Blizzard of 93

The storm next Thursday night through Friday continues to trend towards a more Wintry scenario for CTP. Decent front end thump to heavy mix back to snow!

Epic run! Maps coming soon…

The 6z GFS then has a snow chance for us a few days later to close out the month.

6z GFS & 0z Euro both have mixed precip for us next Thursday night.

The 18z GEFS has impressive snow amounts very far south through the end of its 16 day run.

The 18z GFS says that we have 2 Winter storms to track before the end of February.

I’m getting fired up for later next week into mid March! Lots of tracking in our near future!

The 6z GFS has a couple of events that bring us snow by the end of February and the first few days of March.

The ensembles today provided a really good look for Winter storm chances in day 10 to 15. Each global ensemble shows a -EPO with a ridge in the west providing a northwest flow delivering cold for the northeast. The southeast ridge gets muted, but would provide some resistance to keep a good moisture feed to our region in this look. If this pattern comes to fruition, we should have some chances.

Brutal game tonight! They have been playing really well, so this came out of nowhere. I think this loss should get their attention before the Bucks game on Thursday.

The EPO is heading negative later next week and we should have a good cold air feed with an active storm track. We should have a couple of threats to track for the last few days of February into early March.

18z GFS also has a few Winter storm opportunities.

The 12z main global models today each had a very interesting look for the 25th. Cold highs pressing down with a good amount of precip in the south central states.

Yes! It looks like we may be back in the Winter storm business in about 9 days. I don’t mind warm ups that much when I can see the way out.

The end of the 18z GFS is interesting as well. More energy in the south central states with plenty of cold available.

18z GFS says that we will only need to wait 2 weeks until Winter weather returns.

18z HRDPS looks interesting for the LSV tonight.

I ended up with 1.8 of snow in Marysville. The heavy band was nice, but most of the time rates dropped off in between bands. Those that stayed in the good band or got hit with both got the 3 or 4 inch amounts. I enjoyed every minute of it, but I am tired now!

Another Statement from CTP! Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 500 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022 PAZ052-053-056>059-063-065-131100- Columbia PA-Perry PA-York PA-Northumberland PA-Cumberland PA- Lebanon PA-Dauphin PA-Schuylkill PA- 500 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022 ...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF COLUMBIA...PERRY... YORK...NORTHUMBERLAND...CUMBERLAND...LEBANON...DAUPHIN...AND SCHUYLKILL COUNTIES... HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than one half of a mile. Snowfall rates are around one inch per hour within this band. LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 456 AM EST, a band of heavy snow was along a line extending from near Berwick to near Shamokin to near Linglestown to Camp Hill to near Carlisle to 13 miles east of Shippensburg and moving east at 15 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... Harrisburg, Carlisle, Lower Allen, Pottsville, Hershey, Berwick, Mechanicsburg, Middletown, Camp Hill, Shamokin, Palmyra, New Cumberland, Tamaqua, Linglestown, Enola, Schuylkill Haven, Shenandoah, Lemoyne, St. Clair and Colonial Park.

More counties added to the Advisory! Winter Weather Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 411 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022 PAZ036-057>059-063-131600- /O.EXA.KCTP.WW.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-220213T1600Z/ Franklin-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Including the cities of Chambersburg, Harrisburg, Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, and Carlisle 411 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Snow of varying intensity. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches, mainly to the southeast of Interstate 81. Some of the ridges along and just to the southeast of Interstate 81 could see up to 4 inches of total snowfall. * WHERE...Franklin, Dauphin, Schuylkill, Lebanon and Cumberland Counties. * WHEN...Until 11 AM EST Today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of 1 to 1.5 inches per hour will occur within the heaviest snowband, expected to be near and just to the southeast of Interstate 81 for the longest period of time. The heaviest accumulations will occur on colder, non- paved surfaces.

@Cashtown_Coop It looks like you & I are the only 2 snow gamers that are awake now on here. How is the snow looking now for you?

Heavy snow at 4:15am in this band in Marysville! The Statement above is legit with great flake size & rates. Roads caved and I’m approaching 1 inch of snow that is now quickly accumulating.

Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 358 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022 PAZ028-036-056-057-063-064-131000- Perry PA-Adams PA-Franklin PA-Cumberland PA-Juniata PA-Dauphin PA- 358 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022 ...A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT PARTS OF PERRY...ADAMS... FRANKLIN...CUMBERLAND...JUNIATA...AND DAUPHIN COUNTIES... HAZARDS...A band of heavy snow which can rapidly reduce visibility to less than one half of a mile. Snowfall rates of around 1 inch per hour will occur within this band. LOCATION AND MOVEMENT...At 355 AM EST, a band of heavy snow was along a line extending from 10 miles southwest of Selinsgrove to Newport to near Carlisle to Shippensburg to Greencastle and moving east at 15 MPH. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... Harrisburg, Chambersburg, Carlisle, Waynesboro, Mechanicsburg, Enola, Shippensburg, Greencastle, Newport, Guilford, Plainfield, Schlusser, Boiling Springs, Fayetteville, Millersburg, Wayne Heights, Marysville, Mount Holly Springs, Mont Alto and Duncannon.

0z Euro had its best run yet for this event for the LSV for what it’s worth at this point.

Hopefully the Lancaster & York crew cashed in on this heavy band.