Only 10 days away! I could see something like this but smaller. Seems like we get these types of storms in late winter. More west to east orientation and quick hitting.
Looks like we go from being on the eastern side of storm tracks to now being too far west of storm tracks. That coastal looks like it could be a paste bomb.
Pattern change seems to want to occur just in time for when I come back from Texas and the Saint Patty's Day parade. 2 months too late but I guess I'll take some snow before we warm back up.
You're making it easier to root for rain with this attitude. Gfs pressed the confluence more south at 6z. Other guidance trended worse but I hate the terminology windshield wiper effect but it may happen with this next storm. The current storm actually trended favorably for the east coast. How many times have we seen a storm look amazing 7+ days out and it totally changes. This is no different. Let's let this current storm pass and see if this corrects back east.
Shouldn't be surprised by this honestly. Maybe the models correct back, maybe they don't. I thought this was going to follow the seasonal trend and nail Buffalo just like every storm this year. Hard to fight against the seasonal trends/norms.