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Orangeburgwx

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Everything posted by Orangeburgwx

  1. Shift it 100 miles SE and it will get the whole board down to FL involved
  2. I'm on the cutoff line again... Is it too much to ask?!?! Oh yeah that's right: 1)Never trust snow on models outside 48hrs... Even inside 48 always be skeptical 2)SER/WAA (warm nose) always prevails 3) CAE snow shield screws the entire state of SC, Savannah to Augusta, and from Charlotte through the triangle #rantover
  3. In his defense, the ENSO collapsing and not producing the Modeki/weak Nino screwed over every single prewinter forecast...
  4. At work so haven't had the chance to look at the 12z suites... But gonna take a guess that SC got burned on every model with no snow falling...
  5. No, today's trends will settle the score #yougotNAMed
  6. Considering we all love to chase unicorns (the models), if you could actually have one, what you name it? (boardwide question so anyone can answer)
  7. Lmao TWC gives me 1-3" of accumation on the 2nd/3rd
  8. Sunday, Feb the 3rd at 13:00 — Main run: 7.1 in — Ensemble mean: 0.1 in Maximum: 2.6 in 90% Percentile: 0 in Minimum: 0 in 10% Percentile: 0 in All times are local time (EST) Current run: 12z Now you see? That ensemble mean shows no support.
  9. Gladly https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/south-carolina/snow-depth-in/20190203-1800z.html
  10. I just did a profile match... It is downright eerie at how that snow gradient is nearly identical (but to a lesser extent) to the infamous 1973 Blizzard
  11. 12z GFS did exactly as I thought it would... Precip closer to the coast and temps a tick warmer for Monday
  12. Well it is a start.... Lots of wiggle room left for that one
  13. Yeah... NW trend can be your best friend or worse enemy... 4 days out and if it shifts much further us lowcountry SC/ENC guys are stuck with cold rain unless we luck up with a 1-million phase and drags the 850s down... It is going to be a boardwide nail biter
  14. I feel dirty about it too... Considering where I live is 95% torch with a NW trend, this is the one time I actually need it
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