Blizzard of 93

It looks like most models today have the majority of CTP getting 1 to 3 inches of snow on Monday.

MDT recorded a 2 day event snow total of 4.2 inches. I enjoyed round 2 with several hours of light snow last night and this morning. Now, it’s time to track our next snow chance on Monday!

Really? There is still a Winter Weather Advisory up for the LSV..... Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1225 PM EST Thu Feb 18 2021 PAZ035-036-056>059-063>066-190500- /O.CAN.KCTP.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-210219T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0016.210218T1725Z-210219T1500Z/ Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams- York-Lancaster- Including the cities of McConnellsburg, Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 1225 PM EST Thu Feb 18 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Periods of light snow and mixed precipitation. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches with a light glaze of ice in spots. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A lull in precipitation will last from early this afternoon into this evening, accompanied by areas of freezing drizzle. Another round of steadier light snow and mixed precipitation returns tonight, with 1 to 3 inches of additional snow accumulation possible tonight through mid morning Friday.

The 0z GFS is on board for round 2 tonight for an inch or 2 of snow yet to come, The radar is filling in to the south & west.

@MAG5035 What are your thoughts on round 2 tonight into tomorrow?

Yes, the 3k NAM is saying don’t forget about the caboose on the snow train tonight! It has 1 to 2 more inches of snow for most of us by tomorrow early afternoon.

18z Euro agrees that we will have the chance to tack on some more snow tonight!

They are now over climo seasonal average as of today! We still have over a month to score more! Heck, even tonight may tack on some more...

3.5 as of 5pm

The radar is looking good to our south & west for round 2 tonight! Light snow is underway again here in Marysville with not much showing on radar at the moment.

MDT recorded 3.5 inches of snow today so far at the 5pm climate summary. They are now above normal snow for the whole season! Still over a month to go to pad the stats!

Here are better views of the 18z GFS & ICON. Let’s go round 2 tonight ! All aboard! ( that was for @Bubbler86 !)

The flake size has increased with moderate snow now in Marysville. Yes...the road has caved!

Light snow currently in Marysville with a dusting on all surfaces.

The 6z NAMs still get good snow into most of CTP.

The HRDPS has a nice swath of 6 to 8 inches of snow for the LSV.

The next run will show 3 inches by 11 am and then the next run will show partly cloudy with a high of 60 at the same time. The hourly swings on the HRRR are bizarre.

Most models put us into a range of 4 to 8 inches, so I think that is a reasonable forecast at this time.

The 0z ICON looks good for CTP. I only have it available in 10-1 ratio.

21z SREF still targets the LSV with the bullseye! I am riding the old school model train!

CTP forecast is looking good on the 12k NAM. It looks like 5 to 8 when the storm is done.

Let’s spin the wheel on the NAM to see what it decides to bring soon!

Yes, the 0z HRRR gives a solid 5 to 7 inches of snow to the LSV through Friday am.

The 18z EPS says that we are all in good shape for 5 to 6 inches in the LSV. This ensemble is only available in 10-1 ratio, so we could possibly add 1 or 2 inches of snow to this in some areas.

Radar looks great down south.