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DocATL

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Everything posted by DocATL

  1. Looks good for the Deep South, too! It’s one Op run though. The EPS snow mean is dreadful though so we’ll need to get through this pattern before we get anything worthwhile for many of us.
  2. Northwest flow will put you to sleep for sure. A cozy bed helps. On the bright side we will squeeze flakes out of even the tiniest amounts of precipitable water.
  3. Yet somehow a forecast 200 hours out of cold and dry seems rock solid.
  4. Yeah, relying on a phase is precarious this far out. Hopefully though! .
  5. Canadian giving way to the GFS is so Canadian. Most energy to the north or to the south but not a ton of QPF. Those of you in lake effect areas are going to be tired of snow soon. Good call on that a few weeks ago [mention=276]michsnowfreak[/mention] !
  6. GFS has been a steady hand. A little insult to injury with a little rain to close out the run. .
  7. Average puts us in a better position for substantial snowfall
  8. 12z GFS and Euro deploy the SnowShield[emoji769] over Chicago Metro.
  9. NAM gives us a Thanksgiving phase just to the south of Chicago metro. Euro is close but a bit late. We should know by the midday runs if this is a possibility or not.
  10. GFS northwest trend is the surest thing in this world. .
  11. European pats GFS on the head and puts forward a more sensible solution the morning, keeping things quite active. Lots of quick hitter clippers. Honestly I like that better than a crippling wallop.
  12. Yeah…Canadian goes with a dry suppressed look too. If Euro follows suit, we punt. Gonna waste the cold this time around unless we can catch a clipper or two. Luckily it’s just the beginning of the season. Ensemble means are better for NYC than Chicago [emoji3061]
  13. Yeah unfortunately the GFS op puts us in the suppression shredder. But hey at least it’s cold [emoji2375]
  14. That’s true. From what I’ve seen, those are near term events in that you really need to have the conditions established first and then things start to show up in the models a few days out. .
  15. Looks like we are absolutely getting the cold. Now if we can get the storm track. .
  16. The weird warm advection from the north is the rub. This whole event is pretty bizarre with how it is unfolding. The fujiwara effect of the lows on the models is trippy.
  17. Even juicier at 18z. HRRR also vigorous. Where are you located? .
  18. NAM finally wakes up from its slumber [emoji849] .
  19. I don’t know about you all but I’m riding the ICON FTW. She’s glorious!
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