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dryslot

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Everything posted by dryslot

  1. I know you already know but the sooner that gets out of the way the better for the WOR crowd.
  2. Right now, Whats going to happen upstream is whats going to drive the bus.
  3. Thats what i was referring too, I think some had lost sight on what scott had mentioned and with other systems, It would be right to have it that far east and miss.
  4. The 12z Nam was about to go nuts over the eastern areas as it was lifting north on the last panel.
  5. I have not lost sight, I mentioned it yesterday that this has a very broad precip shield associated with the orientation of the ULL, That's why i came in this morning to talk some off the ledge, Have to let this play out, Small nuance changes can have large implications further to the west.
  6. The 06z EPS was a couple tics west of the 00z run, Still plenty of time left for this.
  7. The ull that's coming thru here today is playing a roll on upstream conditions at present that's affecting our system for the 1st, That's what needs to be watched.
  8. Yeah, I don't know why some are ready to throw in the towel, We are a good 78-84hrs out from first flakes in CT, A good 12-18 hrs to go on the models for trends.
  9. What a morgue in here, lol, Other then the Euro, It looks like models overnight ticked back NW some, We shall see what today brings, We should have a good idea i think by 00z tonight or 12z tomorrow where this is going.
  10. All you want from the GFS right now is some positives with the upper air charts.
  11. 00z GFS couple tics west of the 18z run, Should be better then the 18z further west.
  12. And this one just happens to be further south today, The slower model scenario's allowed it to lift out in time, But no time to sweat the details.
  13. That's been apparent on all modeling today, Reason were seeing this further south.
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