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The 4 Seasons

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons

  1. i've noticed that with other storms like Jan 25-26th but isn't always the case like Jan 18-19th, they latched on to that earlier than OPs
  2. i think they all did from what ive seen. was just looking at the GFS/GEM/NAM they were all pretty bad
  3. Haven't been paying much attention to the epic fog threat, so i have no idea but. Vis on surrounding ASOS have gone up for the most part around here, but there seems to be some pockets of more dense fog <1SM
  4. Yeah, lots of wasted potential. Starting with that Feb 1-2 tease.
  5. my gut is this is the typical 6/18Z flopping we just saw with Feb 16-17 coastal and Feb 1-2 SE scraper. Hopefully im wrong on that and 00Z continues a W trend.
  6. glad i leaned conservative with this one, still appears ill end up too high with C-2 for the Nrn tier of the state
  7. yea i noticed that, looks similar to the GEM unsurprisingly.
  8. GFS is adios, shocker. Gonna be the theme rest of 00Z i suspect. Hopefully tom. is better, but i wouldn't push any chips in on that.
  9. Theres been hardly a true rain storm, stem winder with 50s and 60s spiking up through new england that we see so often each winter. Kinda been more like 2015 than anything with a lot of cold and no real rainers.
  10. AI GFS is not that different from 18Z its a tick SE but just a hair. Still a very big hit for most but who knows when its done correcting SE, the thing was over HFD yesterday.
  11. don't forget MOGREPS and ICONEPS tbh i've been looking at them, out of curiosity.
  12. not consistently though it was really just 12Z today, if you're talking OP models. 12Z GEM yesterday had no storm, 00Z started to come on board. GFS has had a storm but kinda waffling a bit between a scraper and more of a direct hit. At this range i was more focused on the ensembles and 12Z GEFS was pretty tepid and SE, as well as the EPS. With some amped/W members in there. GEPS probably had the best mean but still well SE of the BM
  13. I've been leaning that way, doesn't mean it still can't happen but i think its more likely a whiff/scraper than not, 40/60. Icon also went from a major storm at 12z yesterday, to a complete whiff open wave last night, back to a major snowstorm at 12z today so a lot still needs to be worked out. Still the euro not biting was a big flag.
  14. i literally spit out my drink when i read this. thanks
  15. First, final and only call for tomorrow's light snow/mix/rain
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