Orangeburgwx

And once again, screws us in the south and east... You had your turn, let us have ours

Not outside the mountains Bet on overrunning

Edit: we get a 1043 HP over the plains this run with the low in Mexico on the 29th

18z squashed again for this weekend...

Afternoon Disco: .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Models differ on the specifics with regards to a deep upper trough over the Eastern U.S. next weekend. Expect temperatures to be at or below normal levels for late January. Disturbances rotating around the base of the upper trough could amplify and become an issue for the region Sunday Night into Monday, however confidence is lower than normal in any given solution.

I get ice off that

^this

1037AM disco High pressure should continue to dominate on Saturday, and after a chilly start we should be up to normal temps in the 50s. Another area of low pressure will be approaching from the west on Sunday, but the models really begin to diverge at this point, so I have just gone with a blend of everything for now.

13/50 with at least a trace for me this close is starting to get me excited

GEFS still on our side #takeachillpill

FV3 gives me 6.1 on the Kuchera (over 7" on the 10:1 maps)...

ICON overamped and GFS kill switched.. I think we may be in business for everybody (even Northern Florida)

Pats win

Overtime in Arrowhead!

As a Browns fan, now you know how I feel every freaking week... #screwtherefs

I lost $50 because of that damn no-call

GEFS a I-77 special...

Yeah but we still missed

Remember what I said this morning... I'm waiting on all the 18z models However, the clear skies tonight are perfect to view the eclipse!

That comes from several factors: 1)Not handling the h5 energy well 2) the OPs are just that, operationals, so the ensembles will have more spread 3) the GEFS is currently hampered by the fact the GFS has sort-of incomplete data due to the shutdown 4) For the ensembles not matching other model ensembles, see point number one

Shout out to E6 of the EURO that puts a trace of snow in Tampa Bay of all places...

What does the EPS look like?

Because of the track of the low?

That is extremely bullish...

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... A slow moving frontal boundary will push through region Wednesday into Thursday with periods of rain. Another Arctic high pressure system dives into the Central U.S. Friday into next weekend with an associated deep upper trough over the Eastern U.S. Much below normal temperatures are forecast and will need to watch for disturbances rotating around the base of the trough which could bring light wintry precipitation to central South Carolina and east central Georgia. &&