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dryslot

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Everything posted by dryslot

  1. dryslot
    12z Nam still looked a bit toasty aloft to me for some, It is a tic or so colder though.
  2. dryslot
    That's what its been about really for the most part and confluence more or less.
  3. dryslot
    6-10", Someone sees 12", Typically 10-12:1 ratio as it progresses where it stays all snow, In sooner then modeled and done sooner as well as the taint follows that same timeline.
  4. dryslot
    Yes, But all the models were even the Nam ticked south, The 18z Euro had NYC getting 10"+, 12z was 6" or so.
  5. dryslot
    18z was colder then the 12z run yesterday.
  6. dryslot
    this
  7. dryslot
    Pretty much agree with maybe some more slight tweaking if sleet becomes a bigger deal for some.
  8. dryslot
  9. dryslot
    New here?
  10. dryslot
    I'm not sure what to think, I think it may have been you if not apologies but i don't really trust the HRRR until right about now when we get to the 24 hr mark, I have found it to be to aggressive at times with its thermals and output of qpf especially up here, It could be right but looks like even the globals are showing some warmth as well, But knowing how these SWFE's go, I'm not surprised by whats happening right now,.
  11. dryslot
    I was getting crap for saying not to sell the Nam, After that 02/04 event it sniffed out the warmth and like a bulldog with a bone, It didn't let it go, Looks like it doubled down at 06z, Lets see what 12z looks like, Many in here have wiggle room, Its the ones on the fringes it affects the most.
  12. dryslot
    I would like to now why that is as well.
  13. dryslot
    That was more tongue and cheek because someone said all of them were but especially when the trends go the wrong way, And yes, The Euro has done this since 06 and 18z runs started but get over looked by some when it shows snow in there BY.
  14. dryslot
    But its the off hr runs..............
  15. dryslot
    They do.
  16. dryslot
    After 0z Reggie ticked north, 0z GGEM follows suit too.
  17. dryslot
    It had that one good run in 2015 and none since.
  18. dryslot
    RGEM is junk.
  19. dryslot
    The s/w being weaker this run i think plays into that.
  20. dryslot
    For one, The primary is weaker as well as the secondary, Little more confluence too, But its the off hr Euro so take it FWIW.
  21. dryslot
    More pellets.
  22. dryslot
    Yes, In the end, The secondary was almost identical to 12z over 42/68
  23. dryslot
    I don't know if i would label that a big jump, It looked like a couple tics south.
  24. dryslot
    Looks it where the bodies are buried.........lol
  25. dryslot
    That's a friendly giraffe.
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