ShawnEastTN
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Everything posted by ShawnEastTN
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Yes!! Exactly! This is what I'm saying. Usually that downsloping warmth doesn't bleed very far west or NW. Down this way it doesn't generally bleed out of Blount county into Knox or Loudon, and the angle I don't think will have much of Monroe county involved maybe far northeast Monroe near Blount line. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Yeah I don't have access to NBM. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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I honestly think MRX should at least issue WWA for Knox, Loudon south. So much modeling showing that area getting potentially plastered with heavy snow potentially warning criteria snow. The only reason they don't is climatology suggests that shouldn't be the case but it wouldn't be the first time the western great valley and southern great valley score in a scenario like this. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Don't tell MRX this, or any reports from John or Holston. They'll say it's just solidified rain. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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I have seen those temp differences in previous downsloping storms, where I'm at or below freezing on the Roane/Meigs line and go east toward the mountains and Maryville is close to 40 degrees. That explains a lot of models showing a strip of higher totals from McMinn and NNW with a sharp cutoff east towards the mountains. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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For what it's worth WPC's forecast track for the low. This was issued before 0z though so we'll see if they adjust their track. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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At this point you are better of chasing in Buffalo. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Totally our luck it will become a GL cutter. [emoji38] Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Agree they should at least put out a SPS to get info out. The delay likely means it'll be winter weather advisory when we get in range for it 12 to 24 hours out. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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I still remember Paul when he said the word Bilzzard back in 93, he was the first TV met in Chatt to use the word in relation to that storm and he was mocked quite a bit for it until the 20" of snow with 6 foot drifts occurred. Would love to get to experience another blizzard of 93. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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You can see the RGEM here or on pivitol weather. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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I'd like to cash in. Wish we could trust a solution. Seems like now more than ever you can't trust any solutions. I don't remember it being this wonky a decade ago with models. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Lol it's not impossible considering the crazy model spread. Seriously this thing can go either way for a lot of folks. Could be a big giant bust or a massive surprise storm for many. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Yeah if the issue isn't as much warm nose as it is downsloping over the mountains then if you are a county or do west of the mountain counties you should have better odds, again that's if warm nose is less of an issue. I would agree Knox county especially west and north Knox would be in better shape being further away from the downsloping winds. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Have a strong suspicion if modeling continues consistency by 12z tomorrow we'll see watches hoisted for all of Morristown probably including Chatt. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Same here man, last 2 storms were let downs not to mention really for MBY haven't had a snow more than an inch in a few years. Have had a couple 1" storms but not a good storm in some time. Though on the other side of that coin all snow droughts eventually break, look at Nashville! They were in a snow dome for a long time and have reaped major rewards for their patience. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Yes that one in 15 was really bad in my neck of the woods also. That year if I remember all in the month of February imby we got 2 ice storms and a 10" snow all within a couple week period. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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As modeled that would be a stout clipper. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Just started going back to snow, warm nose must be exiting the western great valley. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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I'm sitting at 33 on the thermometer from when I had snow earlier it's now sleet and rain, but noticing the rain is coating tree limbs lightly. So must be pockets down to freezing, makes me question my weather stations thermometer. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Heavy sleet here now. It's accumulating. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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Ok think Warm nose got me. Got about .5 inches then a let up in precip it switched to sleet mix, and not switching back to snow. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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In a lull on the radar an it appears for me in light return it goes to sleet & flurries in heavier it basically all snow. Temp down to 33.2. Hoping next heavier precip brings it down to freezing. So so close. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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YES! John that is my experience also. Cannot seem to upload a picture from my phone to the forum it fails. Need to hop on a computer and delete old images. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
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I'm now at a good dusting of snow on all surfaces except pavement, 33 degrees. Flakes at times up to half dollar size. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk
