Doesn't seem to be a lot of model consensus as far as today's threat.
"Given the uncertainty during this timeframe think that SPC Marginal Risk for severe suffices. Think that the WPC ERO Marginal is also fine. Though will note for the severe risk that the Nadocast and CSU ML still really heavily highlightinga wind threat, maximized from CT into portions of the interior.For timing the latest 00Z NCAR HRRR Neural Network really highlights much of our region for a wind threat with the timing being with the night activity. Could end up seeing more seeing more scattered vs isolated risk if these ML guidance sources panout. Stay tuned as this is a tricky forecast and ultimately will boil down to the mesoscale details.