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Posts posted by Orangeburgwx
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18z EPS ensembles were interesting...
10/51 give the SC midlands snow
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3:1 is the ratio on Weatherbell, that is the metric I would useNot sure, but looks like NAM is using just over 2 to 1 ratio, which seems low if anything. I would imagine 3 to 1 is closer for sleet.
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This weekend
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No doubt of that, if the vortex kicks a little quicker (24-36hrs if that) we would be in business
It’s going to be a long week. It gets colder past this point as the storm goes along. The western ridging was nice that run, but the cold vortex over South Central Canada just got hung up a little with its movement southeast. Big potential here
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RIP South Carolina snow dreams
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Euro out to the 11th, slight more ridging out west
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Big uptick from 6z
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I noticed that too, we are still 10 days out so it could swing backIdk it still trended towards its OP run even if it masked it well. It still sped things up by at least a half day and the thermals were way different. The 850 freezing line was way further south on the 0z GEFS than the one above.
The issue as far as I can tell is the SE Canada Vortex isn't getting out of the way like it was on yesterday's runs. Keeps our wave from slowing down and amplifying.
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FV3 has the low way inland for next weekend, rockets out of here so no storm
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Cold push coming in quicker this run
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Say it louder for the people in the back!
I’m sure most of the se crew would gladly take any type of frozen flakes that fall
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Looks like that 15th storm went poof for the southern half of South Carolina...
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Welp this is gonna put me in the dark for awhile...
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FYI the 18z Euro (hr144 for 18z Tuesday, which was hr150 on 12z Euro) continues the trend of slowing the arctic front. Subtle difference, but easily seeable when cycling between the two runs
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Also, those totals are at 6:1... Do the c9nversions from there
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18z pulled a 73 doped up on 2020 cocaine...
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Wonder if the ensembles are having mixing issues
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I have nearly been run off this board multiple times by weenieing over 73 to the point I keep my mouth shut about itYou live in my neck of the woods. Look at the link to the SE snowstorm of Feb 9-13 1973. You see any similarities? Even the date is close. Anyway I have hope but its to far off but I am amazed at the similarities. https://www.weather.gov/ilm/Feb1973Snow
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Yikes
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I got up at 6am to see about the dog, got to see some flurries flying so my Christmas was made.
Even all the way down to Charleston reported snow flakes
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Not as bad as I used to be... How bad is Ronnie?There is a guy named Ronnie Bobbitt in NC that makes Orangeburg look like a rookie when it comes to being a weenie! Orangeburg is pretty bad though.
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18z
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Lot of wintery weather reports in Georgia right now
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Tennessee man...
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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021
in Southeastern States
Posted
Jeshhhhh
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