yotaman
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Everything posted by yotaman
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Well the 18Z FV3 shows a strong arctic outbreak at the end of its run while the GFS shows zonal flow. Who to believe?
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Wow, there are some huge cutoffs on the southern fringe there.
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So my wife and I are supposed to be heading to the Biltmore on Sunday but with all the concerns of decent snow on Sunday we decided to head up a day early. Hopefully we have made a good decision even with the added cost of an additional day in a motel.
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I agree. Areas in the Mountains like Boone are going to get pounded. Foothills and points eastward not so much. Still too early in the season for big winter storms for us.
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I, for the first time ever, is hoping for no snow for NC. Why you ask? My wife and I are heading to Asheville Sunday for the Biltmore Candlelight Christmas. I have non-refundable hotel rooms as well as the tickets. I hate driving in snow.
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That is what I am seeing too. Going to be real nice. High's low to mid 70's, lows in the low to mid 50's. Dew points will be especially nice.
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Has anyone seen any charts of highest winds gusts from the storm? I heard of a 105 mph gust at Fort Macon and Wrightsville Beach but nothing else.
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This is a few miles down the road from me. Probably why my power went out initially.
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Had an intense band come thru and knocked out our power but once the rain and winds let up, it came back on. I thought we were done with power for a long time.
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I am seriously doubting those numbers. It is calling for 24" for us and as of right now I have only had .16" and I live just southeast of NB.
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Eastern eyewall is pretty much gone. Is it doing an eyewall replacement?
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Eye looks to be wobbling a lot but seems to be generally moving wnw. Anyone else see this?
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Power outages already being reported in Havelock, Morehead, and Beaufort.
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Just had a short but heavy band move thru. It was quick and gusty. Only .12" feel out of it but it is pretty windy here. Probably in the 25 to 35 mph range.
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Even if she weakens to a cat 1, storm surge will still be huge all along the coast.
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A lot of people expected her to be a strong cat 4 or even a cat 5 by now. Let's hope the weakening continues. At her size it would take while to wind down unless more dry air gets entrained in her.
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Good, keep weakening. I would love to wake up tomorrow and see a sub 100 mph storm.
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Also, our local news had there future radar model show us having very little effect from Florence. Just some wind and rain. Much worse at the southern coast south of J-actionville.
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Glad it has weakened today and hope it doesn't strengthen anymore. Wife and I went out to eat this evening and most restaurants and fast food joints are closed. Found a Waffle house open so reluctantly ate there. Gas stations are closing and most grocery stores are open until about 9 or 10 tonight and then closing until storm passes.
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Outer bands are now showing up on long range radar.
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Well crap, just got word my Generator will not arrive today as expected. They say tomorrow or Friday but I seriously doubt it.
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Welcome and most likely you will probably see lots of rain and some windy conditions but that should be about it. Just keep watching as things can change in the next day or so.
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I did a google search and it said at 4 pm it was about 250 miles across.
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Sandy and Isabel are 2 that come to mind that made significant left hand moves but you are right that none that we know of have made SW moves this far north.
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Stalling off the coast and slowly moving down it is much better than slamming onshore. Worst of the winds stay off shore and between land interaction and upwelling, the storm will weaken quickly. This is the best scenario for much of us, especially my area.
