chubbs
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Everything posted by chubbs
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Big area losses in the CAB the past couple of days. With the stormy pattern forecast to persist for the next week, may get open water close to the pole.
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Per the PV pattern, 12z euro/gfs forecasting strengthening low moving from Laptev/ESS to CAB in 4/5 days, euro bottoms out at 966, gfs at 971.
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Nevins blog corrected their initial estimate to 12.5km2 down an order of magnitude from the original. Still a very significant event. With the calving, the glacier has retreated roughly 600m since last years max retreat (max retreat is usually in September) indicating that net mass losses continue in the glacier drainage.
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It doesn't address global methane concentrations only emissions associated with NG production and use and comparison to other fossil fuels.
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This is an update of an earlier controversial paper. Paper has a clear discussion of methane emission estimates and does a good job of supporting the factors used. The main takeaway is that there is not much advantage for NG over coal when methane leaks are accounted for.