Orangeburgwx

You have been on a freaking roll

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 18.5 North, longitude 59.6 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A west-northwest to northwest motion at a decreasing forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will move north of the northern Leeward Islands later today, pass well north of Puerto Rico on Saturday, and be well east-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. A gradual weakening trend is forecast to continue today, but Jerry is expected to remain a hurricane during the next few days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft has recently reported a minimum central pressure of 989 mb (29.20 inches).

WNW at 290... last few days it was 295, something to watch... Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

Uh, you mean Jerry? Or talking about how close Dorian and Humberto DID come? Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

What happened to NOAA2? It hasnt reported in awhile...

Good, NOAA9 for Upper Level, NOAA2 for lower

000 WTNT35 KNHC 191753 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Jerry Intermediate Advisory Number 9A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019 200 PM AST Thu Sep 19 2019 ...JERRY GETTING STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.2N 55.2W ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES

AF300 Mission 1 finished NOAA2 Training Mission for Low Level Recon En Route

4mb drop in under 40 minutes...

982.6 extrapolated that pass

Jerry still intensifying... Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

Somebody update the forum header: ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN Hurricane Jerry Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102019 1100 AM AST Thu Sep 19 2019 ...AIR FORCE AIRCRAFT FINDS JERRY IS A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 54.4W ABOUT 490 MI...785 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES

Got to be a cane... Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

Insanely dry air near the Northern Leeward Islands... Yet we all saw Dorian hold up under even drier conditions as a weaker tropical storm Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

Yet another fish storm then...

Notice the uptick at the end? 62kts

Weird is the norm for this season... Case in point: Barry Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

T3.5 currently on last pass... Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

Big impact downstream as well... Bigger chance of it coming closer to the East Coast Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

Once Jerry gets north of PR the enviroment becomes way more favorable... Also, that tiny pocket of 120kt shear ahead of Humberto is the strongest I have ever seen Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

Thing to note: 6z ECMWF rimriding the very bottom edge (or just south of) the 5am NHC cone

^this is why Agnes

EPS left everything in play Sent from my SM-S327VL using Tapatalk

Question: what is the deal with that feeder front in the NE quadrant? Inflow channel exposed by shear? Also of note: going by the IR loop on Tropical Tidbits, the center looks to be spinning along due west the last few hours along 14N

Until this blasted pattern breaks down... Heck, my town practially NEEDS a slow mover because we are over -17.00" for the year drought wise