Orangeburgwx

Disclaimer: Depending on changeovers along frontal boundaries hardly ever works in our favor in AL/GA, but the more robust trough helps out chances.
Also the CMC looks nice with some backside snow showers into the morning of the 25th 

I would freaking cry

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0z

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This is insane

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We all know the windshield wiper effect, we still outside 48 hours

 

Even the Euro was slower with the low and front, and a slightly better cold push. )I am not wishcasting either, just observing what I saw on Pivotal)

 

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That 850mb gradient over western Tennesse is insane

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GFS was slightly (and I mean a fairy sneeze) more favorable for us on 12z from 6z. The low is 2mbs stronger and the front is slower to progress. The low is still in NC at hr78 as opposed to West Virgina at 6z hr84 and 10/20 GEFS ensembles still give some folks outside the mountains (including the SC low county) flakes. All is not lost yet, tiny details like this as we get closer can make a difference.

This is the 12z mean, even if nothing sticks, flakes on Christmas is the rarest thing we can have down here in the SE that isn't a 73 redux.

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To hour 78, front is a hair slower

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So close... Yet so far

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Tornadoes one day, snow the next... 2020 going out with a bang

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Sigh...

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Can I laugh yet?

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I'm going to photo-shop a N'awlens Low ... just to make myself feel better.

Better be a 990 bomber

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Flooding rain instead of snow? 

Swimming in the streets
Man this outlook's bleak
It's always rain or sleet
A White Christmas we do seek!

But we live in a fire hose
Thanks to the ol' warm nose
And we have nothing to show
Because it can't freaking snow!

OH!

Winter time, winter time
How we love you so
So can you spare us a dime
With a coastal lo-ow?!

Winter time, winter time
You just can't be beat
We are sick of cold rain slime
So how about a 73 repeat?!

We all watch and wait
As our hopes start to soar
Models running late
Make this quite the chore!

But there is a single fact
As the north starts to feast
Cold air can't come attack
Because we live in the Southeast!

OH!

Winter time, winter time
How we love you so
So can you spare us a dime
With a coastal lo-ow?!

Winter time, winter time
You just can't be beat
We are sick of cold rain slime
So how about a 73 repeat?!

(I will move this to Banter if told to, I am on my last point and don't want my account banned)

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What a difference 24 hours makes (this is for the 22nd)

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Which equals out to this image. The OP might be drastically overdone with the anafrontal snow. 

Weird, cause the Ensemble mean looks different than that...

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BOOM GOES THE DYNAMITE, definitely getting better (now for once the Euro needs to cave to the GFS)

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We did have the day after Christmas snow 10 years ago  

Yeah, but it isn't a white Christmas

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If we could get any kind of mood flakes Christmas Eve or Day - that's a win in my book.

This right here

Accumulation be damned, last time my area had a White Christmas was the 1989 snowstorm (5 years before this young whipper snapper was born)

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Haha... #8 Good Lord. Lol


.

I mean... 30" for TN...

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Wow...

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Wow... The Carolinas got Polar Bombed...

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16:1 ratio. A little fluffy. 
 
 
 
 
 

Matches the rate I had with the 1/3/18 storm. That is white out conditions with a few hundred feet of visibility with no wind, even a slight breeze would royally screw your day

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Looking at the GEFS ensembles, there’s 7/20 members showing at least a trace of snow on Christmas. 

4/20 down my way as well, and after seeing flurries last night, it got me in that "I'm Dreaming of a White Christmas" mood

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May all of us here in the SE forum have a happy holidays, a safe holidays, and a snowful new year starting with next week

 

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We have plenty of golf time every winter  

*gives all the cookies*

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