Maestrobjwa

4 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

This winter seems puzzling.  Last winter we knew we were fooked like a prison party for new guests...but we saw it coming...this year seems more uncertain and could go either way.  Memorable or forgettable.  

Kinda where I'm at...in my mind this winter is literally up in the air at the moment, lol Perhaps this may tell us about where we are with our snow climo in general...(which is slightly nerve-wracking)

1 minute ago, REH said:

 No but he is missed here. I post at another forum where showmethesnow posts. So great to read his morning thoughts. I can understand with a certain poster or two here why they left. 

Which forum?

Just now, Chris78 said:

I think patience is the key word. Normally blocks give us the goods after there well established  and starting to break down or reload. 

Not sure that answered my question, though lol

Just now, REH said:

My apologies then. I just think we put too much thought into temp maps, even ensemble guidance, that far out in time. Some people punting winter ( not you or cape ) because they see a map all colored in red and freak out. The winter of 2009-2010 will Probably never walk through the door again but Canada was incredible warm that winter also. Looks can be deceiving sometimes 

Now see that there...was gonna be my next question. See, based on that winter, I thought if it was warm up there it would be cold down here...but I'm guessing it's not that simple? (is anything about winter simple? Lol)

8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

That’s rarely our source region. And honestly 50% of the time when it is that’s not a good snowstorm look. A huge arse full lat EPO ridge with a +NAO is a cold dry look and we typically warm when a wave approaches. We would either need that followed by a quick NAO flip or a perfectly positioned positively tilted epo ridge to get a progressive wave pattern. That’s going to be super rare.  If the Yukon doesn’t work as a source region we’re going to be pretty fooked most of the time. That sounds way too much like the people in the southeast forum who need to pray the stars align while a rare white elk and a unicorn stroll by every 5 years to have a shot at significant snow!  

Okay, so the Yukon is our main source region of cold? Now how does that work? (is that related to what you were saying with your map earlier?)

So could we say that perhaps 10-14 days from now we'll have a better idea of how the winter might shape up?...

8 minutes ago, CAPE said:

People pay more attention to the esoteric voodoo shit when the LR pattern doesn't look so good.

With all the mixture of pessimism and impatience in here...I'm losing a sense of where we are here...Are folks impatient or are the LR looks actually not looking as good as they were a week ago?

Sending Merry Christmas blessings to all of you! Be careful not to let any snow worries cloud this special day...bask in the hope and joy of Christmas (yes, believe it or not, it is there even in a year like this). God bless! 

3 hours ago, Bodhi Cove said:

Ha! 

Not at all. 30's & 40's are the BEST. 

Then everything starts falling apart at 50.

 

Or so I've heard...

 

And I have heard 30s and 40s are indeed some of the best...

2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

Whether you’re 13, 39, or 93, each day is a blessing. Even better if many of those days include snow! 

Indeed! Give thanks for each day, and when ya hit a new birthday, give even more thanks! (because there's probably plenty of stuff in between that coulda done you in but didn't, lol)

And yes...snow days? All the better! Count those blessings too (and be careful not to be too picky about how it comes)

11 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Happy birthday! All downhill from here!

 

Thank you (I think ) Haha Well, as far as the biological, physical peak is concerned speaking, that ain't completely wrong!! (Look at how soon after 30 we start callin' pro athletes "aging"). But hey, good thing that's just for athletic things!

54 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

From my sister in Knoxville. Thought I’d post for Ji.

You're a mean one, Mr Grinch...for sharing that, lol

Well folks...by the grace of God, I cross the threshold to age 30 today! Very thankful and looking forward to where He takes me this decade . And I don't mind the weather too much today because I consider the snow last week that came on Beethoven's 250th as an early birthday present above...that was an awesome day too!

45 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

That name is never to be mentioned. I had nightmares for a couple days when billy cundiff missed that FG.

27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I didn’t sleep for like 60 straight hours

25 minutes ago, CAPE said:

It was hideous. I try not to hate, but man that was tough.

Ya know, the only thing that took away the sting of that loss was the Superbowl we won the next year. Much more memorable story...so I can't be upset at what happened the year before anymore--because I daresay that helped set things up the greatness that would follow the next year!

12 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

I can tell you for historically sure that “delayed but not denied” bites us in the ass Far  more often then not. 

Yeah but this isn't the same thing as the last few years...the good pattern is practically right on top of us...not 15 days out in fantasy land. This time patience actually is warranted for the pattern to develop...

1 hour ago, WVclimo said:

I take the meat out of the refrigerator and let it sit for up to 2 hours before cooking it, until it reaches room temperature.  Then multiply the weight of the cut by 5 to determine how many minutes to cook it at 500 degrees.  After that much time, turn the oven off and keep the oven door closed for about another two hours.  That should get the internal temperature where you want it for medium-rare.

That has to be the most e=mc² cooking method I've ever heard, lol

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Real shame we can’t get more PAC cooperation. We wait years for the Atlantic to get it together and this is what we get. Still think January has potential through at least the first half.

When was the last time we even had PAC cooperation? Lol Seems like it's been forever! Is it just less cooperative in general than it used to be?

10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

You sure about that? 

BRUH 

WOTY Post nominee right here.  

Huh? Wait, why? I wasn't saying that I thought that way...(at least not anymore)...but hypothesized about the psychological effect...

3 hours ago, CAPE said:

Don't panic Ji!!

Ya know, I'm really starting to think that these snow maps are bad for the snow psyche...seriously (especially this far out). I think they can, subconsciously, create a false sense of reality. Some see 10 inches on the pretty snow map, and maybe there's a subconscious thought/feeling of "hey I actually HAVE 10 inches!), then you see 3 on the next run, and it's "oh no, it got taken away". It just makes level headed analysis on any threat or pattern more difficult, imo

1 minute ago, osfan24 said:

So we are out to January now? The storm after the storm after the storm? 

It's not the same as the last several years, though...where we were always looking Day 10-15 just for improvement in the larger signals. This time around, the larger signals are moving up in time...and thus, better reason to actually start believing in potential that could be 2-3 weeks away...and promising signs of continuing potential beyond that. So this time we wait  a little longer  for the further development of a pattern that's already building...and start looking at legit chances!

31 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Must be the solar min.

Hey buddy that's my line!  (and I'm ridin' that horse as far it goes too, lol)

1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said:

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA

HOOOOOOOO

TAKING JOY WHERE I CAN - BUT YEAH - REALLY ENJOYING THIS

Hilarious!!! But listen...we want the Steelers to get their act together next week...just saying, lol

23 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Down and to the right. Look low in the southwest sky tomorrow evening around 530-615.

Okay--thanks!

3 minutes ago, Stormpc said:

Toward your anus. 

Very funny...

Anyway I realize I shouldask read the rulebook before hand...seems I was just a tad late!

8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Yup, we got a quick view. Enough for everyone to get 1-2 looks before the clouds came back

Which direction in relation to the moon do I look in?

21 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Bummer. Clouded up quite a bit in the last hour. Was hoping could squeeze in a quick view of the conjunction.

This is typical Maryland weather can be a straight-up troll when comes to celestial events, smh