Maestrobjwa

Wishing all of you a happy and blessed Thanksgiving!

13 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Maybe it's confirmation bias but it seems like there is ALWAYS a MA snowstorm in the ~240hr range on the models.  Is there some sort of technical reason for this?  Like some sort of amplification or feedback that is inherently built into the models?  Anybody have a clue?    

Yeah I'd like to know the same thing!

13 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

North is always the huge risk with these clippers. But there’s a lot of vorts flying around so I’d just take each run as entertainment until Thursday-Friday at least. 

Has been awhile since we got one though! WDI for clippers? 

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Wow. Tyler Huntley game ball

2 hours ago, CAPE said:

I was about to turn it off then I was like wth. Crazy.

After Dalton burned us again I just knew it was over...and then Huntley hit Sammy deep inside the 5 and I was like 

I'll admit that when I heard Lamar was out I had kinda written this game off! And then faith and favor once again came in and we pull off yet another improbable victory. I'm telling ya there's something with this team!

2 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Big plays have killed then all year. They played pretty solid overall but for 2 big plays. Sort of like the dolphins game. 
 

Opponents get tough now. Going to find out how flukey the 7-3 record is real soon. 

Yes December is gonna be pivotal. Very interested to see if we heat up in December--as Harbaugh teams tend to do (heck even just last year...took a 5-game winning streak into the postseason!) And of course 2012 also had moments like today (i.e. 4th and 29, lol)...but I don't think the wins were THIS crazy, haha So...is the 7-3 start flukey...or "meant to be"? We shall see!

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Apparently something was going around among other players on the team this week- flu maybe? but none of them are missing the game.

Then ya gotta wonder if whatever underlying issue he may have may acted up with the cold...I mean he sure seemed fine in the presser on Friday, but...

20 minutes ago, CAPE said:

No Hollywood either today. Hopefully they can run it a little. Defense needs to have a big game. They sure are due.

Except...they'll have to do it without Anthony Averett (and Jimmy Smith fwiw)...sheesh. It's been wack-a-mole...we get Mekari and Boyle back but then other folks are out! Sheesh

17 minutes ago, CAPE said:

No Lamar today- non COVID related illness. Well, he already had that twice.

For a world class athlete, he sure gets sick a lot.

I think he may have a chronic condition they're not disclosing (that's his business, of course). But most of the time you'd see him miss a day or two and then he'd be good to go (and usually light it up that Sunday...lol In fact I think the famous spin move came the Sunday after he'd had one of his bouts of whatever it is he gets)

Now sure we win today (not confident in Huntley if things are close...he just doesn't have the experience!). But thankfully we have a little room...I think the miracle wins we've had are happening for a reason!

15 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Yep. And once again it appears the cold air will trapped on the other side of the hemisphere early this winter. I hope that isnt a sign of things to come in the future. 

I never did understand this...folks said it last year but I never understood what was meant by "trapped on the other side". Trapped by what? (I'm not sure I can Google this, or even what TO Google, so someone kindly help me out here)

4 hours ago, North Balti Zen said:

I gotta say, I was expecting a bad fall color season due to the prolonged warmth and a misguided sense of what the cicada cycle might do to the canopy but...it has been delayed but pretty generally awesome nevertheless in the Baltimore area. 

Yes very much so! Was not expecting this (woulda planned the Fall drive later this year...last year we went too soon, lol Foliage can be a little unpredictable, no?)

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Dolphins D is legit. But Ravens really struggled to figure things out tonight. Not sure what to make of it.

Yeah I was surprised by it too! (and so were the Ravens, I'm guessing, lol). Especially that D-line...I mean yeah our O-line has had issues, but that was still another level!

Ravens will be OK

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

 

Yep...lol

5 hours ago, CAPE said:

Not seeing any strong indications of a -NAO on the ensembles in the LR. That was just a random op run and thus the weenie post for the ridiculously anomalous h5 heights it was depicting. A look like that would be a waste at that time anyway. Mid to late Dec maybe. Not really paid much attention to what the climate/seasonals have been advertising for Dec lately.

Makes last year more frustrating...wasted a perfectly good -NAO! Sheesh...

1 hour ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Hats off to you for having enough courage to make a prediction. Others will chime in with gripes only. Some that is.

Feels like others are also settling around that number(s) for the area as well. In my inexperienced opinion I'd guess the same (since we did get about 13" last year...I was guessing 13-15" myself (we fluked into 18" in 2017-18, lol). Hey I'd take it in a nina...that and a few blasts of some legit cold.

FOX45's prediction (the precip number was blocked by the logo)

I think this is a very good, non-weenie-ish prediction! Now sure could we get a slightly colder bust temperature-wise? Assuming it can still get cold, it certainly could happen. But 14.6" sounds about right (I think we got like 13" last winter).

6 hours ago, CAPE said:

Nice! Which park is this?

9 minutes ago, CAPE said:

They are a flawed team, but are somehow 6-2. With so many backups and guys signed off the street playing major roles, it wont always be pretty, but having Lamar and Tucker gives them a chance when things look bad early or even much of the game. Good news is they have several key parts returning in the next week or 2, including Boyle and Watkins and hopefully Mekari.

I keep looking back at the 2012 Ravens...they too were definitely a flawed team that could've easily had a worse record. But there may be something with this year's Ravens...No matter what happens they never flinch! I mean that have been showing some serious toughness even when things get crappy! These kind of games put hair on your chest for later on!!

3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

God the Ravens are a mess

But a good mess 

Looks like we trying to have a snow game 2013 redux...lol (hopefully with the same result )

7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Or not 

Or yes 

2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Defense finally showed some backbone in the second quarter, but I can’t recall seeing a ravens offense so clueless coming off a bye. 

Yeah they definitely came out flat! But it was good to get that TD though...might give them momentum for the second half!

32 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Not all ninos are good. Not all Nina’s are bad. If I had to bet I would go conservative. There are a lot of negative factors. But there is also a lot of chaos we can’t account for in this game.  I’m not sure how much enso is driving things lately. The more I learn the less I know.  While I’m pessimistic I’ve by no means given up on snow this winter.  It wouldn’t shock me if we get decent snowfall somehow.   

All ninos aren't good...I just see them as less hostile. So like if, say we've got a 40% shot in other ensos...it's like 10% in ninas based on history alone and the lack of a SS. Now I wouldn't be surprised if the season total ends up at median or even average like 2018 did...because we've seen that. We can stack 2 inchers, lol But if Feb 06' or Jan 00' happens again (those were seriously ninas? Were they weak? Will look that up. Had no idea, lol)....at least it would break the drought!

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

I’d roll the dice with a dec 2010 pattern again and hope for a little more luck. 

To this day I don't think 2010 was bad luck as much as it's just what ninas do with nor'easters...it's almost as if they meteorologically CAN'T form south enough due to the NS nina stuff...(unless you get anomalous blocking like 95/96). So if modeling shows a nor'easter during a nina...don't believe it, lol At least in the other ENSO states you MAY have a little more room!

1 hour ago, North Balti Zen said:

 

Probably as pretty as it can get this year--awesome! 

48 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

You need to change that to a snow  gun. big snows this winter.

Are you doing like...opposite of what you do in the tropical thread? Lol