Maestrobjwa

Now perhaps I can only speak for myself...Bob I'd much rather you DO post your opinion like that than not. It's just like last year: you said you saw something early on that didn't scream stable blocking to you but you stayed quiet. I was actually slightly annoyed and was thinking "Maaaann why didn't you say something earlier???" I value your opinion and other knowledgeable posters, and I kinda use those to get an idea on what to expect (and in last year's case I probably would've tempered expectations about said blocking as I don't know how this stuff works as a layman) So if that's where I'm art...I'm sure there are others here would much rather have your opinion than not

Wait how would that be good for the rest of the forum? Lol If ya go with that that would means central and n. MD would be, well ya know...

But in this case though...isn't the H5 setup different than the other mire sliderish waves we've had? Or...has there been something this winter that has caused said deamplification tendency?

I just wanna know a reason. If it's gonna fail at least make it make sense, lol

Why isn't this making sense? Have we ever had a potential fail like this before? Since I've been on this board (not long--11 years, lol), every storm that hasn't worked out has had a reason. This would be the first one that doesn't and that's even more annoying.

Got a cousin that lives 15 mins from St. Mary's College and I've been giving him virtual side eye all winter...this is gonna take it to a whole other level

Not talking about your opinion on whether it's over...ya just sound like you're yelling.

Bruh...you're kinda going full tilt right now.

Might need to see 12z tomorrow just to make sure that's happening. I will say that 0z looked better than 18z to my amateur eyes.

Cliffhanger, lol

And the thing is we still have what...96+ hours to go. What, is it gonna trend all the way away so it's no storm up here at all? Lolol

Like bruh...that's all the way down to a WWA 2-4" type of deal at the most. Even the "jack" is 10 inches now!

Even to my amateur eyes...that's not even close!

Awesome! Which symphony did they perform? (And which college?)

Good enough reason for me

Desperate times, lol

Yeah but how in this case?

Hypothetically, why would that instance go in the logbook? It's not like "too warm" would be the issue if that were to occur.

Perhaps in the Dsicobs thread?

But even if something odd/bad luck does happen, shouldn't there be something scientifically that you can point to? I mean if we get screwed I'd at least like to know "this happened to do this at the wrong time" or whatever, as opposed to something that can't be explained by the H5 science that you and others know so well. Even all our fails have an explanation of some sort, even if it is just luck...and unexplained fail would be even more maddening. Hopefully the models correct to something that makes more sense!

I feel like that oughta be on a T-Shirt...and distrubted to everybody here, lol But seriously...what could be the disconnect here? Is a storm just gonna magically defy what's going on at that level?

How about Baltimore?

I don't know man...have we ever seen a snowfall distribution like that? A beach blizzard is one thing when it's off the coast of Delaware and hits the lower eastern shore and SoMd, and misses everybody else. But have we ever had a snowstorm where you still had 8-10 inches central/north AND a 20+ inch jack to the south? That seems weird to me but maybe someone can share if it's ever happened like that. Edit: Ninja'd by @osfan24. I see I'm not the only one thinking that, lol

Been thinking about his post...so if the flow isn't suppressive...what is causing what we're seeing?

Dang it you loopholdian! Well played