CT. Was a little too far north and east.