NEOH

Wow... more in Solon that we got. That's surprising. Here's a radar link -http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=CLE-N0Q-0-6

Congrats all. Nice spread the wealth. Measured 5" so far. The meso models are showing a decent amount of precip to come... the nam handled this event pretty well so far although all were too far north with the band placement. We'll see what today brings. If the nam and wrf models are correct we are looking at .30 to .75. Even with the strong winds the highest totals have fallen close to the lake.

Wow that band is just awesome. I can barely see across the street. Can't ask for a better fetch across the lake. It looks pretty much stationary for now.

Winds have really picked up the past hour. It will be interesting too how far the bands push inland.

18z run of the NAM was pretty good. 3km has a nice 1" bullseye through the southeast part of Cuyahoga and southern Geauga. The 4km is a litte more stingy on precip with .50", and a little further north as well.

Nice forecast as usual. Your map isn't too far from CLE's latest... it will an interesting event to follow. The models show anywhere from .40 to .75 of precip in this area so with the high ratio's those amounts wouldn't be hard to reach... Provided the band doesn't set-up North of here again.

Surprised CLE hasn't upgraded the watches at this point. The mesoscale models continue to show a high impact event from the near west side through central/southern geauga county. Wonder if any ice was able to form last night on the western basin with temps in the single digits.

Noticeable shift south with precip on the 18z run. Reminderville jackpot . If there is a SW bias its good to be on the north side. Check out Lake Huron... those areas would be buried.

No doubt. After being skirted to the north last year and this year we could use a good one. The NAM performed pretty well with last weeks event so hopefully it has the same success. We even have a little buffer should there be a SW bias to the precip placement.

Here's total precip...

I know nothing about the NAM3km Para on Tropical tidbits but wow what a recent run. Here's the snowfall and precip... right around 2". Nice lake michigan connection.

I'm no expert... but I think the fetch and convergence. Our biggest events seem to be when a single band forms on a WSW flow then pushes inland as winds veer. Upstream connections will probably dictate where the band sets-up.

That's good news. What do use for looking at wind direction? I use the bufkit datawarehouse output. The 12z NAM shows a consistent 280-290 flow from 04 12/15 through 02 12/16. That wind direction is a pretty good signal for a single band. Also, now that the lake water has cooled off (especially out west), I wonder if the higher wind speeds will offset the land breeze component.

Just checked bufkit and winds do come around on the NAM primarily from a 280 wind direction... for quite some time. While the GFS brings winds around from 290 - 300 for extended period of time. I think the big difference between this event and last week is there won't be a trough stalling over the lake preventing the winds from turning.

I wonder what the next round of LES this week will bring. For those of who missed the last event hopefully the winds have a more NW component. Strong winds and dry arctic air usually are great for heavy LES but BUF seems to be on board with a significant event.

I didn't get out to measure before the temp went above freezing... but somewhere in the 5-6" range seems right. This stuff is going to a glacier after tonight.

it's dumping right now. Mix line is slowly pushing north. Not sure how far north it will make it.l

Hopefully we'll see an uptick in the snow intensity. Nice all day snowfall though. It will interesting to see how far north the dry slot and warmer air can make.

Friend of mine lives on the Kirtland/Willoughby border -- measured 30" there. Another friend in Concord just north of Chardon measured 26".

Tough one to miss out on, but at least there is snow on the ground. Hopefully we will add some tomorrow. A flip to rain looks inevitable though.

That band is still pounding the same area. Going to be some huge totals. Just 2-3" IMBY.

Definitely the jackpot area. The snow has been coming down here in bursts... It adds up quickly though. Good news on the euro.

Had a few good bursts of snow. Huge flakes. The band over the lake looks great. Looks like the rich will get richer as it is headed for the same area as earlier today. Maybe a few scraps for us down this way later on.

Just noticed that CLE had this in the AFD update... At this point, starting to question if the band will reorient itself over downtown Cleveland and points south/west anytime before 00Z. Hi-res guidance more support for snow further southwest as winds back more westerly and upstream Lake Michigan connection coming into play. This could place a dominant band onshore in western Cuyahoga but impacts would mainly be from 00Z to 09Z. Will continue to monitor and update as needed. The meso models agree but have been too far south with the snow.

I just looked at bufkit and it does show winds coming around later tonight... but then again it showed that yesterday as well. The band is currently oriented on a 290 flow over the lake. Snow is starting to form out west over the lake so that's a positive sign. This event is a good reminder that troughs have a tough time pushing this far south.