Maestrobjwa

1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

The Ravens give them competition of the dumb front.

Not even close. We're 8-6 despite everything...that alone says a lot

1 hour ago, SnowenOutThere said:

So, when the pattern changes around new year what sort of storms could we see? Would it be primarily storms that cut to our north like what the GFS has for the majority of it's run? Or costals/clippers? Or do we simply not know at all and which would be best for us? Either way with a cold block in place any storm should have a decent chance of scoring right? I mean if it is a clipper pattern than we score with cold smoke snow, if it is cutters than we get a front end thump. If we get costals then we should be fine as well. Just happy that from people who understand it that the pattern looks good and is not being kicked down the road and is at near peak climo. Of course we could still fail.

In response to this part...I definitely would not say any storm--especially not in a nina, lol Coastals tend to be Miller B's in this ENSO state, unfortunately. Better to expect what we saw back in February--and perhaps we can get some front end.

Now yeah a clipper pattern can work in a nina (I think). But there are other elements that occur in the short term that we just can't nail down  this far out. Fwiw, my developing philosophy (at least for this winter) is just to always have the current enso state and it's tendencies in mind.

39 minutes ago, GATECH said:

I like to look at this whenever I get depressed about the weather….best…map…ever….so much pink and red where it matters

Beautiful. I wish I had saved some screenshots!

6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Curious to know, since I'm not good with historic analogs, what was the winter of 1940-41 like for DC and Baltimore?

Kinda average to a little above up here...23.1"...and 12 of that came in March, lol

29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

It would be nice to get snow and cold. But that almost never happens. So I’m sure Christmas will be just fine if the weather is what it typically is. 

I thought mid 40s were a little more common? Median?

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Some unnecessary panic up in here today. Nothing has changed on the means.

Wanting cold and snow for Xmas is cute and sweet and romantic and all, but it doesn't happen too often in this area. 

And here I was thinking low to mid 40s on Christmas Day wasn't too much to ask...lol

13 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

Yeah. Just a few days ago it looked like Christmas Eve/Christmas was going to be fairly cold…not anymore 

It ain't right, I'm telling ya...

8 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Euro's got 60s on Christmas.  Record is 72 at DCA.  Let's burn it down.

You've gotta be kidding me, smh Feels like we can't get a dang cold Christmas anymore! (although last year at least it got cold behind that front)

15 minutes ago, CAPE said:

 Can't see this team going on a Super Bowl run like they did after dumping Cam lol. Just too beat up.

I wouldn't be so sure--we have enough to catch fire. I mean...we are still somehow in first place despite all of this...so ya never know! (Ironically December 2012 also had a three game losing streak in Weeks 13,14, and 15, lol) I mean not saying for sure...but just that the ingredients are there for us to catch fire if it's meant to be!

4 hours ago, CAPE said:

Good read for Ravens fans. Yeah the OL is a bit of a mess, and they have no legit RBs, but Roman still insists on going with run heavy formations, limiting the passing game- despite major upgrades at WR.

https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2021/12/16/22838532/ravens-offense-issues-greg-roman-lamar-jackson

Yep. I'm still wishing Harbs pulls a 2012 and fires him before the playoffs...this is ridiculous

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Probably won’t be a popular sentiment, but if it isn’t going to snow, I want this day every day.

Heretic! Heretic!!!

55 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I'm at the point where if we can even manage a string of clippers that give us advisory level events with BN temps, it'll be a win. I mean, snow on snow is just as good.

Hey, that's how we got like 18" in a nina a few years ago (2017-18 I believe). I think that year schools used all their snow days because all the little events happened during rush hour! Was pretty funny actually, lol

33 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Another great thread from @griteater

upshot:

 

Hmm...Is it wrong that I wish we woulda had this NOT in a nina? Lol Cause ya kinda know that even with tanking AO/NAO we'll still be fighting enso...but perhaps, as psu mentioned in his outlook, this means a still below average but not as crappy nina. But dang what we wouldn't have given for that a couple years ago!

14 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

At least we still get Torchmas?

Now see...I didn't have any expectations for precip next week...but dang if we get another torched Christmas...BOO! I'm hoping we can just pull of a good ol' fashioned 40-45 degree Christmas, for crying out loud.

1 minute ago, jaydreb said:

Of course, but it’s always nice to see the blue over us. 

Our responses to fantasy snow are interesting...When we see it on a run, it's almost like, for a moment, we can almost feel it happening. That excitement/the good feels...I guess that explains the angst over the digital "snow" being "taken away" in a future run. A strange psychology...lol

4 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

Well the GFS is interesting.  
 

No it ain't! Don't worry the squash foot is a-comin...euro run from earlier probably has the right idea.

So...what's the over/under on ninas with a -NAO?  (that actually have cold air to work with, that is)? Make any difference? Or is this to specific of a thing to look at?

Ya know, I can't stand squash...(would literally rather eat anything else). Ninas are met squash...disgusting!

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

I don't think it matters what we root for lol. NS dominant with a weak/suppressed southern wave is always a viable outcome.

I mean ya know what I mean...in other words we'd rather see too amped and warm at Day 2 or 3 than not, right? Lol

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

Not a bad set up. I would prefer something flatter/ less amped

Now...given the nina squash tendencies, do we like...wanna root for seeing something more amped at first to make room for said squashing? Lol

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Agree. I think they’re done pretty much regardless. Even if they fall into a WC spot, they’re getting bounced in the first round.

I continue to believe that if we manage to get in, something could happen. You just never know!

11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

This would have to be terrifying 

 

Seriously...saw that video, and that is an epic still shot (one for the books)...wow. Those poor folks!

1 hour ago, clskinsfan said:

Agree. Terrifying. Pitch black with the power out and then you see the monster in lightning flashes. That guy has a huge set of huevos.

My goodness...chilling. That video has got to get an award. Perfectly captures the terror of what happened last night...mercy

Can't be too many more terrifying things in severe weather than seeing the outline of a large tornado in a lightning flash...at night. Wow

2 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said:

A literal yin-yang sons of thunder...my goodness (although I don't know exactly what I'm looking at, sounds like it's kinda historic, no?)