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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. Chris78
    GEFS dropped all of the Ohio Valley lows. Pure coastal it appears.
  2. Chris78
    Hard to trust any model evolution currently. I like the 18z better but it was am odd evolution compared to 12z. Weaker system, smaller area of precip but more QPF in a good spot for us
  3. Chris78
    Option 1 I would think is safer but with less upside. I know your moose hunting but I would gladly take a squirl , fox or anything in between. Edit: @psuhoffman can you explain why our qpf increased even with the system being weaker?
  4. Chris78
    Lala lock it in. Such a small strip though. Weird run. Weaker smaller area of precip but more intense in a good spot for us.
  5. Chris78
    Do you mind posting the 6z for comparison please
  6. Chris78
    Is the EPS out yet?
  7. Chris78
    Oh shit. Might as well look towards 1/20 and beyond.
  8. Chris78
    Is JB offering you a job?
  9. Chris78
    100 agree. Need to stop the bleeding. We're another model cycle or 2 away from being an interior storm.
  10. Chris78
    When we were getting those bigger snow totals the north movement of the storm stops and it pulled away slowly towards the east . PA and north gets a longer storm now.
  11. Chris78
    You certainly could be right. We can't afford anymore north adjustments
  12. Chris78
    Ukie did improve. Still not great but does get some snow into Central MD. Last nights run was confined to the mountains.
  13. Chris78
    Look at the cmc. That should make you feel better for a minute or 2 lol
  14. Chris78
    Not surprising being 4 days out now. Ensembles going to do alot of following from here on in.
  15. Chris78
    It's going to be a close call for northern areas. 6z Euro control and 12z Gfs runs the rain/ snow line pretty darn close to the M/D line. Doesn't mean it's correct but with the latest trends you may need to be in central PA to feel secure with this set up.
  16. Chris78
    Also the high dropping out of Canada doesn't have as strong as south push over the last 4 runs.
  17. Chris78
    Looks like Gfs and cmc switched spots
  18. Chris78
    Shocking
  19. Chris78
    Thanks. Hopefully it's just a blip. The control was a big jump for just 1 run.
  20. Chris78
    Is the storm track further west? The placement of the snow on the mean doesn't look much different than 00z. Just overall less snow.
  21. Chris78
    Weenie run
  22. Chris78
    Is it still a precursor to the euro lol? It seems like it's wrong alot in regards to winter storms for us. Ussually the opposite though as in years past its given false hope when other models went to shit.
  23. Chris78
    It is a disaster. You got to go up into Central PA to find snow.
  24. Chris78
    Canadian did shift east tonight with the storm track. The snow didn't seem to adjust east with it though lol
  25. Chris78
    Definitely this started out as a late Saturday night - Daytime Sunday event. Most models have it out by Sunrise Sunday.
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