Blizzard of 93

Lol…you’re right, but I couldn’t resist taking a look just for entertainment!

In other news, the Mid Atlantic forum has already canceled next Winter in their Winter preview thread!

I hope you get some good rain & eventually some good sleep tonight!

MDT might get a little rain from this 1 as well to add to the surplus.

It looks like @Itstrainingtime and @Mount Joy Snowman are going to be the bullseye with this one.

CTP has this forecast for tonight in the Harrisburg area. Tonight Showers and thunderstorms before 3am, then isolated showers. Some of the storms could produce gusty winds and heavy rain. Patchy fog after 3am. Low around 73. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

It sounds like more rain chances are on the way today and tomorrow for many of us.

Yes, it didn’t take long to eliminate the deficit.

MDT is now running a precip surplus for the year! MDT recorded 2.17 inches of precip yesterday. Precip for the year is now at 22.40 and the average through yesterday is 22.23 inches.

Cumberland & Dauphin counties are now in the Warning that I posted above.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service State College PA 844 PM EDT Sun Jul 11 2021 The National Weather Service in State College PA has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Schuylkill County in central Pennsylvania... Dauphin County in south central Pennsylvania... Cumberland County in south central Pennsylvania... Eastern Perry County in south central Pennsylvania... Northwestern Lebanon County in south central Pennsylvania... * Until 1000 PM EDT. * At 844 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Millersburg to near New Buffalo to near Shippensburg, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Harrisburg, Carlisle, Lower Allen, Hershey, Colonial Park, Progress, Mechanicsburg, Camp Hill, New Cumberland, Linglestown, Enola, Steelton, Shippensburg, Lemoyne, Hummelstown, Ashland, Plainfield, Paxtonia, Schlusser and Rutherford.

The humidity was as bad as it gets around here today. This is the kind of weather that makes me want to hibernate this time of year!

This line looks nasty! Hopefully no major issues for anyone this evening!

Beautiful morning with a breeze and no humidity. A splendid mid Summer day is underway!

There has been a lot of rain the last 2 days. The rain both days has come at a terrible time in the late afternoon with many people on the roads.

I don't have a home weather station, but it’s something that I should look into getting someday. @Voyager should go out to California to track the extreme temps for us!

2 days in a row of reducing the rain deficit at MDT. If we get good rain early this coming week, we might be running a rain surplus by next week!

MDT recorded .97 from the storm today.

lol… yes… good old ratios!

Heavy rain continues in Marysville! This will put a dent into the precip deficit at MDT.

Plenty of time for a slight north trend for my backyard to jackpot!

@losetoa6 How is the 18z Euro looking for rain from Elsa for our region? Do you happen to have the rain total map?

Lol, I was just joking around!

Lol… I didn’t know that Harrisburg was 90 miles away from Juniata & Snyder county!

CTP thinks the Eastern part our region is in the game for good rain. Focus shifts to heavy rain potential on Thursday as the approach of mid/upper trough through the Great Lakes combined with moist south/southwest flow ahead of TS Elsa continues to raise concerns about potential heavy rainfall on Thursday. An overall western trend has continued in model guidance today, raising some concerns for my far southeastern counties to potentially be on the periphery of heavy rains. There remains uncertainty in how convective bands may setup, leading to low confidence in how far west precip trends will evolve. WPC D2 SLGT risk ERO (2 out of 4)includes the eastern 1/3 of the CWA. We will continue to monitor with heavy rain/ff becoming the primary hazards on Thursday. As of now, PHI and LWX will be bordering our southeast counties with Flash Flood Watches as 2 to locally 4" is targeting areas just ESE of my counties. Increased cloud cover and anticipated widespread shower activity will shave about 7-10 degrees from recent highs with fcst maxTs in the mid 70s to mid/upper 80s. It will remain humid with dewpoints holding in the 65-70F range. Latest NHC track takes TS Elsa off the NJ coast by 12Z Friday but the cone of uncertainty has been brought a bit farther to the west so we may see some rain from Elsa clip the southeast.