Stormlover74
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Everything posted by Stormlover74
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It could but probably weaken to a 3 at landfall
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It's coming
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One stung me on my thigh when I was like 4. My mom used to hang clothes on the line and one got in my pants. When I went to put them on I felt a sharp pain in my leg. Yes thankfully it wasn't any higher lol -
Not sure the last time this happened but so far at nyc and ewr every day has been between -5 and +5 relative to average. And looks like the rest of the month will fall into that range as well
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Great night to sit outside and be mosquito food
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Umm
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Labor day weekend heatwave on the euro
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Yeah that run looks decent but for some reason as it got closer it lost it
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I could be wrong because I didn't look at the hrrr last night but I don't think any model had that much rain
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And we all thank you
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This upcoming week's cooldown is already looking less impressive than a few days ago
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Another .57 this morning
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No forkin' way
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1.29 - 1.16 this morning plus .13 last night Most of the models have at least some activity through this evening though the hrrr is very isolated
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Just hit 1" here for this batch plus what fell last evening. Should clear 1.25 before this wraps up in an hour or so
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Quite a nice batch of heavy rain moving through
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Yeah rgem is like a quarter inch for us
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Hrrr has been shifting the heaviest north and east
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Hrrr quite wet west and south of the city
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Upton discussion Another shortwave traversing within the NW flow aloft between the heat ridge across the central states and troughing over the North Atlantic will approach. An MCS will likely develop with this shortwave as it moves out of the Great Lakes region tonight. There is still fairly high confidence that the majority of this complex will pass well to our west across PA following the greater instability and along and west of the warm front. However, there will also be a 30-40 kt LLJ over the northeast and New England overnight into Friday morning. Showers will increase in coverage during this time associated with the LLJ and warm advection. While the majority of the convective complex moves to the west, a weaker, more stratified eastern edge may push through NE NJ, Lower Hudson Valley and portions of the NYC metro. The combination of these features support widespread showers late tonight into Friday morning. PWATs should reach 1.75-2 inches and there will be a deep warm cloud layer of around 13 kft, supporting locally heavy rainfall potential. Low level lapse rates may be fairly steep, but surface instability will be limited by a cap/inversion around 6-8 kft. There is enough elevated instability to support some embedded thunder
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Surprised no mention of heavy rain tomorrow morning in upton's forecast. Hrrr and nam are both quite wet although 3knam is less so
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75 on Christmas eve. Bank on it
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Yeah 12z came in wetter but still dry Thursday unlike the nams
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The nams bring in rain early on thursday now and last most of the day particularly west of the city Euro waits til Friday morning Rgem much drier
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