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Everything posted by jbenedet
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Hoping this fog sticks for a chunk of the day. Pleasant surprise this morning. Anything to eliminate another potential HHH weekday. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I don’t understand that at all. This is where we live; we’re not on vacation. Rain keeps everything looking good and the water bills and effort way down. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Really tired of the summer drought persistence around here. still not a drop. drove into wells ME yesterday noticed tons of scorched vegetation along the way. -
I agree. Covid did a lot to muddy the underlying climate driven trend —appeal to move to warmer regions with shorter cold/flu season and less restrictions —but it’s becoming more apparent with that shock behind us.
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Regarding the poll — Short term 2-4C increase is worse because most of the world’s population already lives in areas that are very warm and on the coast. This will ultimately cause population flows from these areas and tremendous economic costs. Long term 2-4C is better because it opens up more of the earth’s resources to mining and agriculture.
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You can tell that the expected range of outcomes is -4C to 4C…. I find it interesting that the counter- mainstream thought on this subject is that it’s not happening or it’s benign, but never that the warming will be much greater than consensus (2-4C). Moreover, this is the outcome with best odds based on the present trajectory.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Just hoping for a great drink here. No rain through at least Friday -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Shocker. Siggy -NAO on the teles. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Don’t like running +AN droughts in the summer up here for multiple reasons. One is it indicates the pattern is conducive to restore balance via the tropics. Just like the southeast. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Good tip. Thanks. I’ll def look into this as a medium to long term solution. I’m very much about the micro ecosystem and sustainability but when I see 500 beetles on my 3’ willow tree the beetle bazooka comes out. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
68.2 SST for UNH buoy. That is toasty for the date. Wow. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Good luck. Japanese beetles will leave only to return with higher numbers at some point in the day when you’re not aware. Only answer is to nuke em. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
That cell training over lake George area…. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
We don’t get enough of this. It’s the best summer weather if the low overcast doesn’t stick. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Beautiful out. Wonderful cool breeze off the gulf of Maine. I want days and days of this. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Satellite and radar trends - Tonight’s rain looks like it will be first big over-performer here in a very long time. good thing, could really use the rain… -
2025 Lawns & Gardens Thread. Making Lawns Great Again
jbenedet replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Japanese Beetles. Everywhere. -
July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
95/67 Eff this. -
Yea that’s a TS by looks on IR and vis satellite. Should get a name imminently.
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Surprising lack of interest on this. I guess that’s what we get when everyone becomes a model junkie… As if very close proximity to CONUS wasn’t enough, I’m seeing the bulk of ensemble members on GEFS/EPS with a landfall within 84 hrs (assuming it gets named) on the east coast.
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July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat
jbenedet replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The mandarin off the southeast coast looks important to closely watch. At this moment still early but not for Cape and Islands. Some indirect impacts potentially as early as Sunday and —at risk of stating the obvious here— it’s a big beach/vacation weekend…. Both euro and GFS develop a weak tropical system within 72 hrs. Big ridge in the western Atlantic will preclude a quick escape east, so it will be close to the mid Atlantic/northeast coast at least through 120 hrs. We watch. -
Only thing that loves the heat we had the last three days is crab grass. Shit grows so fast can watch it real time. Oh yea, and some of my sun loving plants got scorched bc it was so hot… Just all around bad weather. Today is wonderful, clouds and all.
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This weather is terrible. Only the people that do nothing all day are cheering this on.
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Not a good meso setup for the overcast/fog to stick; even in the most prone areas along the coast. And then considering the near max ISR ; should disappear in all areas by 10
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2025 Lawns & Gardens Thread. Making Lawns Great Again
jbenedet replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
This has been the best spring in a while to plant grass seed. I got really lucky with the lack of heat/drought....