Maestrobjwa

32 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

You think that one hurts?  You should have been here (maybe you were?) for the infamous "Storm Which Shall Not Be Named" in December 2010 (ahem...Boxing Day, oops, I said it!).  I think that's what started @Bob Chill  and many others harming bunnies and other cute furry animals of varying types when things go wrong! 

Yeah that one kinda hurt too...but it wasn't as bad for me that time because I wasn't following this site or the weather models back then (so I didn't know exactly what was being shown a few days prior). But now...that one is my Exhibit A for...NEVER TRUST A NINA. Those winters will break your heart everytime (don't count 1996--that may have been once in a lifetime, lol). Next time we get one, I don't even think I'll bother much with tracking!

9 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

December 2018 was when that lobe of the PV dropped down at the worst possible time setting up some serious confluence over DC on north . It literally was a brick wall. 

Man that one still kinda hurts...lol That turned out to be the only shot at a foot we've had since 2016 (barring a March miracle this year)

11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Even at 7 to 8 days out?  That's still way out there in time. Significant changes could still occur and that's the beauty of this hobby imo . You simply never know even with all the advancements.  I'll keep tracking that time frame till at least the end of  the week . Besides it would only be the appetizer that preceeds our March 1st HECS ( that will piss off all the March snow haters )

Ordinarily I'd agree about lot giving up 7-8 days out...but that whole week is so historically futile for us (for some strange reason) that I just skip it, lol But hopefully we can have something for the week of the 1st start popping up by the end of the week!

26 minutes ago, Ji said:

thats pretty good. Im going to give up on the Feb 24-25 storm lol

But when was that ever a storm, though?

9 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

ICON closer.

Aw man...Of course it would be just like this winter would try and throw in one "just missed!" to twist the knife...lol

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

Euro is so close...just need precip and cold air

Wait...were we tracking something on the 25th? Lol

1 hour ago, Amped said:

Nice to see every model handling that differently.  UKMET has

It has support from a few EPS members.

And now...apparently the op is now reflecting a bit of that...

48 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Canadian trying to turn the corner and come up coast

Looks more like just a modeling of a wider precip shield than a turn up the coast (that High blocking it seems to be the real deal)

30 minutes ago, Dabuckeyes said:

I have to ask...why do you put parentheses around half of your comments. Are you having an internal dialogue?

Lol...That's a good question. Ya know, I'm only now realizing just how much I do it until you said that  I think it's because I often I end up expressing a lot of "sidebar" thoughts that are kinda related to the preceding sentence, but not completely (same thing during my personal interactions in reality, lol....Dang it I just did it again!) My ADD brain often wants to get multiple thoughts out at once; but then, my mild OCD drives my compulsion to keep the paragraph on one subject. Could be grammatical laziness too...wanting to express quickly yet not having the patience for using the proper syntax to put the thoughts together, lol

P.S. I moved this to banter so we wouldn't crowd the thread...despite the dirth of optimism at the moment, lol

10 minutes ago, Ji said:

2 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

It's not a neat pretty cycle because always some opposite years during cycles. If there wasn't compelling evidence that these cycles exist I would start thinking new normal stuff but that's not the case and anyone who thinks otherwise is not being objective. We had some opposite years that were ruined by something else (ak vortex usually). We live in a boom/bust area and that's just part of normal life. Deal with it or move. Complaining over and over every year isn't constructive. If it gets to you that bad then set goals, make a plan, and gtf outta here 
 
Eta: not speaking directly at you at all. Just in general 

We only get so many winters in a lifetime. Giving one up hurts badly

I can kinda feel ya on that...but Bob is right. We would do well to develop better coping mechanisms for dealing with our boom/bust region (since moving ain't in the cards for some of us). Yeah it sucks when it happens like this...especially when it comes on a streak of years where we've had more trouble scoring. Back-to-back ninas, followed by a winter that didn't produce due to MJO, too weak of a nino, or whatever, then this winter (so far). Brutal stretch we've been having. (and yes, we only have a lifetime of winters. But who knows, brother...maybe there's snow on the other side too! )

41 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

Who is Bryan Alston, and why has he stolen Maestrobjwa's icon!!!

