Maestrobjwa

4 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

Nice pics. With the Nina we knew a good winter was almost off the table. The signs the NAM state might not be as hostile this year leaves me hopeful we will have opportunities and this might be a more typical not great but not god awful Nina either. 

Hope you're right! Because the fact that we had to draw a nina card after last year's disaster kinda stings...hope we can fluke into something!

12 minutes ago, Amped said:

I hate storms with no high.   

2/15/2010    Fail

Was this after the twin blizzards?

31 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

Last year st this time we had come out of cold but useless November and the writing was on the wall that after 12/10 looked miserable. It was even worse than that so it’s great to have snow potential discussions moving forward 

Yeah ya gotta hope that maybe it's an opposite effect: mild November colder/snowier December? 

13 hours ago, psuhoffman said:

2013/14 is interesting because if you ignore the central equatorial pacific (raging Nina right now) the rest of the global SST anomaly patterns are very similar.  

2013

Now

Huh...wonder what 2013-14 would've looked like with a nina? Lol

Now not reaching to this modeling specifically, but in general...in ninas, what has to happen to make a southern and/or east-northeast miss less likely?

1 hour ago, CAPE said:

They definitely need to win the turnover battle, not kill themselves with penalties, and get a few breaks.

Definitely. (especially the O-line with the penalties...the patchwork makes me a bit nervous for those procedural ones!) For tunrovers... the good news is...at least we still have most of our corner backs and safeties!

16 hours ago, CAPE said:

Dobbins, Ingram, and Brandon Williams eligible to play. Williams probably won't though with the ankle.

The RG3 to Dez connection!

They will probably still lose, but it may be competitive if the D and running game can play complimentary football.

If it is competitive there is always a chance. I'm not counting them out! This is the kind of thing that can spark a team...you just never know. We shall see!

41 minutes ago, Ji said:

Will this get @bobchill back,?

Yeah @Bob Chill where are ya? Did you finally get tired of us last winter? Lol We miss your special brand of snow gut analysis! 

Ha...of course very early, but...if, IF things were to work out with a -NAO and/or -AO and/or blocking for a change (...wouldn't that be enough to put the solar min back in the conversation? Again, obviously a big IF...but IF it were to happen what other explanation would there be? Lol (especially if it were to happen after going this long without, and happen in a nina on top of that?)

1 hour ago, frd said:

 

Interesting 

 

 

Well now...gotta that possible connection!  

12 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Should we start looking at the weeklies to worry about when it’ll break down? 

For our mental health we'd be better off just taking it as it goes...lol

1 minute ago, Ji said:

miller B on the euro....congrats New England

Now that would be more typical nina behavior, no?

Just now, Ji said:

no you are right

 

So I'm confused then as to why this looks more like a super nino December or something, lol Is there an anomaly?

Now I thought that at least front end of ninas were usually colder...not always the case?

On 11/28/2020 at 1:21 PM, Wentzadelphia said:

No one wants it to snow more than me. Trust me. I’ve storm chased snowstorms where I couldn’t afford it but went anyway. Hell I lost a job because of 2015 NE event . Ji will tell you if he recalls, but the 2001 bust sent me into a depression at 14 years old. I’m sick in the head when it comes to snow. 

Meant to respond yesterday: Dude, this right here? You are certainly not alone. I have had to weather similar psychological reactions to snow fails. I have been wanting to start a thread about the whole psychology of this...(tried but didn't get too many responses, lol). I'm not sure why we react the way we do, or how to dig ourselves out of the ditch (or stop ourselves from getting in there) when it happens. 

Shoot, I still just get a tad perturbed wben thinking about our more recent fails (like 12/8/18 or the miss in March of that year)...and it kinda piles on top of whatever isn't going right snow-wise. Ya tell yourself that this is such a tiny part of life and not worth the emotional energy...yet ya find yourself slipping, lol

12 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Seems the game may be in some jeopardy now. It's sad to say, but from a competitive standpoint another positive test today may work to their advantage. Not a chance in hell they beat the Steelers if the game is played Tuesday. If it is postponed, it will likely be played week 18 when the Ravens will be potentially fully healthy from all the key injuries they are are dealing with now, outside of covid.

But it sounds like the league is still bent on having the game Tuesday. If they do it...it might take a miracle for us to win.

2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

This is the fun period. Any December snow is nice. At least y’all understand that. There’s a small outbreak of Panic amongst New Englanders right now for reasons I don’t understand.  

Wait what? Man don't they get snow every nina?? (except maybe 96). I mean they cash in on late developers all the time...so what's their problem? Lol

2 hours ago, LP08 said:

Let’s not do this with an actual snow storm at 150 hours this year...The panic room would be flooded hah

I mean...ain't that a normal nina progression? Lol

Since we're talking about holiday lights...At my house we're a bit inexperienced with the outdoor lights, and have had problems the last couple years with something in the line shorting out. What can prevent this?

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

CPC analogs for 12/8 almost identical to those 3 years ago for 12/8/17. That was our last notable December snowfall with 2-5” across the region. 

Was that the one where it showed in the evening somewhat unexpectedly?

So...what's the record on what happens after mild Thanksgivings?  *searches for any trend for cold and snow*

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! I am thankful for all the weather knowledge that is shared here--I always learn something new every year! Also thankful to have an echo chamber for snow weeniness...for we are a peculiar breed, lol Have a blessed Thanksgiving everyone!

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Not how we roll. We don’t get excited for nuisance snows.

Except in this case some folk were sarcastically claiming it would be worse this year...a 1-3 incher would put that to bed immediately, lol And I put a guess out there that we'd see more than 1.8"...so I'd have a bit of investment in that 

46 minutes ago, poolz1 said:

End of the GEFS run looks mighty tasty..  Hoping to see that look move forward in time....Lets get some decent cold into the pattern so we can have our own digital historic storms.

Is the end of a run ever really worth looking at? I'm wondering if it's better to wait for 10 days or like 240 hrs...I mean on hour 384...what can we reasonably glean from that? Possible trends?

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

EPS has consistently been further East. Will be interesting to see what wins.

Could ya say that in ninas it's better to assume east? Lol