cheese007

Mesoscale Discussion 1994 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0835 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021 Areas affected...portions of western Kentucky Concerning...Tornado Watch 554... Valid 110235Z - 110400Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 554 continues. SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Tornado Watch 554, with a local uptick in tornado potential possible with any discrete supercells that can become sustained. DISCUSSION...Multiple supercell structures with transient low-level rotation have been progressing across northern portions of Tornado Watch 554 over the past couple of hours. Recently, KHPX radar data suggests a relatively deep mesocyclone has developed with a supercell across Muhlenberg County, KY, likely due to increased low-level shear as the axis of a strong LLJ overspreads the region, and as richer moisture continues to advect into the region in tandem with stronger deep-layer ascent. As such, a local uptick in tornado potential may be realized over the next couple of hours with the more isolated supercells that persist in the LLJ axis. Also, a long-lived supercell with a long-tracked, intense tornado is also approaching Tornado Watch 554, and is expected to approach the western bounds of the watch in the next couple of hours. Given that modest instability and strong low-level shear are expected to remain in place, a potentially significant tornado threat may manifest in far southwest KY. ..Squitieri/Grams.. 12/11/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH... LAT...LON 36608840 37148791 37648721 38128648 38318582 38158524 37728507 37218527 36848552 36608610 36508721 36478771 36608840

Overturned vehicle on Brandon Copic's stream

Confirmed TOR 10 miles north of Branson Missouri per TX Storm chasers

Mesoscale Discussion 1988 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0702 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021 Areas affected...Eastern Missouri and western Illinois Concerning...Tornado Watch 553... Valid 110102Z - 110200Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 553 continues. SUMMARY...The damaging wind and tornado threat is increasing across eastern Missouri and western Illinois, including the St. Louis Metro area. DISCUSSION...A line of storms has organized across central Missouri and is moving quickly east toward the Mississippi River. Within this line are several embedded supercells with some low-level rotation evident from the KLSX WSR-88D. The storm with the coldest cloud tops is currently moving toward St. Louis. Therefore, this portion of the line in particular may have a greater severe wind/tornado threat over the next 1 to 2 hours, especially given the backed surface flow and around 500 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH from the KLSX VWP. ..Bentley.. 12/11/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF... LAT...LON 39609124 39779070 39598994 38498949 37788974 37409094 37259193 37439234 38989191 39459149 39609124

Debris ball by Monette per TX Storm Chasers twitter feed

Storm out in DFW just got severe warned

Mesoscale Discussion 1912 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0908 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 Areas affected...southeast Texas and far southwest Louisiana Concerning...Tornado Watch 540... Valid 271408Z - 271545Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 540 continues. SUMMARY...The greatest threat for tornadoes through 16Z will persist with discrete storms developing from southeast TX and possibly far southwest LA. DISCUSSION...Early this morning a warm front extends through southwest LA north of Lake Charles into southeast TX near Jasper, then farther northwest where it intersects the squall line which extends southward through the Houston metro area and beyond. The warm sector to the south and east of these boundaries is very moist with low to mid 70s F dewpoints along with temperatures in the upper 70s F. The 12Z RAOBs and latest objective analysis show the atmosphere in this area to be moderately unstable with around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE. VWP data from Lake Charles also indicates sizeable low-level hodographs with 250-300 m2/s2 storm relative helicity based on current storm motions. This strongly sheared, low-LCL environment will remain favorable for low-level mesocyclones and tornadoes next couple hours as discrete supercells continue moving northeast through the warm sector. Some interaction with the warm front is also likely, potentially augmenting the tornado threat. Farther west, damaging wind will remain the primary threat along the squall line, but a couple of brief tornadoes cannot be ruled out with any embedded mesovortices. ..Dial.. 10/27/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX... LAT...LON 31029405 30739340 30189340 29759405 29889481 30609464 30929444 31029405

