dryslot

PC, 75/68

That cell south of saratoga spring looks healthy.

The one heading towards rutvegas went severe.

Watches issued.

72/66, Looks like were starting to shed the stratus overhead, Skies are getting bright.

Ovc 68/64, Dew's are creeping up, If the sun pops out.........

Where there's smoke, There's fire.

I think i would want to be near IZG, Lakes region down towards SFM for this.

Get some of these cells timed right running into the helicity and boom.

Its typically the first of Oct down this way, we will see how it goes.

The approaching front will be a focusing mechanism for lift which will make thunderstorms a pretty sure bet as the front moves through. The combination of instability, shear, and lift is right for the development of severe thunderstorms. Supercells with all severe weather types (hail, winds, and tornadoes) are possible within the warm sector ahead of the front on Wednesday, while the forcing along the front will likely produce more widespread and linear thunderstorms as it moves through. This would focus the severe weather threat more toward damaging winds, and for this reason we have included damaging winds in the forecast. Again, broader severe weather threats are possible, including heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding, however the wind threat has the greatest confidence at this point.

I was probably some where close to that total as Gray is about 10mi as the crow flies, I'm not sure when Tom moved to New Sharon from there, He had mentioned it before here but that would have been in the 2-4"/hr rates for those totals in that case.

Don't have the numbers for 02/05/01 but the 12/29/16 event was 19.0" here.

Fall harvest is the signal for me, And everything else follows.

Yes, The night time temps are the real villain here, Its just not worth the effort to try to maintain warmer pool temps so it can be used for all the reasons stated.

Fall is one of the best times of year, This month so far has had several nights in the 40's here, As expected, Still a few weeks away, But looking for the first frost of the fall season.

Yes Dave, All those factors play into trying to keep pool temps up, The gains you have during the day are lost by the nights in the 40's plus a few more degrees in the wrong direction.

Some need to go to pool school.

1.04" here so you were probably similar.

Captains and Hoods is the best.

Congrats KBHB to KEPM.

Its all convective rains, Up to 0.48" here looks like your getting some of it, Heaviest looks to be east of here though.

2 crops of hay this summer were far and few unless your property is inclined.

I've had standing water just about all summer in my yard, Most of today's so far has been all convective rain, Just like whats coming thru here now.