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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Your right was 18/19
  2. EastonSN+
    Probably. However I am intrigued by the forecasted MJO, and the fact that we are not following a typical La Nina December. I can see a couple of periods before March where we see a few overrunning, changeover events leading to a close to, or normal snowfall winter. 19/20 ended up being fairly close to normal (just a few inches below) with a snowy March. I can see something similar this year. Looks nothing like a ratter (aka 11/12).
  3. EastonSN+
    Is phase 7 good in a Nina?
  4. EastonSN+
    I think this delay by the EC is a product of the EC MJO lagging behind the GEFS in it's progression. The GEFS is already in phase 8.
  5. EastonSN+
    Not a MET but the blocking starting to show must be from the MJO progression. Here is the EC with same look as GEFS (a few days slower than GEFS).
  6. EastonSN+
    Thanks! I really do think that the NAO and EPO can work to give us at least a couple chances for snow. Probably nothing great, however nothing wrong with 1 to 3 or 2 to 4. We probably get another MJO cycle to 8 later in winter as well.
  7. EastonSN+
    Yeah that look works from NYC on North.
  8. EastonSN+
    Poor Buffalo!
  9. EastonSN+
    Thanks, I always thought New Jersey was considered Northeast (MA Delaware south to North Carolina).
  10. EastonSN+
  11. EastonSN+
    It's the CFS but Jan and Feb look pretty good.
  12. EastonSN+
    Just a trace/coating here in Easton.
  13. EastonSN+
    God I feel bad for the MA. Can't remember the last good winter they had. Maybe 14/15.
  14. EastonSN+
    Nice coating here. Looks good.
  15. EastonSN+
    Still snowing in Easton basically a coating on leafs and deck. 31.
  16. EastonSN+
    Still Snowing in Easton. 31. Basically a coating on leafs and deck.
  17. EastonSN+
    Snowing 34
  18. EastonSN+
    Snowing in Easton. 34.
  19. EastonSN+
    Perhaps cutter(s) skewing the over temps?
  20. EastonSN+
    Somewhat of a stall then onwards to 8.
  21. EastonSN+
    Even ECMWF has it going into phase 7 heading to 8, albeit at a much slower pace. Both models have a stall in early phase 7 before progressing.
  22. EastonSN+
    Not a great look, but unlike 2011/2012 we will at least have cold on our side of the globe, which can allow for weak trailing waves to give us lite to moderate snowfalls. Has Central Park ever been held to under one inch of snow for a winter season? Don't think it's ever happened here in SW CT (lowest I ever recorded was 3.5 in 97/98 I believe).
  23. EastonSN+
    NAM a solid 1 to 3. I'd take that then some nice warm air for mid month.
  24. EastonSN+
    Gotcha. Yeah from NYC on north and east got hammered from mid Jan onwards It was a really snowy March too.
  25. EastonSN+
    1 to 3 on the NAM.
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