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Maestrobjwa

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Everything posted by Maestrobjwa

  1. Yeah I mean unlike some other fails where it goes from snowier to more rain, yet still some higher elevations could see a thump or something...so there's a purpose in keeping it up. But if it's literally nothing but flurries? Ehhh....
  2. Maybe this is only true in my case, but...to me...I believe there's an addictive quality with this as well. I see what my brain does when we're tracking something. The shot of adrenaline on the Zs when there's potential (literally dropping everything to check the run), the dopamine of a good run, the opposite of a bad. There's a real give (and take) of the brain's reward system...and when there's a letdown, the mood is a bit disrupted (temporarily). BUT...what I'm finding this season is...the less exposure to this place (and even tracking) when things are crappy works wonders. The site blocker app is becoming my best friend, lol Not many here appreciate my psychological musings of this hobby, but I'm telling ya, folks...it's worth it to delve into that side to better manage your reaction to the not-so-good that can happen with this hobby.
  3. It's one Op run at day 8...at this range all we need is for A storm to be there. There is 0% chance that's exactly how the storm is gonna go. I think folks are responding more emotionally due to being disappointed by Tuesday...and I get that. But even so...it's Day 7/8 people, lol
  4. I can't talk whether you're just ignoring what people say to refute this on purpose or you actually can't see it. Rainstorms are rainstorms and nobody pays attention to shifts in track because they don't typically matter to most of us! Why can't you see that? Model waffling happens all year around--just largely unnoticed.
  5. The trends on ops and ensembles aren't good though...hard to deny that. But at least we could still get some scenery snow this time.
  6. You will always have something to add, Wes. Always appreciate you chiming in!
  7. Hey, layman here...in the absence of higher understanding, any of you great posters could pull one over on me (wait maybe I shouldn’t have said that out loud)
  8. Did it really though? Lol (I think you're joking but not entirely sure)
  9. Doubt it. And this one missing us wouldn't fall under the "too warm" category. This is just regular chaos with waves...if this one misses it's not some huge indictment on the climo front.
  10. Your troll post off the top rope earlier was legendary by the way--well done, lolol
  11. Dude there was no storm on the last run. What do you mean more room...for what? From no storm to....more no storm? Explain, lol Worst solution is a hold because you can't go beyond no storm.
  12. How can it take a step back? There was zilch last time, lol
  13. Don't know why we can't seem to have snow-cover when we get a cold snap like that...don't think it's happened since 2014!
  14. Well at least it's impossible for it to be worse than 12z, lol I mean ya can't worse than nothing...Now if it hold serve, it's hard to imagine other guidance not caving to it. Then again, there is a lot of chaos with this one...
  15. ICON isn't worthy of deeper analysis...but of course when it shows snow we hug it like it's fully credible
  16. So basically...until we get to the short range, mentally treat Day 4 like Day 7-8
  17. Dang I was hoping that at the very least not get worse...but this gave zilch!
  18. But I am loling at what it spit out at the surface That is hilarious...it must assume we're in Canada, lol
  19. Would a stronger cutter=stronger tpv press (hence a squashed solution)?
  20. Yep, literally...it pulled the low further away from us, lol Hang in there, folks...prime niño climo window...i.e. put up or shut up time...starts January 20th. And we're gonna have cold...the STJ is still active, so I believe there will be chances.
  21. I'd take that as a Prelude...as long as that's what it is and that the main show(s) are later
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