I wonder if it will ever rain again? Forest fires will be raging next week.
The latest NAEFS guidance has increased PWAT values to near or just above 1.3" across most of southern New England. Rainfall totals could be in the 1.5" to 2" range with theGEPS and ECMWF ENS continuing to indicate a 20 percent chance that 24 hour rainfall may exceed 2" along the southern shores of RI and
MA. The GEFS, much like the deterministic GFS, continues to run slightly drier than other guidance; probs for exceeding 2" over 24 hours only reach around 10 percent over RI and southern CT, with less than 10 percent for southern MA.