This.
In previous years Canada was torching so even when we did get a decent H5 pattern the airmass still wasn't great.
Looks like good cold air in Canada to tap into.
Obviously all subject to change but it's not a close the blinds look at all.
And for your yard and my yard when it's been a really cold pattern I don't have any ground truth snow cover to speak of. It's all been south of our area. It's been that way for the last few years really.