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dryslot

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Everything posted by dryslot

  1. Of course it does, You're in Northern Maine, Gods country......
  2. 18z Euro a tic or so on the northern side, Bumped qpf a bit.
  3. Does nothing for us down here and where we want it to snow does nothing too.
  4. GYX bumped into the 8" range here and just hoisted WSW.
  5. Tblizz called me out yesterday mentioning warm layers, Beware.
  6. 12z Nam still looked a bit toasty aloft to me for some, It is a tic or so colder though.
  7. That's what its been about really for the most part and confluence more or less.
  8. 6-10", Someone sees 12", Typically 10-12:1 ratio as it progresses where it stays all snow, In sooner then modeled and done sooner as well as the taint follows that same timeline.
  9. Yes, But all the models were even the Nam ticked south, The 18z Euro had NYC getting 10"+, 12z was 6" or so.
  10. Pretty much agree with maybe some more slight tweaking if sleet becomes a bigger deal for some.
  11. I'm not sure what to think, I think it may have been you if not apologies but i don't really trust the HRRR until right about now when we get to the 24 hr mark, I have found it to be to aggressive at times with its thermals and output of qpf especially up here, It could be right but looks like even the globals are showing some warmth as well, But knowing how these SWFE's go, I'm not surprised by whats happening right now,.
  12. I was getting crap for saying not to sell the Nam, After that 02/04 event it sniffed out the warmth and like a bulldog with a bone, It didn't let it go, Looks like it doubled down at 06z, Lets see what 12z looks like, Many in here have wiggle room, Its the ones on the fringes it affects the most.
  13. That was more tongue and cheek because someone said all of them were but especially when the trends go the wrong way, And yes, The Euro has done this since 06 and 18z runs started but get over looked by some when it shows snow in there BY.
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