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LakeEffectKing

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Everything posted by LakeEffectKing

  1. LakeEffectKing
    Talked to family in Parish... They got about a foot last night.
  2. LakeEffectKing
    Yeah... this one doesn't look to be significant for S.Oswego Co./N. Onondaga Co....I think this may get into your area for a couple hours later tonight...
  3. LakeEffectKing
    Someone is going to see 12-16"....most likely within Parish, Palermo, C. Square triangle..
  4. LakeEffectKing
    I wouldn't say that...if a shoreline convergence can take over (hard to do once a center lake band forms, but can happen) then N. Onondaga Co. can jackpot...it happened many times when I was in Liverpool.
  5. LakeEffectKing
    The models this morning were having a tough time trying to figure out if the band's southern extent would halt at the Parish/Central Square area, or the Phoenix/Clay area. The 2 camps were being driven by whether the genesis of the lake effect was shoreline or major axis convergence. It looks like right now the major axis convergence zone is setting up as we speak....which MAY indicate Central Oswego Co. as tonight's target zone for max. totals.
  6. LakeEffectKing
    As well as the RGEM
  7. LakeEffectKing
    06 NAM off with western extent of qpf...
  8. LakeEffectKing
    Most of the season the teleconnections have probably played a decent role. Our best opportunities are when the MS River Valley/East Coast has an established longwave trough, and we have not had that for a few seasons at least.
  9. LakeEffectKing
    Great videos BW! That wind! I prefer the 3-5"/hr. with no wind, but certainly appreciate the harshness the wind adds. Yeah. Not much for Erie folks the next few days, but off Ontario, C/S Oswego Co. into Oneida Co. should have a decent window (8-14 hours) for 1-3"/hr. stuff. At this time it doesn't look like there will be any connection (circulation nor seeding) off Georgian Bay.
  10. LakeEffectKing
    UK for Mon. Night/Tue. Event...few inches...
  11. LakeEffectKing
    The orientation of the bands look to be backing, north of Cleveland.
  12. LakeEffectKing
    Lots of crazy solutions...
  13. LakeEffectKing
    Yeah looks like 3"/hr. type stuff... i.e. rippage!!!!
  14. LakeEffectKing
    UK for Sunday....
  15. LakeEffectKing
    Let's see if the NW trend continues. I have a hunch!!
  16. LakeEffectKing
    Yep. If you look at the 6z GFS at h500, You will see a sharper vort max vs 00z. Let's see if that trend continues in today's runs.
  17. LakeEffectKing
    FWIW, 06 GFS shifted Sunday's LP on the coast northwest ward about 100 miles vs. 00z...brings synoptic snow to se NYS.
  18. LakeEffectKing
    Well, all in all, my call wasn't too bad. Busted pretty low for MBY, but I'm not too bummed!
  19. LakeEffectKing
    All elevation driven...I drive to work going through Chittenango (a much lower elevation (450' vs 1250') 9 miles between and they had about a foot less visually, and that is what was reported...18".
  20. LakeEffectKing
    Good call.. That was certainly a local max within the upstate region. The hills s and se of SYR above 1000', were right there with the Ithica area.
  21. LakeEffectKing
    Was that the total for the whole storm are just from yesterday for BUF? I thought they got a couple inches Monday.
  22. LakeEffectKing
    So do we have the official#'s from SYR, ROC, ALB, BGM, BUF?? Haven't had time to look up.
  23. LakeEffectKing
    Well, someone else reported the 30" in Caz. But it was very close to my final tally with 4" new today after 6am...total of 29.
  24. LakeEffectKing
    Under the convergence zone there typically is very little wind And you can still get decent sized dendrites. Western and northern New York's time to shine!!!
  25. LakeEffectKing
    Np. It's kind of nice to have so many waves to track!
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