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dryslot

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Everything posted by dryslot

  1. Yeah, Best rates right now that i have seen since getting up this morning.
  2. Another hours or so its seems then we will be done, Should make it to 5"+.
  3. KLEW 021441Z AUTO 35011KT 1 1/2SM -SN BR BKN006 BKN011 OVC017 M02/M03 A2975 RMK AO2 UPE19SNB19 CIG 005V010 P0001 FZRANO Tacked on another 1" since the last ob, 3.8"
  4. The Nam did what the others were doing yesterday at the surface, The H5 track wasn't bad.
  5. It was suppose to snizzle between the WAA snow and then the secondary taking over.
  6. SLP is still well south of here so we have a ways to go
  7. I think where you are should be in good shape for this one.
  8. H5 track was further NW this run by a tic or two, Take a few more of these and it gets it more interesting for many.
  9. It at least has the slp where it should be offshore rather then being way east.
  10. This includes today's, And still going up here at hr90. This
  11. After brief shortwave ridging and a dry Saturday night/Sunday, the second storm system will approach from the southwest. This system will develop along the residual baroclinic gradient left in the wake of the first low along the trailing cold front, with cyclogenesis developing in response to renewed height falls/mid-level divergence and the LFQ of a subsequent jet streak arcing poleward from the Deep South. While there is uncertainty into the exact track of this second low as it will depend somewhat on the evolution of the first system, it is quite likely that a low will move offshore the Mid-Atlantic and then pass near the Benchmark before lifting into the Gulf of Maine Monday night. As this occurs, the mid-level shortwave will deepen and close off, potentially capturing the surface low which will be slowing due to downstream ridging. The ridging downstream could be significant enough to block eastward progress of this low, and while there is quite a bit of spread in the ensembles by D3, a track more NW of the operational runs seems likely as the downstream ridge gets reinforced and the upper trough interacts with this low. Current WPC probabilities are modest for 4 inches both D2 (Catskills and terrain of SNE) and D3 (Maine and NH), but there is potential for quite a bit more, especially in Maine, where a stalling or retrograding low with persistent theta-e advection may occur and CIPS analogs suggest a greater than 60% chance for 6" of snow. After coordination with the offices believe the ensemble approach showing a subtle upward trend in probabilities is best at this time.
  12. I trust everything i've seen today since 12z, This is going to end up an eastern solution that affects few here, There is still time and just a few changes could have big implications but for now, I have my doubt's.
  13. Its going to be an eastern area event, Mid coast to DE Maine in line to get the goods as it looks right now, I'm looking for a few crumbs back here.
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