Stormlover74

The 18z gfs did better lol

They left my report out for some reason https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=okx&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS

Yeah when I stepped outside I couldn't believe it was that much. I figured 4 or 5 eyeballing it. That's why you always need to get out there with the ruler

This was sort of like trying to forecast rainfall amounts in a thunderstorm except most people have no idea if they got half an inch or 1". If most people get a thunderstorm and some don't it's certainly not a bust. But with snow if you're not in that range people will say bust. But how do you forecast for this? Most people saw 2 to 4 but some saw 3x as much nearby. You can't just say 2 to 10 or 2 to 4 with isolated amounts of 8 to 12

Seems that way. This winter will have a very strange looking snowfall distribution though

Has central park made it to double digits yet?

Same. By less than 3 miles I got 8 instead of 3

Ratios were very high in that band as well.

We already know. 2"

Nice final band coming through. Maybe an additional half inch

Almost impossible to forecast because it's a nowcast situation so mt holly couldn't really forecast 2 to 4 locally 10

8 on the dot

Fox in the snow

Should probably be a warning here but I realize it's pretty localized to the southern part of union judging by the radar the past few hours

Just woke up. Gorgeous out. Eyeballing 3 to 4 but hard to tell. Didn't quite get under the allsnow band

Very light snow and 34

So the area he had getting 5 to 7? Lol

I just don't see that area and along the M/D line only getting 1 to 3 unless all the heavier echoes go northeast

There will be a lot of positive and negative busts with this one. Doesn't look like a uniform 2 to 4/3 to 5 anymore

Down to 35 after a high of 43

I think the bumping is done. Now we watch where the banding sets up

Wwa issued .EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0005.240217T0500Z-240217T1500Z/ Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen- Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southern Westchester- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk- Northeast Suffolk-Southwest Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk- Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau- 302 PM EST Fri Feb 16 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Saturday.

Nam is very nice

Probably too far north. Screws Philly to DC