Blizzard of 93

Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 204 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022 PAZ059-064>066-130800- Lancaster PA-York PA-Adams PA-Lebanon PA- 204 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022 ...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF LANCASTER...YORK... ADAMS...AND LEBANON COUNTIES... HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than one half of a mile. Snowfall rates around one inch per hour. LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 203 AM EST, a band of heavy snow was along a line extending from near Myerstown to near Mount Joy to York to near Hanover and moving northeast at 5 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... York, Lebanon, Hanover, Weigelstown, Elizabethtown, Columbia, Lititz, Mount Joy, Parkville, Manheim, Myerstown, Shiloh, East York, Stonybrook-Wilshire, West York, Salunga-Landis

I woke up around 2 am to moderate snow in Marysville. Grassy surfaces and car tops have caved. There looks to be around .5 of snow out there as of 2:30 am.

Again, Rouzerville & Cashtown jackpot, so it must be right.

Great point about the precip orientation so far this evening. The LSV is more than due for an over performing event!

The 3k NAM looks right for our region… It shows the typical jackpot for Rouzerville & @Cashtown_Coop Let’s do this!

The latest SREFs are still looking good for the LSV.

The most recent SREF models juiced up a bit as well. These I only have in 10-1 ratio.

Here’s a different view of the 18z NAM. The precip orientation is a little sporadic, but I really like seeing the “blues” as far west as Mifflin county. This is a great sign for western areas of the LSV to possibly get into the 2 to 3 inch snow zone.

18z HRRR looking good for the LSV

I’m just joking around with you… March will be our month!

Here is the 12z Canadian

Are you enjoying living close to them again now that you’re back in Texas?

Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1152 AM EST Sat Feb 12 2022 PAZ064>066-131200- /O.NEW.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.220213T0400Z-220213T1600Z/ Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 1152 AM EST Sat Feb 12 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. * WHERE...Adams, York and Lancaster Counties. Maximum snowfall amounts are most likely along and southeast of Route 30 and 222. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 11 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest accumulations will be on non- paved surfaces.

Here is the 12z HRDPS

The 2 NAMs bring decent snow to different parts of the LSV. @CarlislePaWx & @sauss06 and I are rooting for the 12k !

12z HRRR snow at 10-1 ratio…I don’t have Kuchera for it.

Yes, the 12z extended HRRR looks good for the LSV.

Here are the last 40 or so snow seasons since 1980 at Harrisburg. We have a couple of years beat already, and are a few inches of snow from taking down a few more seasons. Lots of time to still get into the 20 inch range to get closer to the median snow.

Here is the most recent Euro Weeklies run from this week through March 28th. I would sign up now for 9 more inches of snow at Harrisburg by late March if this run verified. This would bring MDT to near 20 inches for the season. We would still be about 10 inches below normal snow for the season, but it would make it a little more respectable snow year.

I looked at the old Euro Weeklies run from from December 30th for the period ending February 14th. The snow forecast was very accurate on this run for the LSV. Harrisburg is currently sitting at 10 inches of snow through today. There is a decent chance of 1 inch of snow tomorrow, so the 11 inches at Harrisburg by 2/14 might be right on point.

Sorry to hear about your career issues. I hope that all is well soon for you!

3k NAM 6z run also bumped north a bit.

A few people on here are acting like it’s March 12th instead of February 12th… It’s almost like this is their first Winter in Central PA…. Every year these same people need reminded that we can get great snow chances here until late March.

6z runs most models improved snow amounts over their previous runs for Sunday for the LSV.

@canderson moved back to Texas, but he didn’t tell us, so I think he is forecasting for down there. He needs to find out which southern thread that he should post in on this website.