Yeoman

I think the 3rd or 4th week of Jan we should start to see the pattern evolve. An inch before the SB would be a definite win 

By now we've accumulated at least 3 ft of digital snow even in the shittiest of winters.. have we even gotten an inch yet? 

I'm just hoping I can retire the AC for the season.. did we get below 60 last night?

1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Not a forecast, but worth bookmarking this tweet:

 

When customwx talks I listen

14 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

There’s only one kiss of death … we all know what that is but dare not say it.

It's forecasting snow?

47 minutes ago, IronTy said:

In fairness to JB he was referring verbatim to the GEFS output, not what he thought was going to happen.  I give JB a lot of shit (though I've been a paying member for years) but I can't think of anybody in the business who can pull historical analogs out of their ass better than him.  

Worlds best ass puller.. keep the $$ coming and he'll personally hand pick only those that keep you coming back.

1 hour ago, BristowWx said:

You can see the impressive -NAO flexing post 354 at least on this run

Damn.. if it were only within 330 hours I would get excited

35 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Exactly right. Model watching outside of about 3-4 days is fun but nothing you pin hopes or disappointment on.

14 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Sign me up from some Christmas week snow. Let's all pull together and make this one happen. 

Remember how we thought the last snow chance was going to be far too amped at long range, then it died to suppression. We have to remember that things won't ever end up the way they are 7 + days out. So don't worry on the specifics of the possible storm early next week, it's just not worth it. Once we get to Thursday we can take it more seriously.  

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GEFS thru Christmas.

10-20% - valid for any random date in winter

10 minutes ago, Ji said:

1 hour ago, midatlanticweather said:

We could start a Go fund me for this! It would be perfect!
 

Too late....id rather it start christmas eve and then wake up to heavy ending late pm

heavy rain?

1 hour ago, Weather Will said:

You mean verifying like the Cowboys beating Washington this weekend?   

i wish!

When is Weather Won't going to post the 840 hour GFS? It probably has a higher chance of verifying.

11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Vodka cold rarely, rarely will produce snow here. And usually only upon its exit

or cold for that matter

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Blizzard ones right?

Still 90% likely that school will be canceled, so don't worry. 

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

44 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Across all guidance the trend is a better cold push but also a weaker system. That also means colder but in a Nina sheared apart is always a threat. This was always a thread the needle. Still is. 

I heard ukmet was decent

That's unfortunate

1 hour ago, ravensrule said:

2” at my house. 

So the usual?

11 minutes ago, yoda said:

Icon is meh... 1-2 for C VA... maybe an inch up to DC

A third of the seasonal total is far from "meh"

3 hours ago, frd said:

 

 Take this with a grain of salt.  But, in a Nina and with the base state we have I can see this happening. 

 

 

LOL!

Maybe I should ask him what beach week is going to look like for me in August.. then again, the models can't get day 7 right let alone months into the future.

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

What is wrong with me posting, is it just because I am younger than you? I am allowed to post even I am not the best poster here, I am young and still learning after all. Also recess ends at 6th grade so get it right if you are going to make fun of me.

Relax - just joking.. you're all good

15 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

What do you people mean this setup is a classic, great lake low transfers to off the coast to the southeast all time while giving us snow in a marginal airmass all the time. 

No electronics during recess

23 minutes ago, Ji said:

There is a better chance of randy posting nude photos on instagram then us seeing snow this December

You're going to have to use your imagination again - for both

27 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Maybe it's confirmation bias but it seems like there is ALWAYS a MA snowstorm in the ~240hr range on the models.  Is there some sort of technical reason for this?  Like some sort of amplification or feedback that is inherently built into the models?  Anybody have a clue?    

Developers did it to piss off the weenies

3 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Good. All stores should be closed thanksgiving.

Until stores provide all employees (full and part time) with paid leave, you're only hurting the workers who want to earn and provide for their family.

Has it come ashore yet? Looking amped?