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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. I think we need more than 1 nino to know that for sure. Bigger sample size.Now if it's a complete disaster that's different, but if we end up with say just slightly above normal snowfall and miss out on say 2 storms that was just too warm couldn't that be the randomness of weather? Im sure We've had perfect tract rainstorms in ninos before.
  2. Seems like maybe a 3 to 6 day window after Thanksgiving. Already feels better than last year.
  3. Go big or go home. I like it.
  4. Not an awful look for later in the month. Higher heights up into western Canada. Generally average to below average temps east of the Rockies.
  5. Not sure why some (not you) are freaking out over not having a great pattern in the first half of November. If we were abnormally cold in November it would still mean rain except for the west highlands. And if November was cold December would probably snap back and be way above normal.
  6. Lol. Close. It was 2" and by far the lowest total I've ever had in Smithsburg.
  7. So your saying expect I should expect 70 inches this year? I like your thinking.
  8. Woah. That's big time. I made some jokes on here last year about his forecast but he did nail it.
  9. Ouch. Would be alot of cliff jumpers this year if you win. Reaper would need to come out of retirement.
  10. BWI : 16.7" DCA : 12.7" IAD : 19.7" RIC: 9.7" Tie Breaker SBY : 8.7" MBY : 24.7" MT PSU : 47.7" I think we get 1 region wide warning level event. The rest comes from a few 1 to 2 inch events and a couple snow to slop events.
  11. What does December and January look like compared to October 1st update?
  12. Looks like in the latest edition everything just seems more smoothed out with lesser anomalies in both directions. The same general idea is still there.
  13. I agree . Ryan would always be too low on the big ones but would increase his forecast as the storm was on going.
  14. Ji has high jacked it and putting the final touches on an 09/10 pattern redux.
  15. Feels more like mid to late December. Only 41 right now at noon. Love it
  16. We're in mid season form and it's not even November yet.
  17. I'll take my chances with a moderate El nino anytime over this LA Nina crap we've had for 3 years straight.
  18. People fret to much. Best chance in years heading into winter as you said. Not saying it's a slam dunk but we will have our opportunities
  19. After the last couple of winters I'd be tickled with that.
  20. It was our second winter in Smithsburg. It was 10 degrees and puking snow. I remember it was a very fine snow but so thick. It really piled up quick.
  21. If I remember correctly it was in the teens for alot of the Storm in 2016. Atleast along the blueridge
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