ShawnEastTN

Little comforting seeing my temp begin falling again. Reached 41 but in the last hour have dropped back to 39, DP 24 and still NE winds down the valley. Those winds have been stubborn NE direction. Can remember many many situations all the way back to my childhood where this winds out of the NE kept winter weather from switching to rain. Will it this time, who knows.... Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Yeah the 20z HRRR looks like extended heavy sleet imby tonight. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

That would be pretty freaking awesome. Easy, accurate on demand soundings above your house sounds like a dream. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Made it to 38 but it finally seems to be overcast still NE winds though. DP has come up a bit to 23. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Yeah its frustrating, but I am noticing more and more high clouds the sunlight looks like it's getting more and more filtered. I don't think it'll much longer before clouds covering the region. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Sitting at 33, DP 19, I can see clouds in the SW horizon... Those mother's need to start trucking this way. Plus side my weather station is getting consistent winds from the NE. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Same I'm now right on the edge of the purple/pink, I wasn't the last run. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

That's my hope for tomorrow is that before we get much sun, or hopefully before sunrise tomorrow the clouds begin moving in to help hold temps down. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Yep was supposed to get to 32 here today only made it to 25. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Very good write up!!! Spot on with watching overnight lows tonight and how that translates tomorrow for highs and how models don't handle cold sticking around longer in the eastern valley than often modeled. One of MRX best write up in recent memory, they seem to be better in general in their write ups this season than prior seasons. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

I feel ya man I feel ya. I'm happy for west and middle, but mby hasn't had winter storm warning snowfall in 6 winters counting this winter. It's almost soul crushing that the boundary being the plateau is 8 miles away as the crow flies and gonna be cold rain..... Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Still mixing here but trend seems to be larger and larger flakes. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Heavy mix mostly sleet and snow. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Seems to be escalating quickly, mostly sleet now and heavy. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Rain/Sleet mix here now Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Interestingly enough my temp has begun falling quickly, 20 minutes ago was 40 now 35 raining at a good clip with maybe a few partially melted flakes mixing in. Heavier precip is crashing the temp nicely. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

MRX discussion update: " AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Morristown TN 1025 PM EST Sat Feb 6 2021 .UPDATE... EVENING UPDATE. && .DISCUSSION... Downsloping SE flow has kept most of the region dry this evening with most of the precip falling as virga. There has been occasional light rain observed in the far S Valley with snow and sleet at times in SW NC. Latest RAP soundings have further backed off on the warm nose except for along the E TN mountains into extreme SE TN and SW NC where some warming occurs around 850 mb before 08Z, but due to all the virga, expect sleet and ice amounts to be very light on the order of a trace to 0.04 inches. We are essentially running out of time to see much mixed precip before the colder air arrives. The mid/upper shortwave responsible for bringing the colder air will cross the region from 06-10Z with an associated cold front pushing across the region. As this occurs, the region will get under a coupled upper jet structure between the right entrance of a 130-140 kt 300 mb jet streak over the central Appalachians and the left exit of a 120-130 kt 300 mb jet streak over GA/SC. This will lead to strong Q vector convergence and frontogenetic forcing as the shortwave/cold front crosses the region, so expect any rain/mix to quickly change to snow in the post frontal CAA, first on the Plateau through SW VA after 05Z, then across the valley through the rest of the area from W to E. Despite the dynamics, HREF guidance shows this band of moderate to heavy snow moving through pretty rapidly. This fast movement combined with the limited precip earlier this evening has led to decreased snowfall accumulations forecasted across SW NC, the E TN mountains, and the valley. However, HREF guidance points to the band pivoting across the N Plateau through SW VA the longest, so slightly increased snowfall forecast amounts up there overnight. The current warnings and advisories remain unchanged for tonight" Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Nada here all virga Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Envious of your dewpoint... I'm 41/32. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

I'm going to remain optimistic, I think nearly all of the East Tennessee Valley, say 95% will see some accumulation, and I think most areas of the valley get above the inch mark and at least half get above 2". I'm not wishcasting, i personally think MRX became gun-shy with the last couple events that have made them swing too conservative in their forecast out of fear, not to mention the event not occurring during the work week there is less pressure on them if their forecast bust over rather than under. Not that I blame them because it they get a lot of flack. I think the potential of MRX having to up snow totals repeatedly through the next 16 hours is high especially after the event gets under way. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

Chattanooga met Bill Race seems bullish for Chatt on FB, says he thinks this looks like a classic 1"-3" valley snow. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

MRX will either jump on the Euro and we'll see advisories in the valley or they call it an outlier and double-down on virtually nothing on the ground from morristown down the valley. With temps way under what was originally expected I think that will have a huge impact on increased chances of valley accumulation. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

33 cold rain here after heavy sleet this afternoon. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

I've had heavy sleet for about the last hour enough to coat the ground and my deck is dangerous... Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk

This is reaching the ground in the valley, have a nice little snow shower occurring at the moment imby. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk