Maestrobjwa

On 11/28/2020 at 1:21 PM, Wentzadelphia said:

No one wants it to snow more than me. Trust me. I’ve storm chased snowstorms where I couldn’t afford it but went anyway. Hell I lost a job because of 2015 NE event . Ji will tell you if he recalls, but the 2001 bust sent me into a depression at 14 years old. I’m sick in the head when it comes to snow. 

Meant to respond yesterday: Dude, this right here? You are certainly not alone. I have had to weather similar psychological reactions to snow fails. I have been wanting to start a thread about the whole psychology of this...(tried but didn't get too many responses, lol). I'm not sure why we react the way we do, or how to dig ourselves out of the ditch (or stop ourselves from getting in there) when it happens. 

Shoot, I still just get a tad perturbed wben thinking about our more recent fails (like 12/8/18 or the miss in March of that year)...and it kinda piles on top of whatever isn't going right snow-wise. Ya tell yourself that this is such a tiny part of life and not worth the emotional energy...yet ya find yourself slipping, lol

12 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Seems the game may be in some jeopardy now. It's sad to say, but from a competitive standpoint another positive test today may work to their advantage. Not a chance in hell they beat the Steelers if the game is played Tuesday. If it is postponed, it will likely be played week 18 when the Ravens will be potentially fully healthy from all the key injuries they are are dealing with now, outside of covid.

But it sounds like the league is still bent on having the game Tuesday. If they do it...it might take a miracle for us to win.

2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

This is the fun period. Any December snow is nice. At least y’all understand that. There’s a small outbreak of Panic amongst New Englanders right now for reasons I don’t understand.  

Wait what? Man don't they get snow every nina?? (except maybe 96). I mean they cash in on late developers all the time...so what's their problem? Lol

2 hours ago, LP08 said:

Let’s not do this with an actual snow storm at 150 hours this year...The panic room would be flooded hah

I mean...ain't that a normal nina progression? Lol

Since we're talking about holiday lights...At my house we're a bit inexperienced with the outdoor lights, and have had problems the last couple years with something in the line shorting out. What can prevent this?

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

CPC analogs for 12/8 almost identical to those 3 years ago for 12/8/17. That was our last notable December snowfall with 2-5” across the region. 

Was that the one where it showed in the evening somewhat unexpectedly?

So...what's the record on what happens after mild Thanksgivings?  *searches for any trend for cold and snow*

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! I am thankful for all the weather knowledge that is shared here--I always learn something new every year! Also thankful to have an echo chamber for snow weeniness...for we are a peculiar breed, lol Have a blessed Thanksgiving everyone!

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Not how we roll. We don’t get excited for nuisance snows.

Except in this case some folk were sarcastically claiming it would be worse this year...a 1-3 incher would put that to bed immediately, lol And I put a guess out there that we'd see more than 1.8"...so I'd have a bit of investment in that 

46 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

End of the GEFS run looks mighty tasty..  Hoping to see that look move forward in time....Lets get some decent cold into the pattern so we can have our own digital historic storms.

Is the end of a run ever really worth looking at? I'm wondering if it's better to wait for 10 days or like 240 hrs...I mean on hour 384...what can we reasonably glean from that? Possible trends?

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

EPS has consistently been further East. Will be interesting to see what wins.

Could ya say that in ninas it's better to assume east? Lol

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Ha. 
 

We’ve got a nice pattern the first 10-14 days of December and already have a window or two picked out. That’s really good for December! Especially in a mod/strong Nina! 

So my question is...what do things have to look like to not make the snow miss? Lol Sounds like a dumb question, but what I'm saying is...is there anyway to tell in the LR if things look good enough that storms won't miss just northeast of here ala the bomb cyclone or boxing day 2010. When I think of ninas, I assume north or late developing is always an additional battle to fight...To prevent such, do we need even more blocking up top than we would during neutral/nino?

17 minutes ago, StormfanaticInd said:

"Based on what we’ve seen over the last eight months of state-reported COVID-19 data, we think two big, potentially misleading things are about to happen to the testing, case, and death numbers that allow us to track the pandemic in the United States. 

First, by Thanksgiving Day and perhaps as early as Wednesday, all three metrics will flatten out or drop, probably for several days. This decrease will make it look like things are getting better at the national level. Then, in the week following the holiday, our test, case, and death numbers will spike, which will look like a confirmation that Thanksgiving is causing outbreaks to worsen. But neither of these expected movements in the data will necessarily mean anything about the state of the pandemic itself. Holidays, like weekends, cause testing and reporting to go down and then, a few days later, to "catch up." So the data we see early next week will reflect not only actual increases in cases, test, and deaths, but also the potentially very large backlog from the holiday. "

I'd imagine we wouldn't see Thanksgiving effects until a couple weeks into December, right?

14 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

You're just jealous that we're not talking about South Paradise... I mean South Carolina.  Have y'all eradicated covid yet?

