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Maxim

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Everything posted by Maxim

  1. Maxim
    I’m curious as to what your methodology is when making these very long-range forecasts. Is it LRC or something else?
  2. Maxim
    This winter has been absolute trash, so ready for spring.
  3. Maxim
    Actually looks slightly above average once we get past the MJO driven cold blast (possibly more active as well).
  4. Maxim
    Think once we lose the -EPO the east coast torches. Though it may not be until mid-late Feb by the time that happens.
  5. Maxim
    Other way around is more likely this year imo. I actually feel like this spring might torch really hard, but a lot of it is going to depend on ENSO and any potential late-season SSW (happened in 2018 and completely screwed up the spring of that year).
  6. Maxim
    Seems pretty unclear still how the rest of the month will play out.
  7. Maxim
    I already knew it was going to be a bust. Actual worthwhile LES events are quite a rare occurrence on this side of the lake. You need everything to go right for it to come to fruition.
  8. Maxim
    Bust
  9. Maxim
    I don't think you'll get more than an inch, but I guess we'll see. Radar doesn't look super promising atm
  10. Maxim
    Looks as though the AIFS had the right idea all along. Interestingly, it is now showing a very warm pattern starting around mid-month, and may have some staying power as well.
  11. Maxim
    Was honestly really disappointed seeing my sub promote those clowns. Bamwx is and always has been awful, and that will likely never change.
  12. Maxim
    I noticed this in the Nina thread too, it's really not healthy.
  13. Maxim
    The February torch was the highlight of the year IMO
  14. Maxim
    People say that every year. Then last spring ended up being wondrous, so idk.
  15. Maxim
    The "entrenched cold" nonsense was pretty funny
  16. Maxim
    Nah, just pointing out obvious trends. I don't have an agenda. I'm not sure why that's triggering to some on here, but it's not normal behavior imo.
  17. Maxim
  18. Maxim
    Models def backing off on the cold in the extended, unsurprisingly.
  19. Maxim
    DCA: -2.5 NYC: -1.5 BOS: -1.0 ORD: 0.0 ATL: -2.0 IAH: +1.1 DEN: +2.4 PHX: +3.5 SEA: +1.0
  20. Maxim
    We're not seeing a month like Jan '77 ever again
  21. Maxim
    As of 2 PM CST: ORD: 41° MDW: 41° PWK: 43° UGN: 48° interesting
  22. Maxim
    Def overdone, but first half of Jan looks like it will be colder than average unfortunately. Seeing signs of a much warmer second half, however.
  23. Maxim
    Last spring was a perfect balance of mild sunny days and garden variety storms, at least in my area. Not a fan of the absurdly wet patterns that we have seen in many of our recent springs, but to each their own.
  24. Maxim
    Still wouldn’t rule out a warm month for a good chunk of the CONUS. The Euro AIFS in particular is not at all buying into the cold that the GFS seems to be exaggerating in recent runs.
  25. Maxim
    I’d take a repeat of last spring in a heartbeat. One of the best ever imo
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