Orangeburgwx

Who's this newbie?  

12z GEFS is out to lunch... Way warmer than OP (Weatherbell pic)

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk

Anyone else get this when they try to pull up the GEFS on Weatherbell?

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk

2018 redux but ice instead of snow

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk

Something to remember, this CAD has a direct connection to the parent HP over Canada. Once we start getting the northeasterly wind feed setup later this week, I have a hard time seeing the wedge breaking until the HP moves out of position offshore, which wont' happen until next week. It's honestly going to only get stronger over as time goes on and the HP buildings into the Dakotas and eventually slides east.
So we could be looking at several days of freezing rain/sleet coinciding with the STJ impulses that are coming through. The models will likely trend towards this solution over time. 

Serious question:  What are the chances that a lot of Valentine’s deliveries will be messed up for Saturday?    My wife pulled the old “oh, don’t bother getting me anything” trick, but I’m not falling for that one.  LOL

It looks like the NAM is showing a multi-day ice event.

6z ENS came in way warmer (this is in Celsius)

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk

I have the sudden urge to play me some Fallout.

Guess it just depends on which you enjoy most, extreme weather or having your lights on.  

Southeast winter
Its done got me down
Southeast winter
There is no cold air around!

Pack up the truck, pick up my stake
Imma movin' to a northern state
Southeast winter
Its done got me down!



(Yes I just parodied "Uranium Fever", no, I am not sorry XD)

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk

I feel like this season they have underestimated so far... at least for the 2 CAD icing events we've had.

Oh yeah.  It’s just people in the mid-long thread seem to change their minds about what’s gonna happen every five minutes. Lol. 

I got lucky in ‘14 and got more sleet than ice when I was living in Columbia. Sledding was off the charts for almost a week. It was worth the scrapes I got as I hit sound barrier speed going down our favorite hill.   From Augusta to the SC coast wasn’t as lucky. One of the worst ice storms I’ve seen in the 30 something years here in SC. 

I don’t know what’s happening anymore.

This could end up being a multi-day ice on ice event for some.  Very little melting going on. Tenths upon tenths of zr.  This long duration event would easily rival the tree damage I experienced back in 2002.  Pray for sleet but go ahead and buy your gennie now if you ever wanted one. This is U..G..L..Y! 

ENS running now fyi

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk

Near ‘perfect’ freezing rain setup as the southern wave and retreating TPV in SE Canada were closer together so the high was in ‘perfect’ damming location during the storm with strong cold source. Also, southern wave goes negative tilt and tracks to our northwest so the mid levels warm 

Big CAD setup on Euro Mon night into Tues. Ice down to Macon and Orangeburg. Retreats north but upstate stays below freezing full storm 

Yesh

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk

Welp. I’ll take South Carolina football fans’ approach to every season: there’s always next year 

Wedge induced Freezing rain all way in to Florida on the icon, never seen that before

GEFS too warm, doesn't punch the cold until Tuesday

Sent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk