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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Hopefully that GOA trough is transient.
  2. EastonSN+
    Solid coating in Easton CT. Looks nice. Still snowing.
  3. EastonSN+
    Solid coating in Easton CT. Looks nice. Still snowing.
  4. EastonSN+
    100% KU storms are relatively rare. I may be mistaken however I think we only had 6 widespread KU events from 1970 through 1999 (three decades).
  5. EastonSN+
    1980s and early 1990s lol
  6. EastonSN+
    I may be wrong, however I was thinking we needed the wave to remain strong to counteract the strengthening PV (at least this is what is on the Eric Web Twitter post from earlier). I am unfamiliar with the driving force behind the EPO/PNA, however on the ensembles it seems to be migrating off the coast, and perhaps that is typical with La Ninas.
  7. EastonSN+
    Only looking at the MJO, however, the mid month warm up seems to align with the MJO phases below (taking lag into consideration). If the wave can stay together should reach 781 by January.
  8. EastonSN+
    I wonder if the more persistent SE ridge these days would yield better results wrt snowfall avoiding suppression.
  9. EastonSN+
    I was thinking, if the issue was suppression that year then add in more of a SE ridge and we could be off to the races.
  10. EastonSN+
    80/81 was not terrible snowfall wise with CPK at 19.4 inches. Not sure what the temps were like wrt above or below average.
  11. EastonSN+
    https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/mjo.shtml
  12. EastonSN+
  13. EastonSN+
    Look like phases 1/2 as we start January, albeit not too strong of a wave. I think Ninas typically are colder December into the first half of January?
  14. EastonSN+
    For fond November memories... Will be in the city for Thanksgiving would have much preferred better weather.
  15. EastonSN+
    True, however seen many storms start out 34 and wet bulb downward (March 2019). I think generally 2021/2022 is a good blueprint on how to succeed. Perhaps 17/18 is a better example given the historically warm February that included a snow storm in that same timeframe. Even Raleigh NC still gets snow, albeit less often. I get that 1977 is highly unlikely if not impossible, however I hold out hope that we can still at the very least least match the 1970 to 1999 snowfall average with this new set-up. Yeah warming will eventually win out, unless a successful environmental engineering endeavor remedies the issue beforehand.
  16. EastonSN+
    I personally hate the cold, give me 32 and heavy snow.
  17. EastonSN+
    Yeah. I have not heard anyone say it's not warmer out. I think the argument is more about whether stronger storms, and therefore higher snowfall events, can compensate for shorter seasons/less events. That is still open for debate. We are still in line, strictly snowfall average wise, with 1970 through 1999 (comparing 2020/2021 to now). Amazing to think that period had only 4 above average snowfall years in a 30 year stretch despite the frigid 70s, however larger events.......
  18. EastonSN+
    This will likely be Central Park's 3rd below average snowfall winter in a row. The longest streak I could find was 10 consecutive years from 84/85 to 92/93. Most recent 96/97 through 99/00 (4 years).
  19. EastonSN+
    Western IO temps are rising fast which could create longer/stronger forcing in phases 1 and 2.
  20. EastonSN+
    I honestly do not remember the temp profile of 03/04.
  21. EastonSN+
  22. EastonSN+
    Looking at the MJO, looks like a pretty high amplitude wave in phases 2 and 3. Hopefully moved on so we finally have a warm April.
  23. EastonSN+
    Agree 100%. I look at 13/14 as a shorter duration, higher snowfall slightly warmer version of 93/94. The next time we have a similar setup we will likely compare to 13/14 and see the same differences.
  24. EastonSN+
    Here is the location monthlyseasonalsnowfall (1) (4)(1).pdf
  25. EastonSN+
    Blizzard of 96 also had this (heavy snow in the teens). This was one my my 3 lifetime 20 plus events. 1996 - 27 inches. 2013 - 22 inches. 2006 - 20.5 inches.
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