Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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Mid March surprise
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The funny thing is our two biggest storms - 1/6 and yesterday, both occurred before the pattern was supposed to become more favorable
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Ok who is this and what did you do with snowman19?
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Ukie came a hair north but still nothing north of Monmouth
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This isn't nearly the same type of setup and won't be as prone to major shifts either way
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Gfs very weak for us
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Yeah I'm just saying we risk getting barely a coating if nam is right. I'm not expecting the 3 to 5 like southern areas may see
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It kept showing no snow south of 80 for days
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Unfortunately icon is usually too far north so I wouldn't use it. I like seeing the rgem so robust
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I did it in the 90s lol -
Kuchera is slightly better
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Yes this is just saturday morning's event
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March was the bigger sleet event. All sleet pretty much the entire duration. VD started a bit of snow and might have had some freezing rain but was a decent amount of sleet too. I measured 3.4 in Feb and 5.9 in March I think it was the 850 low track that screwed us as the coastal track was fine and temps were very cold
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I still think it's a 1 to maybe 2" event as the gfs and euro show but could see it drying up or favoring southern areas too
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But if you compare it to 83 or 2016 you're bound to be disappointed
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With how warm it's been this could've easily been a snowless month
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Yes that year we had absolutely nothing to track all of January and February through mid march and not a flake accumulated. This winter could've easily been 3 or 4 moderate events and close to average but the Jan events all did worse than expected here
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Yesterday we threaded the needle and made it work for most. Nyc will need a bombing low well off the coast like jan 2018 with temps in the 20s to get a big event. These borderline events just don't work out there anymore
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Most forecasts I saw talked about a back loaded winter with a favorable mid Jan to mid Feb period. Not necessarily a 1 and done. But the reason I say luck is because things just haven't come to together even when our pattern was more favorable
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I agree but you sound like you thought we'd repeat those winters
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Sure but you just proved why we shouldn't expect an 82-83 repeat. That was the old climate
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No glee just happy most of us cashed in at least once. Even if cashing in means 1 plowable event
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But you can never expect a KU event just because 2 analog winters happened to have one. If the sample were larger and say 9 out of 10 strong ninos had one I'd say maybe
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Right which were lucky. This year the luck didn't go our way (so far).
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Many have done better than that winter which totally screwed the interior and new England. It's not just about nyc
