Jump to content

CCHurricane

Members
  • Posts

    482
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CCHurricane

  1. any idea what sort of ratio these images are using? doesn't look 10:1 based on amounts, kuchera or something different altogether?
  2. 850mb temps noticeably colder on 18z NAM. 0C never gets to coastal CT, RI, or even Cape Cod.
  3. Boston / SNE news stations love to take a pass on actually making a call for Cape Cod during storms like this. Always seem to cut the Cape in half with two shades / buckets of 8-12" & 12-18". Heads they win, tails you lose!
  4. How long the primary system holds on over interior mid-Atlantic vs. transfer to the coast will be important for extreme southern New England areas. 12z NAM seems to transfer to coast a bit quicker with primary not making it as nearly as far north —> flatter run
  5. 18z AI-EURO ticking a hair colder and dials back the precip just a bit in northern New England. Confirms widespread +1 foot with QPF ranging from 1.1-1.4 across all of MA, CT, and RI. South Shore looks to be the jackpot.
  6. Recent system this past Sunday/Monday a great example. Had Cape Cod modeled as rain for the majority of precip with no significant accumulations. Ended up with a widespread 4-6".
  7. GFS, AIGFS, ICON, UKIE, all showing solid hits, especially when factoring +10:1 rates. We take.
  8. Secondary low is back on the menu re: ICON on Monday night thru Tuesday morning.
  9. Storm thread is not allowed to be opened until inside of D3
  10. did it? Looks to be cut back quite a bit from 6z... A distinctly separate secondary low days later is what leads to some additional upside. 06Z 12z
  11. Likely increase these by 50%-100% for all areas in New England. Ratios should be 15-20:1 with temps ~20 or lower.
  12. Ratios should be killer, could be ~15/20:1 for most. Won't take that much moisture to produce +6". ICON bump north below (00z vs. 12z)
  13. 4.0” OTG in Barnstable, storm event likely closer to 4.5”-5.0”. Can see a distinct layer of melt at bottom of snow.
  14. Another rare winter storm with minimal wind. Snow falling almost vertical so very easy to measure. Right around 3.75”, should end up +4” of heavy wet paste. Performing well on Cape Cod despite accumulation not beginning until after 4PM.
×
×
  • Create New...