ShawnEastTN
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Everything posted by ShawnEastTN
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Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
ShawnEastTN replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
My temp starting to fall now after being stubborn at 47 for hours, down 3 degrees in the last 10 minutes. That sleet event either pulled down cold or it marks the boundary where temps begin crashing. Edit: Wind has also switched to the N, been southerly until now. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
ShawnEastTN replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm noticing that even when I'm in an Gap in returns I still have light rain falling. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
ShawnEastTN replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Think this area has sleet/semi-melted sleet based on what I am experiencing. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
ShawnEastTN replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Still 47 with rain the back edge keeps redevolping over me, though I notice a difference in the rain from an hour ago and now. Now the rain seems weighted heavier as in sleet that melted or mostly melted in the lower levels think the cold is deepening above me now (Ten Mile, Roane/Meigs county line) Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk -
Christmas Eve/Christmas 2020 Arctic Express Snow Obs.
ShawnEastTN replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Light rain still on very back edge of precip Meigs/Roane county line 47, barometer still falling winds still SSE. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk -
Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hmm... "Will update WSW and SPS products shortly" Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I feel good about McMinn in terms of getting a white ground especially Riceville north. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seriously the Euro went from .5" to 2" imby. If night run goes that way I think we'll see product changes with the overnight shift. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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- cold temperatures
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hoping faster change over, may give some credence to RGEM faster switch over. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
That front is pretty impressive, temperature swing of 30 degrees across a relative short distance Oklahoma City to Little Rock. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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- cold temperatures
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I trust that aspect of the RGEM as it really dealt well with the trailing energy with the last event also. The NAM had snow out of my area while it was still snowing the RGEM nailed it. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I am of agreement. I think this has high potential to bust higher for central and southern valley, plateau and highland rim. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I guess with the front now bisecting Arkansas approaching the Mississippi River this really is going to rapidly move into nowcast obs mode. We going to continue on this thread or someone opening an obs thread? Edit to add: speaking of which 20 degree difference between southern AR and NW AR. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
One of those bands would be awesome!!! 15:1 or 20:1 ratio with pouring snow... Just a dream to get one of those imby. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
My guess MRX will upgrade watch areas to warning, and issue advisory for plateau, and central valley, maybe advisory for Southern valley but probably SPS, mostly out of concern for slick spots from black ice and dusting. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like Jackson KY NWS pulled the warning trigger, and also issued advisories to the west of the warning. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Personally I pay little attention to amounts just watch for evolution. I am very partial to RGEM for it's uncanny ability to sense energy and features that often it's closest equal the NAM doesn't sniff out. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Right! Also seen the inverse in recent memory, think in February same year plateau got major icing event a snow event preceded it I think in 2015 or 16 NWS started the day with knoxville forecast of .5" - 1" as the event neared they continually updated amounts all day by that night they issued a graphic of 10"-12" knoxville, Chattanooga got 10" was a huge bust in the positive. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Dandridge Dollop 12/24/20 Storm Thread (Winter Wonderland)
ShawnEastTN replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I've always been partial to the RGEM it seemed to be in years past better at sniffing out trailing pieces of energy. I think it did a better job at sniffing out the trailing energy that made the event at the start of the month over perform for most folks. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 847 replies
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Oak Moon Upslope/ Upper Low Storm Obs
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Lol they cut accumulations from lower elevations all together in their afternoon update. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 300 replies
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Oak Moon Upslope/ Upper Low Storm Obs
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Peachtree City just expanded their Winter Weather Advisory to include areas outside the mountains of North Georgia all the way down to far northern Atlanta suburbs. Think they might have been caught off guard to the snow showers making that far south. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 300 replies
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- upslope snow
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Oak Moon Upslope/ Upper Low Storm Obs
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah I see that all the time with snow where I live. Sometimes nothing on the radar for me from MRX, Hytop, or Nashville but snow falling.- 300 replies
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Oak Moon Upslope/ Upper Low Storm Obs
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Really impressed with the amount of upstream moisture still to work through. Still good moisture all the way up in to Illinois and Indiana rotating this direction.- 300 replies
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Oak Moon Upslope/ Upper Low Storm Obs
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Agree, makes sense considering the good valley flakage here. Normally in NW flow I get very fine flakes that are pretty dried out if I get anything at all. Today I've gotten off and on fluffy flakes that just didn't feel NW flow like. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 300 replies
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Oak Moon Upslope/ Upper Low Storm Obs
ShawnEastTN replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
First sort of moderate snow, honestly never expected this in the valley. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk- 300 replies
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- upslope snow
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