They just wanna rip off a guy's mask right off, I'm tellin' ya...lol

43 minutes ago, Scraff said:

 

What...(ya know, I shoulda known better than to use the same icon on Twitter...lol) But I don't quite understand your response...I wasn't the one that was complaining about cold and snow! I think ya just posted this to troll me...lol

Just now, MJO812 said:

Lol at the people saying no more cold and snow. They will be in for a rude awakening come late February into March when the cold and snow will arrive.

And who are these people that have been living under a snowless mud-rock that are saying this???

49 minutes ago, jaydreb said:

Depends on your location.  I think ‘97-‘98 had only .1” in DC.  We have that beat.  

I keep forgetting to distinguish between DCA and BWI, lol

8 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

We are in a trench,  under a cavern under the valley.    I never thought I'd live through another winter as bad as 97-98.   Possible this year. 

And even 97-98 had more snow than we have right now, lol

20 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said:

The period I was looking at was when the legit cold moves in on Thursday evening I think. There is another vort max that moves in after that too. We can reevaluate coming up shortly. If it looks promising, we can start a thread. 

If anybody is rooting for a futility record, they'd probably vote against that happening...lol There has not been a February that failed measure just a trace of snow since 1898...so 122 years! A snow squall would eliminate that futility record...lol (if we're gonna be bad, may as well go all the way )

12 minutes ago, Ji said:

56 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

How much did we get from that one?...

I got 5 inches of sleet and an inch of snow. Really wild

Oh yeah? Wow (I'm guessing N&W areas did a little better?)

5 minutes ago, Ji said:

Vd memory

How much did we get from that one?...

3 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

Don't let it bother you too much, though at the same time I might suspect Rvarookie might just be trolling for fun.  Seems to happen a lot in here lately, hahaha!  There have been a lot of crap posts or worthless ones for what's supposed to be a "discussion" thread here, but it is what it is.  Yours are far from the "worst", and I'll admit to making my own snarky non-relevant comments in here too (rather than in Banter).  Now, if we ever get a storm mode, different story!!  (and at this point, fat chance we'll have reason for "storm mode" any time soon, haha!!)

Thanks. I don't know what his problem is or why he singles me out among the others here...and again, we did this exactly one year ago where he fired a random shot at me out of nowhere, as if I'm the center of the problem, smh

14 minutes ago, Rvarookie said:

Not sure which has been worse...this crappy winter or Maestro’s post that add no value to this thread

Hey wait a minute...I remember you from last year. So you complain about a post having no value with a post that also adds no value...nice.

11 minutes ago, Rvarookie said:

Not sure which has been worse...this crappy winter or Maestro’s post that add no value to this thread

If that's your opinion, take it up with the moderators. And there's also an ignore button too. (And I find it interesting that you singled just me out for this...)

If SC were to out-snow us this year...mercy. I hope we are repair for this in early March or next year.

6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

What do you want me to do about the fact the next 10 days (at least) we are still stuck in the same crap pattern?  Pattern change has to come first. Then maybe we get an event. Whether that is 5/10/15 days away you can’t force a threat where there isn’t one.  If you keep latching on to every lottery ticket level prayer from day 8 in this awful pattern you will continue to be let down and frustrated. Maybe something does hit on one of these crazy long shot setups that require 15 moving parts to all go our way but I bet if it does it will be something not resolved until short range and it pops up closer in. We are not getting some long range trackable event in this pattern. 

I got ya. my comment was slightly tounge-in-cheek--not a criticism (sorry it came off that way). It was more of a "that's a long way to go to see if the positive trends will hold", lol) But I get how you're looking at things...and have in turn started to pay more attention to what you and others have been saying about the overall pattern, long wave tracking (or lack thereof), etc.

Just now, psuhoffman said:

GEPS was a nice run. Caved to the idea of a Canada ridge and cutting a trough under into the east. It’s likelt transient and it’s reloading the super + AO at the end but it would create a good window first. This temp profile works in early March. 

I am trying to be positive and at this point I’m just hunting for a look that could produce one storm.  That’s all. 

So far the possibility of a workable look to start March hasn’t collapsed....yet 

384 hours is too long of a way to go man...lol

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

I am saying that I won’t give much credence to what other models are showing until the EURO shows it too.

That would suck if we saw the same movie play out two weeks in a row on the modeling...but, that's this winter for ya.

As far as I'm concerned this threat is it for February as far as getting anything shovel-worthy this month. It ain't snowin' on the last week of February...that's my story and I'm stickin' to it, lol (kinda)