Confirmed tor on the Port Arthur/Beaumont storm per TX Storm Chasers live stream

Two tornado warned storms in the Houston metro and another heading towards Beaumont Tornado Warning TXC201-271345- /O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0027.211027T1316Z-211027T1345Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 816 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 The National Weather Service in League City has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Harris County in southeastern Texas... * Until 845 AM CDT. * At 815 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Cypress, or 7 miles northwest of Addicks Park Ten, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Jersey Village and northeastern Addicks Park Ten around 825 AM CDT. Spring Branch West, Carverdale, Fairbanks / Northwest Crossing, Westbranch and Willowbrook around 830 AM CDT. Spring Branch North, Spring Valley, Greater Inwood, Spring Branch East and Spring Branch Central around 835 AM CDT. Hunters Creek Village, Greater Greenspoint, Hilshire Village, Central Northwest, Langwood, Lazybrook / Timbergrove and Greater Uptown around 840 AM CDT. Northside / Northline, Aldine, Near Northside Houston, Greater Heights, Memorial Park, Downtown Houston, Neartown / Montrose, Afton Oaks / River Oaks Area, Fourth Ward and Greater Fifth Ward around 845 AM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Discovery Green, Compass Stadium and Minute Maid Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 2987 9576 2994 9576 2999 9527 2972 9530 TIME...MOT...LOC 1315Z 276DEG 33KT 2990 9571 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 814 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 TXC201-339-271330- /O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-211027T1330Z/ Montgomery TX-Harris TX- 814 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 AM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND NORTH CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES... At 813 AM CDT, a severe squall line capable of producing both tornadoes and extensive straight line wind damage was located near Pinehurst, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. These dangerous storms will be near... The Woodlands around 820 AM CDT. The Woodlands Pavillion around 830 AM CDT. Spring, Oak Ridge North, Shenandoah, Woodloch, Chateau Woods and Splashtown around 835 AM CDT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This cluster of thunderstorms is capable of producing tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. && LAT...LON 3015 9568 3022 9568 3024 9535 3006 9543 TIME...MOT...LOC 1313Z 274DEG 30KT 3018 9564 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN $$ Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 818 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 TXC245-271345- /O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0058.000000T0000Z-211027T1345Z/ Jefferson TX- 818 AM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY... At 817 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 14 miles south of La Belle, or 16 miles southeast of Hamshire, moving north at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Port Arthur, La Belle and Sea Rim State Park. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 2992 9425 2987 9393 2967 9404 2965 9413 2961 9422 TIME...MOT...LOC 1317Z 194DEG 19KT 2967 9416 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Brazzell

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0534.html 50/30 Tor probs for northeast AR and west TN

About 8k people in Perryville

Still getting tornado warnings in OK near daybreak. Impressive system

Tornado Warning OKC111-143-145-110330- /O.NEW.KTSA.TO.W.0029.211011T0305Z-211011T0330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1005 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021 The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Wagoner County in northeastern Oklahoma... Northwestern Okmulgee County in northeastern Oklahoma... Southeastern Tulsa County in northeastern Oklahoma... * Until 1030 PM CDT. * At 1005 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Beggs, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations in or near the path include... Bixby... Glenpool... Beggs... Stonebluff... Liberty... Hectorville... Leonard... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3586 9606 3586 9603 3590 9603 3596 9598 3590 9569 3569 9605 3573 9617 TIME...MOT...LOC 0305Z 227DEG 34KT 3574 9607 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Tornado Warning TXC139-217-251-110330- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0021.211011T0303Z-211011T0330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1003 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Johnson County in north central Texas... North central Hill County in central Texas... Central Ellis County in north central Texas... * Until 1030 PM CDT. * At 1002 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Grandview, or 14 miles southeast of Alvarado, moving northeast at 50 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Maypearl around 1010 PM CDT. Italy around 1015 PM CDT. Ennis, Palmer and Bardwell around 1030 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Garrett and Pecan Hill. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW! && LAT...LON 3211 9713 3228 9721 3254 9666 3229 9653 TIME...MOT...LOC 0302Z 245DEG 44KT 3223 9709 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Godwin

Power just went out Dallas county

Tor warning Johnson County TX

50/30 tornado probs on the new watch

Nice structure on Mark Hills and Brandon Clements streams

Tornado Warning OKC031-075-102330- /O.NEW.KOUN.TO.W.0023.211010T2239Z-211010T2330Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Norman OK 539 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021 The National Weather Service in Norman has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Comanche County in southwestern Oklahoma... Central Kiowa County in southwestern Oklahoma... * Until 630 PM CDT. * At 539 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 5 miles east of Warren, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and tennis ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Mountain View, Roosevelt, Cooperton, Tom Steed Reservoir and northwestern Wichita Mountains Wildlife Refuge. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a storm shelter, safe room or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3511 9875 3478 9869 3470 9914 3470 9915 3476 9916 3476 9915 3477 9916 3479 9916 TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 236DEG 28KT 3476 9912 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN $$ ..speg.

Mesoscale Discussion 1822 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0425 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021 Areas affected...Southwest Oklahoma into western North Texas Concerning...Tornado Watch 517... Valid 102125Z - 102300Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 517 continues. SUMMARY...Initiation of discrete storms is becoming more likely in the vicinity of Frederick, OK within the next 1-1.5 hours. The threat for tornadoes is increasing in southwest Oklahoma into parts of central Oklahoma. DISCUSSION...Towering cumulus continues to develop south of Frederick, OK. The strongest pressure falls in the last few hours have occurred in this vicinity. Confidence is increasing in storm initiation within the next 1-1.5 hours. Given the backed surface winds and over 50 kts of effective shear, initial storm mode will likely be supercellular. KFDR VWP has begun to show an increase in low-level SRH recently as well. Storms that form in this region would pose the greatest tornado risk over the next few hours. ..Wendt.. 10/10/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN... LAT...LON 33819849 33849879 33949902 34059910 34529892 34989844 35259790 35289751 35069737 34389761 33819849

SEL7 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 517 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 320 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Much of Central and Southwest Oklahoma Western North Texas * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 85 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to rapidly develop this afternoon over southwest Oklahoma and race northeastward across the watch area. Supercells capable of strong tornadoes and significant wind damage are possible - especially along the I-44 corridor. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest of Altus OK to 40 miles northeast of Chandler OK. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 516... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 75 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25040. ...Hart

Can't say I expected a moderate risk tbh

Never have I seen a user so consistently wrong on this forum