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Orangeburgwx

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Everything posted by Orangeburgwx

  1. Swing and miss down my way too good buddy... High was 55°, only got up to 47°
  2. Oh I am, but still, that would be a total nightmare if that verified...
  3. Man the end if that FV3 run was brutal... A 24hr ice storm for South Carolina
  4. Look at the HP placement on the FV3. Savannah is not good for us
  5. h5 is a strung out, suppressed mess... But it does try to spin up a weak low over Jacksonville
  6. Right now it is only out to hr36, but that HP near Montana is a tick south and 1mb stronger compared to 6z
  7. Grasping at straws here, but the 12z GFS looked a little better for the 28th...
  8. Personally I think what screwed us most was the ENSO at the start of winter... went from a forecasted modiki/weak Nino to a weak moderate.
  9. What the hell is going on with the h5 on the FV3...
  10. Btw 18z GEFS was mountains only for this weekend...
  11. And once again, screws us in the south and east... You had your turn, let us have ours
  12. Edit: we get a 1043 HP over the plains this run with the low in Mexico on the 29th
  13. Afternoon Disco: .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Models differ on the specifics with regards to a deep upper trough over the Eastern U.S. next weekend. Expect temperatures to be at or below normal levels for late January. Disturbances rotating around the base of the upper trough could amplify and become an issue for the region Sunday Night into Monday, however confidence is lower than normal in any given solution.
  14. 1037AM disco High pressure should continue to dominate on Saturday, and after a chilly start we should be up to normal temps in the 50s. Another area of low pressure will be approaching from the west on Sunday, but the models really begin to diverge at this point, so I have just gone with a blend of everything for now.
  15. 13/50 with at least a trace for me this close is starting to get me excited
  16. FV3 gives me 6.1 on the Kuchera (over 7" on the 10:1 maps)...
  17. ICON overamped and GFS kill switched.. I think we may be in business for everybody (even Northern Florida)
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