The 4 Seasons

Here's what were thinking right now. May issue an update later tonight. 2-5 for most of the state away from the shore and up a few hundred feet. Concern is a bust in either direction, a situation like the NAMs are depicting would have it snowing right down to the coast and with temps in the upper 20s and low 30s and moderate to heavy snow they could easily pick up several inches quickly. Right now thats the coldest side of guidance though.

3K run-to-run change

Nice thread title @Sey-Mour Snow

With BL Temps, and to add on top of that this time of year I'm always in fear of a pure white rain event at elevations less than 200 or so. Hell we had one on Jan 3rd 2006. I got less than an inch of glop while a short drive north over 350ft got 7" in the same town. That was a painful burn that I'll never forget.

Yes I agree but pretty much every model has something and half the posts on here are about Wed so it was more about not clogging this up..of course the Nam went wild at 00z, called that. Nammy naked

RGEM came in good for CT and sne, we should create a thread for this

i mean the run isnt even close to being done thats ending at 18Z when most models have it just beginning. If that went out further it would probably be 6-10 for most of southern CT. But no, i dont believe it. Its the HRGEM which i rarely if ever use, its at the end of its run, and its by far on the most bullish end of the envelope. The Canadian models in general seem to the snowiest for this storm. They haven't waivered too much though and i think the GEM was the first to catch on to this event for SNE with other models trending towards what its showing. I do think an advisory event with a few inches across CT is in the cards though. Probably going to be mostly on grassy surfaces with surface temps in the mid 30s and the sun angle this time of year.

Cheer up, here's some digital snow from the HERPES gone wild.

Radar from Mar 7-8th 2018.

4 years ago today. This ended up one of the biggest storms W CT has seen in a long time and a good chunk of the state received over 10". The forecast for this one worked out pretty well i remember. Most of it fell at night while during the day, at low elevations it was mostly white rain...then all hell broke loose. In my town we got the most intense CG thundersnow ive seen since 2001 with multiple strikes just a few hundred feet away. Rates reached up to 4" per hour.

This is all i have saved for runs that dont include both systems since they were so close together. About 33 hours. Snow ended at around 9AM here and would begin again the next day at around 6PM. but i do remember some runs that were more impressive for SE MA.

Thats funny that the thread for that storm was called "The Little Storm That Could". I always referred to my other met friends as the Mar 2nd 2019, as the little storm that could. The appetizer to the Mar 3/4 Nor'easter. It's just such a cute little guy...

3 Years ago. March 3-4th over-performer. A horrible winter overall ended on a good note.

4 Years ago, the first of 4 major nor'easters that would impact New England with snow/rain/wind. This first one was mostly rain and a bit of wet snow for central and eastern New England. Major snowfall totals of 30-40" were reported in central New York state.

Here's what we're going with for tomorrow night.

Winter 2021-2022 Progression

Season to date from Eastern HQ Season to date in CT

lol i already changed it, but lmk whatever you got. thanks for the obs. you're the only one i got in the NW hills.

yea thats you. When you send me a PM you said "24.5 pitful" after the last storm and you said you got 4.8 (4.75) from this one. So i just added them to get 29.3. If its 28.5 ill change it to that no problem

Here is the totals map from CT for this storm. Thanks to everyone who sent me messages for the totals. Sometimes i can only use one if i have multiples for one town but i tried to fit them the best i could. The forecast did not go very well for most of the state that fell below the ranges. One good thing i can say is that there was a distinct south to north gradient which we had been highlighting and stating in multiple maps/text. We did end up being in the range for the northern 1/4 of CT. Thats about it that saved it from being an F. Wasn't a complete bust but certainly much lower than forecast. The sleet/freezing rain map we put out did pretty well though. For this one i made an ice accumulation map from the data i was able to gather from ASOS and a few other reports. Final Grade: D Snowfall Totals: Final Call: Freezing Rain Totals: Final Call Sleet/Freezing Rain: Town-by-town totals:

Here's where we are at for the season. I checked the New England wx site and for the people that haven't updated yet i just added this storm to your towns total. Didn't see anything from @JC-CT We got quite a gradient across CT right now. Again, thank you for all the reports.

wow. 30" there is like 15" here, rough season for the NW hills. seems to be a thing over the last several years

If you have any final reports please DM or @me and ill have a map out tomorrow. Still can't even get to 30. This winter can burn in hell.

1.7" sleet final total. Light freezing rain when i was out about an hour ago. Frozen glacier arctic tundra out there.

i hear that, thanks for the report. do you have an exact measurement you're going with for Winsted?