Blocking fading A LITTLE BIT in the AO region, but PAC improved with the trough east.
Posting GEFS as it has been beating the EPS on the PAC. I cannot opine as to which suite is handling the blocking better though.
We just can't shake that RNA.
I hope that we get a bout of +PNA while the blocking exists.
Of course we can get front end snows from SWFEs in an RNA pattern if the EPO rages negative.
I am technically in SW CT but yeah will be tough with the temp profile.
On the bright side my TWC app has me getting 1 to 3 with a low of 29.
Would be a big win.
I am pretty confident of a 6 to 12 storm before we go all RNA. I think the wave that is showing up sooner, currently modeled as rain, will end up being more south and a potential hit.
Right here, PNA turning to RNA to help push a storm into our area with blocking in place and colder air in place.
May miss south or east, but this is our window.
Definitely rolls to an RNA, but I am definitely seeing a good window for an 8 to 12 type event before then. The way the GEFS rolls it looks nice in the transition.
That 18th through 22nd time period is oooozing with potential.
Colder air in place and rising AO/NAO from historic levels.
That December 12 thing to me is noise.