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Orangeburgwx

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Everything posted by Orangeburgwx

  1. Orangeburgwx
    You have no idea how bad I needed that laughing fit I just had after reading that... Thank you
  2. Orangeburgwx
    Hr66 on the FV3 is trending colder than 6z
  3. Orangeburgwx
    Not a good start... Out to 78, HP 1mb weaker and slightly further north...
  4. Orangeburgwx
    6z FV3 shifted the cold back south a little bit... Something to monitor today
  5. Orangeburgwx
    That will easily washout the dirt road in front of my house, will be way worse if the CAD mixes it to a nasty ZR/SL/SN mixture
  6. Orangeburgwx
    2.0" for my area holy hell...
  7. Orangeburgwx
    We will have to wait until 11am for the 12z GFS, if it comes in like the FV3 that means suppression is still on. The 0z runs always suck anyway
  8. Orangeburgwx
    .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Surface high pressure will remain across the region Wednesday into Friday morning, with another cold front then moving into through the area Friday afternoon, and pushing well south of the cwa into Saturday. Dry conditions will continue into Friday. The chance for precipitations will return Friday night as moisture overruns the frontal boundary stalled to our south. The main concern in the long term is the potential for a winter mix over the Piedmont and north Midlands Saturday into Sunday. Confidence is low at this time as to the location and amount of winter weather given models differences. Models develop an area of low pressure along the frontal boundary to our south. The ECMWF has the area low pressure farther south than the GFS...thus allowing colder air and the chance for winter weather to possibly affect the northern Midlands and Piedmont Saturday morning as temperatures fall into the mid 30s and again Saturday night as lows dip into the low and mid 30s. This cold and wet pattern is expected to continue into Sunday as the area of low pressure crosses the southeastern states and moves off the Carolina coast. Confidence remains low and much can change between now and then, so will continue to monitor through the week. Come on NWS drop the hammer and tell the truth...
  9. Orangeburgwx
    Is it just me or is the FV3 keeps trending colder each run
  10. Orangeburgwx
    17" IMBY on the 6z FV3...that's a lot of sleet
  11. Orangeburgwx
    I still got 9/50 on the EURO and the FV3 is holding serve... No complaints
  12. Orangeburgwx
    1mb stronger too
  13. Orangeburgwx
    FV3 is flatter at 84, not as much suppression so add it to the dumpster
  14. Orangeburgwx
    SFC low at 144 is a hair further ESE and a tad quicker than 18z
  15. Orangeburgwx
    How does it look over SC vs the 12z?
  16. Orangeburgwx
    How's it look? More suppressed to the south or ticked north?
  17. Orangeburgwx
    If you get it send pics
  18. Orangeburgwx
    High too strong, second low stays off the coast
  19. Orangeburgwx
    Here comes the cut off low at 210... Temps in the 20s all the way to Savannah
  20. Orangeburgwx
    0z: 8/50 ensembles give me snow 12z: 31/50
  21. Orangeburgwx
    Is that the master?
  22. Orangeburgwx
    Welcome back
  23. Orangeburgwx
    FV3 on pivotal gives me .75" of snow and .4" ZR on the Kuchera
  24. Orangeburgwx
    No I won't, I will simply flat out admit I was wrong
  25. Orangeburgwx
    Omg that FV3 clown map...
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