Maestrobjwa

If there would be a fail scenario, I would MUCH rather it be that one. The other would indicate a bigger problem as PSU explained.

Hey @psuhoffman how real is the risk of the SER this go around? To my amateur eyes that may be the only way this fails (or at least...doesn't snow as much as it could have). A post from the NYC forum: Now on the ensembles you don't see that linkage as of now...

A nice improvement over 0z.

This would be a different kind of setup. Not saying anything is a sure bet, of course...but this time there would be good blocking, from what I understand.

Now that would just be dumbdy-dumb and would go in the logbook. Glad it's D10+!

Lol What comic did this come from?

Ohhhh THAT one! Ohh yes I was 10 years old, and remember the sinking feeling of that blue sky the next day...and the local reporters saying "Looks like we dodged a bullet " and me looking at them like Good think it was a Saturday or else that would've been even more deflating--I think that was first memory of being disappointed by a bust, lol

Well what I'm thinking of wasn't widespread but rather to just this sub. So I guess by that measure 2001 would still be at the top.

Dang dude...I AM born in the 90s (exactly 90' actually). I thought you were younger than that!

The passage of time and something worse that happened to take it's place at the top of the infamy list--helped to mitigate the ban-worthiness, lol

My thoughts exactly, lol He seems like an old soul!

True. And bro can ya just tell us what ya meant by March 2001? Lol I see that wasn't a ton in Philly if that's where you are.

I have no idea if he was joking or not.

I'm gonna guess that was good for y'all up there, lol I don't think it was anything of note down here.

That's a psu logbook run. Definitely toss!

Not the same setup. This is starting to look like either all boom or nothing, lol

It's definitely started making (good) trouble in the neighborhood.

It's not, actually. But it's certainly higher than the 3-5" fringe events we have been getting in our respective yards! And 6-12" sounds pretty nice right about now. But like you I do want a big dog since it's been so long, and because of the warning level snow drought in my area (and even yours in some cases).

Largely because that one storm where the GL low ruined it is what sticks out in my mind the most. And wasn't that the same month we had thar windstorm while the storm clobbered NE? I know we got some nickle and dimes...and that Spring storm was rather entertaining--so you're right that wasn't a complete fail. But the big one we missed is I guess just annoyed me that much, lol

Do you think this is better than the blocking that we had (too late, lol) in March 2018? I ask because...seeing as only one HECS occurred in a Nina, I'm wondering whether the pattern we have setting up next week would be subject to the same stuff that messed things up in 2018. How similar/different would thos be compared to 2018?

Same. I've been out on this one since yesterday. I'm big dog chasing now--because obviously these kind of waves just don't do it even in Baltimore right now. I hope the rest of you enjoy your snow!

Hey Bluewave--I'm a visitor to thus forum, but, as someone in Baltimore who's been fringed by southern sliders since 2018-19 (eith Jan 2019 being the first time I remember that starting) your theory caught my attention. Areas in MD JUST south of me have done better in those kind of slightly suppressed systems, I've been wondering if this has just been dumb luck or whether something had actually changed! So how do you think this would be a cause of that rather unusual theme (as ordinarily the northern half of the MA sub does better than the southern half).

Hey Bluewave--I'm a visitor to thus forum, but, as someone in Baltimore who's been fringed by southern sliders since 2018-19 (eith Jan 2019 being the first time I remember that starting) your theory caught my attention. Areas in MD JUST south of me have done better in those kind of slightly suppressed systems, I've been wondering if this has just been dumb luck or whether something had actually changed! So how do you think this would be a cause of that rather unusual theme (as ordinarily the northern half of the MA sub does better than the souther half).

I think you meant to put this in the other thread.

Don't stress over it. In fact now that we're right up on it I'd suggest stepping away from the thread and letting whatever falls fall! That's certainly what I'm thinking about doing, lol