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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    It's pretty much a dartboard scenario. All options on the table.
  2. EastonSN+
    I think the MJO heading towards phase 7 will help us here
  3. EastonSN+
    Cmc further South
  4. EastonSN+
    I am still holding out hope for a Raleigh jackpot.
  5. EastonSN+
    Good for the MA if this pans out, they have been suffering in the snowfall department lately.
  6. EastonSN+
    While the AO, NAO, PNA are all heading in the wrong direction (if u like cold and snow), the MJO is still heading to phase 7 at decent amplitude. Per discussions on this board not sure on the effect it will have, but if it does it will be a good indication of a solid EOM.
  7. EastonSN+
    Feel better Jerry
  8. EastonSN+
    Looks like the opposite of last year's seasonal snowfall distro.
  9. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don. No two winters are alike but will hold out hope for a repeat of 2008/2009. Icy winter with above average seasonal snowfall capped by a nice March first noreaster.
  10. EastonSN+
    I would take a compromise between the GFS EURO and CMC.
  11. EastonSN+
    Seems like 12 z shifted north. Would hate to have cold rain
  12. EastonSN+
    Yeah looks like the AO goes negative and comes back at us.
  13. EastonSN+
    This is the type of storm that can work. In Jan 2012 we had the biggest storm of the season from a weak wave following a cutter.
  14. EastonSN+
    Teles PNA going sharply negative AO rising NAO rising Good news is MJO is heading to phase 7 at a decent level.
  15. EastonSN+
    Here's the answer (CT folks). Sorry if belongs in winter thread but it includes December. https://www.ctinsider.com/living/article/ct-winter-predictions-2021-2022-16666554.php
  16. EastonSN+
    It does feel like April is cooler than normal as well recently. Can't remember last time we had a great April.
  17. EastonSN+
    Didn't care too much for the ensembles today. Looks like gradient to our north. Did not have EPS past day 10 so maybe light at end of that one.
  18. EastonSN+
    One of those winters where 1 storm in December and that February gave us above average snowfall for the year! And a B- winter grade. I agree what's showing on the ensembles looks bad for a while. Energy savings FTW.
  19. EastonSN+
    Yeah, looking back to March and April 2018 we had almost a seasonal snowfall in 5 weeks. Of course we had last Feb too. They were SSWE driven, which is probably what we will need again, but it has happened before and can happen again. In the mean time we enjoy energy savings.
  20. EastonSN+
    Good morning! Question - perhaps I am not remembering correctly, however it seems as though almost all La Ninas have snowy Marches. Now, I know the shorter wavelengths in March mitigate the background state (enso), however I feel like El nino Marches teams to be warm and snowless compared to La Ninas. Is there a particular reason for the above? Thanks.
  21. EastonSN+
    We deserve this one.
  22. EastonSN+
    Yeah only one 3 to 6 in her in January. Can't complain only experienced 6 below average snowfall winters this century!
  23. EastonSN+
    Worst part about this look, we are at or slightly below normal on temps (no energy savings) but southwest of the storm track. At least the storms will be weak and fast moving.
  24. EastonSN+
    Looks very boring and relatively dry. Heck even in 11/12 we already had a 4 to 8 inch snowfall in the books in October.
  25. EastonSN+
    Looking at EPS we stay on the cooler side, however looks kind of hostile for anything amplifying. Boring pattern? Not a MET so perhaps I am wrong.
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