Maestrobjwa

Just now, Always in Zugzwang said:

It does look that way, indeed.  Can't take any one deterministic outlook at face value at this range (of course!).  But there have been some wacky looking scenarios thrown out there starting about next Wednesday or so.

Yeah seriously...got all those waves and the icy scenarios and the huge slug of moisture...feels like a literal snow globe of ideas...where shall it all settle? Stay tuned, lol

Now I may not yet be the best at deciphering things on the macro level in the long range but...to my eyes, looks like a wacky week of tracking ahead, lol Buckle up! Thanks for the update @frd ...Gulf of Mexico being open for business sounds great 

1 hour ago, caviman2201 said:

Lol people rag on CWG's 1-20" boom/bust/high/medium/low confidence forecasts every day on this forum and I'm getting the business from an account that posts once a decade over my first and only jab at them. 

Yours could've merely been the straw that broke the capitol camel's back...I think what they said needed to be said.

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Snow is some serious business

https://www.cnn.com/2021/02/02/us/snow-shoveling-dispute-murder/index.html

Was deeply saddened to hear about this...unbelievable, smh

30 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Can't speak for everyone here but you and me would take a good hit off this one

I-95 special band? Heck yes 

9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

 How's all that detailed op long tracking been working out for you this year? Just locked and loaded from a week+ out right?

I have been trying to keep this very thing in mind...lol

17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Gonna hug the 18z NAM, Euro, and ICON. All solid hits, even better considering we all thought this was dead at HR90.

Indeed...been awhile since we've trended back INTO a threat at short range, lol

3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said:

Eps has a better positioned TpV and its snow mean is probably the best we’ve at this range all year?

 

Is your phone like...perpetually low on battery? Lol

5 minutes ago, Anyweather said:

You should quit. Boss should know better. 

We need to educate folks on what 1-2 pm means during the winter 

7 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Yup. I think it's to prevent spamming from bots. All good! 

Ah that makes sense (I remember there was one dude a month or two ago that kept putting the weenie reaction on a bunch of posts in a row, lol)

7 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Now we need a stall lol

Not sure we should be flushing snow down the toilet...

Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

There was another one where a storm was underforcasted and dropped 2'' of snow and it was in the 20s during rush hour. Because everyone was focused on the 2016 blizzard in two days no one knew about this one and it caused huge traffic jams.  

Oh dang I don't even remember that one for some reason! (guess because of the blizzard, lol) Wow

2 minutes ago, Thanatos_I_Am said:

Remember when we overachieved on the clipper before the '16 storm? The commutageddon. 

Thought commutagedon was in Jan. 2011?

36 minutes ago, Warm Nose said:

Serious question that I don't know the answer to: Is there a correlation between SN events and radically cold temperatures in our region? I've heard it said perhaps jokingly that 'it's too cold for snow' and maybe there's some truth to that climo for us? Seems like we score when we're on that razor's edge temp-wise and not when cold airmass isn't a concern.

I think you're more or less correct here...If I'm not mistaken, our snowstorms come along the boundary between cold and warm (the more knowledgeable posters can correct me here if necessary). That cold presses too much it seems to squashe the storm track south (not that that is the only way suppression can occur, but in relation to the "too much cold"...yes)

24 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

I'll also add that I don't get why people are so mad we aren't getting teens and low 20's for highs. If we want to roll with 2013-2014 for the next month and a half or so, sure, that's cool. But most likely, it will just be freezing cold and dry as a bone.

You willing to stick to that prediction? Lol

STILL flurrying!! This is hilarious (and kinda awesome). We may have missed the brunt of the storm, but this little amusement (and the constant winter ambiance) has been a pretty nice consolation prize, lol

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

This one is a true model war.  Kinda thinking the Euro folds tonight

Knowing how this season in modeling has gone so far...I'll bet it doesn't, just to prolong the confusion, lol

Almost feels like we're one non-suppresed STJ wave away from something (if the weekend reinforced anything to me...it's how we pretty much have to have something from the south to have the best chance!).

14 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

What happened to TropicalTidbits' para?

Seems that after the Para went down earlier last week, TT kinda gave up on it, lol (at least for now)

Well, I must say...even though I'm feeling a bit trolled by this in that Baltimore City once again just missed warning criteria (seriously, we've been allergic...haven't hit that since 2016! Hopefully though...that breaks soon), I have found the 50+ consecutive hours of having some kind of flake in the air quite amusing! Still goin'! Lol 

51 minutes ago, umdterps29 said:

On radar the band of snow north of Baltimore looks like it’s allergic to the beltway. Kind of funny

But yet it still ends up sneezing out flurries...lol

1 hour ago, jlh said:

it's an L lol

Ah dang it...here I am loud and wrong, lol

1 minute ago, yoda said:

Euro doesn't have the 2nd storm that 12z did FWIW 

Probably not much...lol

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

GFS blows chunks

Now...I hesitate to ask (because I'm no longer use which questions are obnoxious), what's the little split thing the GFS is doing here? This just the two piece of energy not phasing with each other...and one going one OTS and the other cutting? (now I'm not familiar with a "cold" cutter)

9 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Had 3.5 yesterday, compacted down to 2 and back up to 3.25

Overall the models and most forecasters  missed this for DC proper. Not so close by but that is the most frequent finish to Bs.

Not a bust and there have been several awful painful historic ones. Not a hit either.   This seems to start reversal of our bad winter pattern and we might not get above 25 by Sun and Mon 

Might wanna put this in the other thread?