Maestrobjwa

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

This is not certain, let’s not get ahead of ourselves. However, I think parents with kids should discuss that chance amongst themselves. My husband and I have.

I'm wondering what happens if the curve is flattened but not going down by the end of this month...I mean, could things still open, I wonder?

27 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

What do you mean?  Schools are not reopening until fall.  

You'll have to pardon my ignorance on this...but I wasn't sure what the barometer was for returning to normal. And since they didn't make a decision beyond this month I thought all of that was still up in the air with the virus...

8 hours ago, mappy said:

yup. i dont see states lifting anything for another month. better to be safe than sorry

So now I'm wondering what the schools are gonna do...I'm still unclear on what the gradual opening back up would look like.

2 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Man they better fix that thing...any updates to it coming this year? Certainly the cold bias isn't unfixable...uh, right? Lol

So I'm wondering...when we will have a better idea of May. Even with the current modeling looking better...is that contingent on us staying shutdown through May as well?

45 minutes ago, supernovasky said:

1.7k deaths today and we aren't at the evening update yet.

 

This would make today a day where COVID is the leading cause of death in the US. 1.6k die of heart disease every day.

And now 1.8, smh Well, they said this was gonna be a tough week...(and I remember a few models had the US losing over 2k a day during whatever the peak was...mercy)

20 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

One of my extended family members is recovering and was released from the hospital!

Well praise God for that! Happy to hear! (Was just about to ask you how the other two were doing!)

47 minutes ago, Baltimorewx said:

https://www.foxnews.com/science/covid-19-transmitted-via-aerosolized-feces-study-warns

suggesting to flush with toilet lid down. 
 

However, my girlfriend has me in the habit of flushing in soon as it plops cuz I’m so “rank” so we good. 

And I'm laughing at "Aerosolized feces" Hahaha That's a new one...

23 minutes ago, TruthSeeker2020 said:

In US or worldwide?

Just here, unfortunately...And like 680 of those are in New York alone, smh

3 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Hi everyone,

This morning the first member of my extended family passed away due to COVID-19. We were pretty close. The grief is hard but I’m being strong for the rest of my family. Unfortunately, this may not be our only loss as two other members of the family are in the hospital and not doing well. 

Please keep us in your prayers, and I just have to say that while I know some are uncomfortable with a thread like this because of the politics and somber topic of discussion, it has personally helped me immensely because I’m able to talk and connect on this in a way I just can’t with family that struggle to talk about mortality and data/policy. A lot of us will know pain during this time. This helps ease my burden. 

Thank you.

Oh my goodness, man...I am so sorry to hear this. My folks and I will lift you and your family up in prayer--God bless. (What's your family name? Just so we can say more than "The WxWatcher007 family", haha)

3 hours ago, showmethesnow said:

My bad. Thinking stupid on my part. I still question a 15% mortality rate as I think it will be much lower but we probably will never know the true number as more then likely many cases of infection will go undetected. Best way of getting a read on that is probably to try to figure out the total infection rate for the country through modeling and base it off that.

Now I thought it would be around that percentage over there because of their overall older population?

On 3/30/2020 at 11:22 AM, Ji said:

wow we are really going to finish this winter with no snow

1.8" (BWI)...so technically not zero, lol (although the suckage makes it a psychological zero!)

1 hour ago, Kmlwx said:

Tambora, Toba, Long Valley, Yellowstone, St. Helens, Pinatubo all in one afternoon. 

Eh, take Pinatubo outta there...that robbed of us of a mod Niño if I've read the history correctly...lol (and did St. Helen's have a climate impact at all?)

14 hours ago, Kmlwx said:

We are probably going to need a massive near-equator volcanic eruption to get us some good winter

Like Tambora level? 

14 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

Yeah, makes sense for MD to close into the 3rd week of April for right now, rather than the entire year.  At least for now.  I fully expected that the original March 27 date would be extended.  About all you can do is push the date back some...then reassess at that time.  I wonder how many schools will extend classes through the summer to make up the time, assuming we're OK to have kids go back en masse at that time.

So on a different note, today is my birthday!  It's an anniversary of my 29th, but I'm not saying which one (but for a hint...get off my damn lawn! )!!  Odd times to be celebrating that, but one makes of it what they can.  I remember getting snow on this day in consecutive years here...2013 (4") and 2014 (3")!!  That was nice.

Happy birthday, good sir! And for your b-day...a variation cake! 

Have a blessed one!

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

Stop torturing yourself. 

I'm not torturing me, the stupid crap going on in the atmosphere is. That graphic is infuriating, it's like getting robbed and the thief just keeps laughing in your face. The feeling of being unfairly passed up for a little extra happiness...How do you not be upset at that graphic? I don't care if it's happened 6 or 7 years in a row...it's still frustrating even if expected (especially given how the winter went). Next year we've earned better, imo...been through enough with this mess.

27 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

Infuriating. Man I hope this is a decadal trend and not some permanent change because of a different climate or whatever...year after year, smh Can't give us jack diddly of this one time in winter lately...If it ever comes back when it's supposed to, we had better take it all in!! I swear it's like something pushing a button to troll us, lol I hope this get "fixed" some time in the next winter or two...

6 hours ago, mappy said:

Parents: DC public schools are closing through the end of April. Don’t be surprised to see MD follow suit. 

I'm almost sure that no school through the end of the year was on the table...but perhaps they're trying to see if we can salvage the month of May?

45 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I think the pacific winter base state pattern has been destructive to getting NAO blocking.  In general we have seen a persistent pac ridge.  (Notice there the pac ridge is finally eradicated and up goes the NAO ridge). That ridge tightens the thermal gradient to its north promoting a faster northern jet that will fight attempts to transport heat poleward thus prevents ridging.  At times in the last 7 years that ridge shifted north enough that it created a favorable epo pattern.  But other than that the only winter NAO blocking we’ve had in the last 7 years was during the super nino and very late in 2018 following a SSW that coupled with the TPV.   So long as a huge pacific ridge is the dominant pattern it doesn’t help. There is a correlation between the warm mjo phases, that pac ridge, and +NAO.  Unfortunately there has been some speculation that longer term climate changes might be driving the tendency for that dominant configuration.  I’m skeptical it lasts that much longer but we will see. 

I hope your skepticism is right. Because otherwise...wouldn't that kinda endanger our overall snowfall chances in the future? (I mean I guess we'd have to rely on other factors...) But as you and others have indicated, perhaps it is too early to tell whether this trend will continue for years to come--particularly given the somewhat decadal pattern we've seen in our records.

On 3/20/2020 at 2:23 PM, losetoa6 said:

It's all good PSU . Probably see some conversation flakes still .It was low chance butt.....

Eps has the NAO and AO going negative end of March.  That's when the  party finally begins .

Palm Sunday snowstorm redux 

I just wanna know why, man...Been like 9 or 10 years of this mess. Is this simply climo now? Smh I hope not...I hope what seems to be a decadal cycle will break the other way for us soon...I mean this is ridiculous. 

The theme has been..."EURO or it didn't happen"...lol

28 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I really hope the cold bias of the gfs in the medium range gets fixed. 

Yeah seriously...I mean, is it that hard to fix?

4 minutes ago, yoda said:

Yes... but its only just over 5 days away lol... none of this 10 day crap we always saw this winter

Yeah but even so...does it have any other support?

10 minutes ago, yoda said:

Always the GFS...lol

Figures when Turgeon has his best season ever with the Terps...then this happens! Bad luck, misfortune, whatever ya wanna call it...that has really got to suck!