I don't think it would be a let down, I'm more interested to see which model performs the best going into the rest of winter, Snow avgs are pretty low for many in Nov.
Yes better if its tracking more north and east pulling the boundary east instead of west more inland, Its still going to be tricky here better to the west.
I had made an edit, I went back and compared the two closer, Not really that i wanted to yet but it was a bit NW as you say and about 3mb stronger too, Definitely colder at the surface here.
The trend seems to have gone colder today, Its more of a thread the needle scenario the further east you are, SLP looked to track over the elbow this run into the GOM, 3mb stronger too.