It’s just a matter of time until we are tracking specific threats in early January.
The week 2 looks on all 3 of the ensembles continue to show ridging up top in the Arctic & Greenland and then a broad trough from coast to coast that should give us chances of Winter storms.
Exactly!
Especially when the 12z EPS still continues to look good.
The period around January 7th is showing as a good window of opportunity for a Winter storm chance.
The signal is pretty strong for an ensemble run at this range.
The 12z GFS wishes you a Happy Birthday!
The upcoming pattern would support this type of event, so let’s continue to watch the chances develop over the next week or two.