I was hoping certain people (there are two or three in particular) wouldn't discover this thread was here. Because these same folks helped ruin all the other coronavirus threads on here, smh  This is the last one standing! C'mon people...

41 minutes ago, CAPE said:

They simply don't have enough talent on the interior of the line, no matter how much shuffling they do. At best, they can run block decently, but then they are subpar at pass blocking. And regardless of who is in there, they continue to have drive killing penalties. That run Jackson made later in the game should have been a first down- but there was no camera angle to overturn it. So, 3rd and one- no big deal. Except for another untimely false start penalty made it 3rd and 6. This stuff has been happening all season.

But what you just mentioned is one thing that is not unchangeable: those little mistakes, and those little things that have gone wrong. Suppose we finally get our heads together and not do those things...different result. It's like we are a few steps or a few plays away...this Thursday could be telling.

Just now, CAPE said:

This season is lost now more than likely. If the OL wasn't such a disaster, I think they could overcome the lack of a legit receiver and at least win a few of these games they always seem to lose. Getting Williams and Campbell back would help the suddenly soft run D, although Humphrey and Peters were completely overmatched today by- wait for it- the Titan's BIG, PHYSICAL RECEIVERS.

I think the OL still has time to figure things out. Had a lot of shuffling around (I think today was one of several configurations we've started with this season). That is a chemistry thing...and that can work itself out. And it's not like Lamar isn't getting time to throw...So all it takes is for something Thursday to finally go right and keep us in this thing. We are at the point where one spark--in this case a big win on Thursday, and/or a possible firing of Roman, could make the difference. (Especially given the rest of our schedule)

2 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Jackson will finish out is rookie deal. What happens beyond that remains to be seen. Roman is terrible, and he can go anytime now.The OL has been a mess all season, and the D has gone soft with a few key players out- although they have been a penalty machine all season. Maybe the Ravens have finally figured out that they should have added some weapons for Jackson. They traded Hurst and Boyle is gone for the year, so its glaring now- but it was clear at the end of last season they needed a legit number one receiver who can make a contested catch. Literally every other team has at least one.

Absolutely agree about Roman--he needs to go NOW (hey, we fired an OC late season before, lol)...and I also pretty much agree with ya on our receiver situation. I think the only way this get saved is if Dez steps up and becomes something like a No. 1...

I think the season may come down to Thursday...If we lose then, it's gonna be kinda tough. Not impossible, but tough. Not giving up on them yet...sometimes things click later in the season...you never know.

41 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

I hate to say this but i agree with Phin. LJ was beyond horrible today. NO NFL QB should miss that throw to Andrews in the 4th qtr., he was WIDE OPEN. It's just flat out inexcusable. He had Andrews wide open in the end zone for another TD and he threw it way too late. He just looks horrible and has looked that way since the Titans game last year in the playoffs. I think it's time to fire Harbaugh and Roman and draft another QB. 

We're not gonna draft another QB after the current QB had an MVP season...so he's our QB, like it or not. We're not firing Harbaugh either...because the record doesn't warrant it. The thing is...last season still happened. It was less than a year ago. Stable organizations don't fire people or get rid of MVP QBs the year after....so that ain't happening.

13 minutes ago, RyanDe680 said:

Unfortunately I can't take this thread anymore.  Too much ignorance, selfishness and idiotness.  

Idiotness...I'll have to borrow that tense, lol

6 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

More often when we go into a healthy Nina it lasts multiple years. 1998/99-2000/01, 2007/8-2008/9, 2010/11-2011/12, 2016/17-2018/19. 

You've got to be kidding me...man I hope we can fluke something somehow this year. Or else we might be looking at a early-mid 70s-style snow drought, smh Life is too short to be waiting 2 additional years for frozen happiness to fall from the sky in a halfway decent manner again. Almost 5 years since 2016...last WSW to verify at BWI. At this rate that would be 7 years if we can't fluke something this year, smh I mean at least you don't have models doing good head fakes this time...not sure that makes it feel better though. 

And why the heck do ninas seem to happen more than ninos??? Seems like ya get like two niños a decade and 4 dang ninas! And the fact that the 2018-19 weak nino "didn't couple" (whatever random chaos caused that) yet the nina is healthier and has absolutely no problem? Figures...lol

Again...here's hoping for a fluke!

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

The project itself is fine, but probably shouldn't have given it a name like that lol

My thoughts exactly...it's like if you asked a 6th grader to come up with it, lol Guess it's still better than Space Force

2 hours ago, BristowWx said:

The op seems be zeroing in on some sort of precip event around thanksgiving.  Hey it’s something 

Hey look, if we can get .6 of an inch of frozen we'll already have a third of last winter's total...lol

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Rockin' February

 

Man, does SSW even exist in the winter anymore? Lol I heard the talk the loudest in the 18/19 winter yet it either never materialized or didn't do jack diddly squat!

2 hours ago, snowman19 said:

Lol We’re still waiting for the one that was supposed to happen last winter

Or was that two winters ago? Lol