Maestrobjwa

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

 

So this time around...it wasn't the thermally challenged base state that did it, but just another bit of random chaos unable to be seen at a longer range? Oh the roll of the atmospheric dice...lol

It's probably better for the Bills that they lost here...than to win and potentially lose ANOTHER Superbowl...that would've been worse, imo

12 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Sometimes you have to step away from compooter and look out the window because u might miss something 

Yeah but it's dark, and I didn't happen to look outside...and whatever frozen we are gonna get wasn't supposed to come until tomorrow...

Wait it's snowing outside? Lol

36 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

I've been checking in everyday on the 18Z GEFS ensemble mean temps.  So far, it is not advertising any notable cold.

Given how this month has gone...I'm not even gonna be convinced of anything until I see legit cold air...

4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

In hindsight, kicking that FG was even more of a dumbsh-t decision than I thought at the time. 

And I'm wondering why Rodgers didn't just run it in on 3rd down! He had space!

No player has been named MVP and won a Super Bowl in the same season since 1999...and here it happens again, lol Wow...home team Superbowl--that's really something! But now, I'm not sure we can guess how this likely ends...but whichever opponent, gonna be a good game.

2 hours ago, CAPE said:

Perspective. Other things are way more important. It's the same with rooting for a football team. I don't let in ruin my day or a whole week if the Ravens lose. I have other stuff in my life going on, as I am sure you do.

Music right?

That is correct...and I have not given it nearly as much space in my mind and life as I need to. I know I could be putting a lot more of myself into it instead of wasting mental energy the way I have...thanks for the words of advice guys 

7 minutes ago, CAPE said:

I don't look at it that way. I am way past the days of getting disappointed over things I have zero control over.

I do like winter weather much more than long, brutally hot and humid summers, and I am considering moving elsewhere when life situations allow it. Might be pretty soon.

But how does having zero control over it prevent disappointment, though? I don't get that...You want something to happen, it doesn't happen, disappointment. What am I missing, here? I'd love for your way of seeing it to be the cure all for all the disappointment and depression, but that hasn't done the trick...

8 minutes ago, mappy said:

Was laughing at how the models have shown worse and worse outcomes for both threats this week after a promising day or two

I do get disappointed when it doesn't snow, but I'm good at brushing it off as whatever. There are so many other things going on our world these days that missing a snowstorm isn't high enough on my list to get legit depressed over. It's just snow. 

I also don't get invested beyond day 5, hell even sometimes beyond day 3. That helps with the disappointment when the rug is pulled within 100 hours. 

And this part here...the discipline of not getting sucked is what I have found to be the toughest...especially inside of day 6/7. Ya see good runs (though the euro this time was never good, lol) You try to look away...and then the carrot is dangled. You tell yourself you're not gonna pay attention, not gonna pay attention...but then your mind so easily goes to it. I need a distraction, lol 

4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

At least the UK can still take advantage of a favorable NA.

 

Ya got any more salt for this week's wound? 

Since we can't rely on pattern...let's talk thermals: How's it looking after next week's warm-up? (serious question). And signs of any actual cold?

2 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

We’ll always have Friday night’s GFS.  

I didn't get sucked in by that...and I'm not sure what that has to do with my post, lol

29 minutes ago, mappy said:

lol -- thats is all. just laughing. 

Are you laughing at our ridiculousness in here? Lol And I can't tell...do you still get disappointed with snow misses, or have you found a way to stay above it? (If you have, I'd love to know the secret...this stuff depresses the heck outta me sometimes)

Is it such a terrible spot to be in 4 days out, though? Still looks close to me...

Just now, stormtracker said:

Or the Euro.

1 minute ago, SnowDreamer said:

I really thought one of the two would fold tonight... Guess not.

This standoff is getting ridiculous...certainly by Monday somebody oughta be caving to somebody (when does the sw come onshore?). I hope we ain't gotta have another 48 hours of this...tell us something, lol

1 minute ago, snowfan said:

And before the posts come.....we don’t need double digits. We’re just looking for something that requires the use of a shovel

In other words...warning level! 

55 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I’ve said my peace.  It’s getting warmer that part isn’t debatable. In the past that started ugly fights over the cause and the politics behind that.  I’m not getting into that. 

Wasn't trying to fight. Just expressing disappointment is all

@psuhoffman Man I hope you're wrong (except about the part where this part of this is due to more transient factors, lol). But if you're right...gonna be more a bit more hurt around here. Imagining a future reality of less snow saddens me...that's gonna be tough to take...but what can ya do? I guess you just enjoy the heck out of the snow you get and don't complain, lol 

44 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

There seems to be a dominant color here....

Oh dear...we're skirting close to breaking the rules here...lol However if this is affecting our snow chances, it's gonna be a bit more difficult to avoid the discussion because of the way things have been (unless we keep mentioning it as generallyrics as possible, keeping it solely to observation related to snow)

13 minutes ago, osfan24 said:

I did, or at least hoped. I'm chasing a big one. Pretty clear we are heading away from that. Precip slipping farther south, also looks like either less precip overall or the storm is just pulling away quicker.

I understand the desire for big snow...but ya gotta try not to get sucked in by one run that shows a monster result...I try not to let my mind go to "big" until there's consistent evidence that such an outcome is firmly on the table. Otherwise you risk not enjoying what measurable snow you do get (like if you're looking 12" and we get 6"...we can still enjoy that!) I think a more reasonable bar is WSW level...that's been my bar this year--since that's been so hard to get the last few years, lol But I will admit...part of me is hoping February delivers a bigger one somehow...

Just now, leesburg 04 said:

Are you sure nobody expected it to continue?

Dude I was thinking the exact same thing, lolol

1 minute ago, nj2va said:

Verbatim, surface is roasting in DC on the GFS so rain.  I’m not really buying it but who knows 

Given that the para, cmc, and even euro are all colder...not sure we should buy it

8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Not enough baroclinicity. These boundaries, even now, are lacking the potential energy they should have with a greater temperature gradient. It’s a little better now. At least the waves aren’t squashed to LA lol. But it’s still not enough to get them to amplify much given a suppressed flow. 

Now isn't suppression more nina-like because of the tendency toward more NS activity? (I remember at one time in Jan 2018 seeing a parade of HP's coming down the middle of the country, lol

11 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

I guess the GEFS might end up right for this one. Enjoy!

Couldn't stay away, could ya?