Other way around is more likely this year imo. I actually feel like this spring might torch really hard, but a lot of it is going to depend on ENSO and any potential late-season SSW (happened in 2018 and completely screwed up the spring of that year).
I already knew it was going to be a bust. Actual worthwhile LES events are quite a rare occurrence on this side of the lake. You need everything to go right for it to come to fruition.
Looks as though the AIFS had the right idea all along. Interestingly, it is now showing a very warm pattern starting around mid-month, and may have some staying power as well.