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DocATL

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Everything posted by DocATL

  1. Other concern is that GFS basically puts us in the shredder after the Jan 5/6 system. We will be in purgatory for a bit. .
  2. Canadian looking to suppress with a southern slider and a frigid northwest flow for us. Unfortunately this look has popped up intermittently on model runs and is a very plausible solution. It would mean hoping for a clipper.
  3. Is this because this is just not a pattern that typically produces? Seems like the southeast, east coast, and LES regions are in the crosshairs. Maybe we get more legitimate chances late January?
  4. Great synopsis! Interesting to see how it shakes out.
  5. Euro at least throws us a bone with the godforsaken northwest flow. Better than nothing. The GFS gives us a synoptic snow with much better accumulation to the south. Again, better than nothing. .
  6. Yes just snow. That’s it. Otherwise mild temps will do. I know I’m not getting what I want by any means. It’s the highs and lows of model watching and prognosticating that makes it fun. Obviously it’s colder than Atlanta. The 2.5 inches we got last week would have made many a winter down there.
  7. Oh no…BAM Wx folding. *feigns a shocked look* We’re doomed lol.
  8. The EPS is yuck. Mild out west. First 10 days of January don’t look great for snow (right now). Let’s see if GFS folds. Maybe we just need that classic nina look to roll the dice on. EDIT: GEFS trying to fold.
  9. Not saying that’s what will ultimately transpire. In fact it’s highly unlikely to transpire in that exact manner. I’d rather have this than what we had in early December. .
  10. Multiple GFS runs that show snow to the north and northwest of us as well as to the east and southeast. Wish I was making this up. 12z did not like Illinois.
  11. The more intense rains and storm potential look like they may be in the Ohio River valley. I think multiple rounds of light rain events though. The Euro has some intense rain storms barreling through the eastern seaboard. A volatile spring like pattern coming for early January.
  12. Yes. Rain prospects do look good through mid January. Maybe we get back in the mix as the next cold pattern relaxes latter half of January. Good opportunities for Ohio valley and northeast. Iowa and Minnesota probably do well. .
  13. Last nights event was perfect. Commute home was dicey but the drive to work today looks ok. Nice holiday scenery. Give me three or four more of these and I’ll be ok with winter. Hopefully mid January will bring more chances. .
  14. Yeah this was a good event. Beautiful holiday scenery, finally. Yet…no need for a snowblower. Maybe closer to 3 inches in Naperville. .
  15. Man it really has been. I was in med school in Washington DC in 2003 when we got >16 inches. The city was crippled and I was stranded while out at a bar. Had to spend a night with a girl I met at the bar but that’s a whole other story! [emoji57] Then I was in residency in NYC in 2006 when we got 26+! That was nuts because they had no where to put all that snow. .
  16. Imagine discussing weather on a weather board. Of course they have had several bad winters in a row. Having lived there, they are very accustomed to the rug pull. Anyhow, part of the fun is to see what the models put out and then see how much they change.. In other news, it’s absolutely white out conditions in the western suburbs right now near Wheaton. .
  17. The NAM crushing the I-95 corridor is a gut punch. But nobody threads the needle more than they do.
  18. I mean I think the new normal for the Midwest is that outside the far northern tier and LES areas, accumulating snowfall beyond an inch or two is becoming a bit more rare. As someone who moved from the south and used to the disappointment of missing out on winter weather, this is just par for the course - though it’s a bummer. For many folks who’ve spent a lifetime here, it obviously must be frustrating.
  19. Thread the needle threats are a welcome change compared to the tundra we just endured. .
  20. Always learn something from Eric. Good info about the incoming blowtorch. https://x.com/webberweather/status/1869018465316593852?s=46 .
  21. The Illinois Wisconsin border has become quite a snowshield lol .
  22. lol it’s wild. I’m praying for an inch like I did in the southeast. At least it gets cold enough to snow. As I say that the GEFS has Chicago above freezing for nearly 10 straight days!
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